Rational expectations theory sees errors in predicting inflation as O a) beneficial. b) random. O) avoidable. O d) harmful. O e) following a pattern.
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- Using the inflation-unemployment version of the Phillips curve with adaptive expectations, ifaggregate demand increasesA)workers will realize that inflation has changed in the long run but not in the short run.B)the SRPC will immediately shift to the right as workers expect higher pricesC)workers will mistakenly work less, resulting in a decrease in inflation and increase inunemploymentD)actual inflation will be less than expected inflation, resulting in workers mistakenly workingmore and unemployment falling.Using the Frieman-Phelps expectations-augmented Phillips curve, if actual and expected inflationare equal to each other, thenA)workers are correctly forecasting inflation and the economy is in long run equilibriumB)the policymaker needs to pursue expansionary policy to create more output.C)in the long run workers will adjust their expectations, resulting in a business cycle in the longrun.D)the economy is in an expansion above the natural rate of output.Consider the expectations adjusted Phillips’s curve and assume that expected inflation is given by πet = πt-1. Suppose that unemployment is initially equal to the natural rate and that π=10%. The central bank decides that inflation is too high and that, starting in year t, it will maintain the unemployment rate 1% point above the natural rate until the inflation rate has decreased to 2%. (a) What is the sacrifice ratio in this economy [Hint: the sacrifice ratio is the percentage of a year’s excess unemployment needed to reduce inflation by 1%. For a Philips curve given as πet − πt −1 = −α (ut − un ), the sacrifice ratio is 1/α]? (b) Compute the rate of inflation for year t, t+1, t+2, t+3, …, t+8. (c) For how many years must the central bank keep the unemployment rate above the natural rate of unemployment? Is the implied sacrifice ratio consistent with your answer to (a)?
- A. What assumptions did Thomas Sargent make when he claimed that inflation is always and everywhere a fiscal phenomenon?" B. Why is it appropriate in the book's short-term model for the author to use the Phillips Curve as an Aggregate Supply curve? Does it capture the working of the labor market as well as an AS curve based, say, on sticky wages? C. Provide an example of the book's short-run model being based on "microfoundations."a) Explain the concept of the natural rate of unemployment using the expectations-augmented (modified or modern) Phillips curve model. b) Why is this model useful for policy-makers?true or false Suppose that the central bank lost credibility in the sense that people no longer believe its inflation target (that is, inflation expectations are not `anchored’). In this case, both short-run output and long-run output do not increase in response to a permanently higher inflation target.
- Suppose the public believes that a newly announcedanti-inflation program will work and so lowers itsexpectations of future inflation. What will happen toaggregate output and the inflation rate in the short run?Suppose that an economy has the Phillips curve p = p−1 – 0.5(u − 0.06). A. How much cyclical unemployment is necessary to reduce inflation by 5 percentage points? Using Okun’s law, compute the sacrifice ratio. B. Inflation is running at 10 percent. The Fed wants to reduce it to 5 percent. Give two scenarios that will achieve that goal.Suppose that an economy has the Phillips curvep=p-1 - O.S(u - 0.06),a) What is the natural rate of unemployment?b) Graph the short-run and long-run relationships between inflation and unemployment.c) How much cyclical unemployment is necessary to reduce inflation by S percentage points?d) Using Okun's law, compute the sacrifice ratio e.e)Inflation is running at 10 percent. The Fed wants to reduce it to 5 percent. Give Iwoscenarios that will achieve that goal.
- The importance of using rather than saving your ammunition in the presence of the zero lower bound. Suppose inflation is described by the accelerations Phillips curve, and that output is determined by a simple IS curveInitially, the central bank is setting the nominal interest rate at a strictly positive level: i(0) > 0. Assume(a) Suppose the central bank keeps i constant at i (0). Sketch the behavior of inflation and output over time.(b) Suppose the central bank keeps i constant at i (0) until some time when bπ(t) < 0, and then permanently reduces i to zero. Sketch the behavior of inflation and output over time.(c) Suppose the central bank permanently reduces i to zero at t = 0. Sketch the behavior of inflation and output over time.(d) Explain your results intuitively.Describe the Phillips curve (O.G., not modified/expectations) and draw a graph of the relationship. How good was this model with 1960’s data vs with data from 1970-2000’s? Describe the Lucas critique.Suppose that an economy has a phillips curve π=π₋₁ -0.5(u-0.08) a) what is the natural rate of unemployement? b) how much cyclical unemployment is necessary to reduce inflation by 5% points? using okun's Law, compute the sacrifice ratio. c) inflation is runnuing 10%. the fed wants to reduce it to 5%. give two scenarios that will achieve that goal.
