QUESTION 3 a) Decision making consist of two characteristic which are programmed and non-programmed decision. Explain the different between them. b) In general, there are three different condition under decision making which are certainty. risk and uncertainty. Elaborate all the condition.
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- QUESTION SIX (a) Suppose that a decision is faced with three decision alternatives and four states of nature. The following profit payoff table is constructed: Alternatives State of Nature 1S 2 S 3 S 4 S 1Α 2Α 3Α 18 15 13 12 14 16 15 10 19 8 11 15 Assuming that the decision maker has no knowledge about the probabilities of occurrence of the four states of nature, find the decisions to be recommended under each of the following criteria: iii. Minimax Reject criterion iv. Hurwicz criterion with 0.6 α =Question A local real estate investor in Kingston is considering three investments: a motel, a restaurant, or a theatre. Profits from the motel or restaurant will be affected by the availability of gasoline and the number of tourist; Profits from the theatre will be relatively stable under any conditions. The following payoff table shows the profit or loss that could result from each investment: Real Estate Investor Payoff Table Payoffs are Profits States of Nature (Gasoline Avaliability) Decision Alternatives Shortage Stable Supply Surplus Motel $8,000 $15,000 $22,000 Restaurant $2,000 $8000 $6,000 Theater $6,000 $6,000 $5,000 Which option should the real estate investor choose if he uses the Equal Likelihood criterion? Using a maximax approach, what alternative should the real estate investor choose? Using the Maximum approach, what alternative should the real estate investor choose?Question A local real estate investor in Kingston is considering three investments: a motel, a restaurant, or a theatre. Profits from the motel or restaurant will be affected by the availability of gasoline and the number of tourist; Profits from the theatre will be relatively stable under any conditions. The following payoff table shows the profit or loss that could result from each investment: Real Estate Investor Payoff Table Payoffs are Profits States of Nature (Gasoline Avaliability) Decision Alternatives Shortage Stable Supply Surplus Motel $8,000 $15,000 $22,000 Restaurant $2,000 $8000 $6,000 Theater $6,000 $6,000 $5,000 If the probability of a shortage of gasoline is 25%, the probability of a stable supply of gasoline is 45% and the probability of a surplus of gasoline is 30%. Using the EMV, What option should the real estate investor choose and what is that optimal expected value? What is the most the real…
- Question 5: For a coffee shop, the cost associated with cups, coffee beans and lids are examples of ____costs. These ______ considered when building a MCS. Group of answer choices a Fixed costs; should be b Fixed costs; should not be c Variable costs; should not be d Variable costs; should be e None of these, these are programmed costsQuestion ThreeThe management of a supermarket wants to adopt a new promotional policy ofgiving free gift to every customer who spends more than a certain amount pervisit at this supermarket. The expectation of the management is that after thispromotional policy is advertised, the expenditure for all customers at thissupermarket will be normally distributed with mean 400 £ and a variance of900£2.1) If the management wants to give free gifts to at most 10% of the customers,what should the amount be above which a customer would receive a free gift?2) In a sample of 100 customers, what are the number of customers whoseexpenditure is between 420 £ and 485 £?3) What is a probability of selecting a customer whose expenditure is differ thanthe population mean expenditure by at most 50 £?4) What is the probability that the expenditure of the first customer exceeds theexpenditure of the second customer by at least 20 £?5) In a sample of 250, find the count that corresponds to the interquartile…Question 4An investor is to purchase one of three types of real estate, as illustrated in Figure below. Theinvestor must decide among an apartment building, an office building, and a warehouse. Thefuture states of nature that will determine how much profit the investor will make are goodeconomic conditions and poor economic conditions. The profits that will result from eachdecision in the event of each state of nature are shown in Table below: a) Find the optimal act using Maxi-Max criteriab) Find the optimal act using Mini-Max criteria c) Find the optimal act using Maxi-Min criteria d) Find the optimal act using Min-Max regret table
- QUESTION A The Miramar Company is going to introduce one of three new products: a widget, a hummer, or a nimnot. The market conditions (favorable, stable, or unfavorable) will determine the profit or loss the company realizes, as shown in the following payoff table: State of Nature Favourable Stable Unfavourable Product 0.2 0.7 0.1 Widget $ 120,000 $ 70,000 $ –30,000 Hummer 60,000 40,000 20,000 Nimnot 35,000 30,000 30,000 Determine the best decision, using the following decision criteria Maximax Maximin LaPlaceQUESTION A The Miramar Company is going to introduce one of three new products: a widget, a hummer, or a nimnot. The market conditions (favorable, stable, or unfavorable) will determine the profit or loss the company realizes, as shown in the following payoff table: State of Nature Favourable Stable Unfavourable Product 0.2 0.7 0.1 Widget $ 120,000 $ 70,000 $ –30,000 Hummer 60,000 40,000 20,000 Nimnot 35,000 30,000 30,000 Compute the expected value for each decision and select the best one. Develop the opportunity loss table and compute the expected opportunity loss for each product.QUESTION A The Miramar Company is going to introduce one of three new products: a widget, a hummer, or a nimnot. The market conditions (favorable, stable, or unfavorable) will determine the profit or loss the company realizes, as shown in the following payoff table: State of Nature Favourable Stable Unfavourable Product 0.2 0.7 0.1 Widget $ 120,000 $ 70,000 $ –30,000 Hummer 60,000 40,000 20,000 Nimnot 35,000 30,000 30,000 Compute the expected value for each decision and select the best one.
- QUESTION A The Miramar Company is going to introduce one of three new products: a widget, a hummer, or a nimnot. The market conditions (favorable, stable, or unfavorable) will determine the profit or loss the company realizes, as shown in the following payoff table: State of Nature Favourable Stable Unfavourable Product 0.2 0.7 0.1 Widget $ 120,000 $ 70,000 $ –30,000 Hummer 60,000 40,000 20,000 Nimnot 35,000 30,000 30,000 Compute the expected value for each decision and select the best one. B.Develop the opportunity loss table and compute the expected opportunity loss for each product.Question 2: Sunblessed Juice Company sells bags of oranges and cartons of orange juice. Sunblessed grades oranges on a scale of 1 (poor) to 10 (excellent). At present, Sunblessed has 220,000 pounds of grade 6 oranges and 150,000 pounds of grade 9 oranges on hand. The average quality of oranges sold in bags must be at least 7, and the average quality of oranges used to produce orange juice must be at least 8. Each pound of oranges that is used for juice yields a revenue of $2.25 and incurs a variable cost (consisting of labor costs, variable overhead costs, inventory costs and so on) of $1.35. Each pound of oranges sold in bags yields a revenue of $2.00 and incurs a variable cost of $1.20. Determine how Sunblessed can maximize its profit. Please include your answer report with the model, and a description of your recommendation. Use SolverTable to determine how a change in the cost per bag of oranges changes the optimal solution. Specifically, vary the cost from $1.00 to $1.50 in…Question 1AA CEO of a multihospital system is planning to expand operations into various states. It will take several years toget certificate of need (CON) approvals so that the new facilities can be constructed. The eventual cost (in millionsof dollars) of building a facility will differ among states, depending upon finances, labor, and the economic andpolitical climate. An outside consulting firm estimated the costs for the new facilities as based on declining,similar, or improving economies, and the associated probabilities as shown in the Table below.Decisionalternatives Declining Same ImprovingKentucky 22.00 19.00 15.00Maryland 19.00 18.50 18.00North carolina 19.50 17.00 15.50Tennesee 23.00 17.00 14.00Virginia 25.00 21.00 13.00 (e) Using a minimax regret approach, what alternative should the firm choose? (f) Economists have assigned probabilities of 0.25, 0.40, and 0.35 to the possible economic climate ofdeclining, same and improving respectively. Using expected monetary values,…