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A firm produces 2 different alarm systems A and B. System A detects with
probability 0.93 and costs 2 times expensive then system B. System B detects
fire with probability 0.8. Which option is better: to set two systems B or one
system A?
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- A product engineer has developed the following equation for the cost of a system component: C = (10P) 2, where C is the cost in dollars and P is the probability that the component will operate as expected. The system is composed of two identical components, both of which must operate forthe system to operate. The engineer can spend $173 for the two components. To the nearest two decimal places, what is the largest component probability that can be achieved?A product engineer has developed the following equation for the cost of a system component: C = (10P)2, where is the cost in dollars and Pis the probability that the component will operate as expected. The system is composed of two identical components, both of which must operate for the system to operate. The engineer can spend $173 for the two components. To the nearest two decimal places, what is the largest component probability that can be achieved?A company installs new central-heating furnaces and has found that for 15% of all installations, a return visit is needed to make some modifications. Six installations were made in a particular week. Assume independence of outcomes for these installations.a. What is the probability that a return visit will be needed in all these cases?b. What is the probability that a return visit will be needed in none of these cases?c. What is the probability that a return visit will be needed in more than 1 of these cases?
- A product engineer has developed the following equation for the cost of a system component: C = (10P)2, where C is the cost in dollars and P is the probability that the component will operate as expected. The system is composed of 3 identical components, all of which must operate for the system to operate. The engineer can spend $254 for the 3 components. What is the largest component probability that can be achieved? (Do not round your intermediate calculations. Round your final answer to 4 decimal places.) Probability 0.8466Howard Weiss, Inc., is considering building a sensitive new radiation scanning device. His managers believe that ther is a probability of 0.40 that the ATR Co. does not follow with a competitive product. Weiss's expected profit is $50,000; If weiss adds an assembley line and ATR follows suit, Weiss still expects $15,000 profit. If Weiss adds a new plant addition adn ATR does not produce a competitive product, weiss expects a profit of $600,000; if ATR does compete for this market, weiss expects a loss of $100,000 a) Expected value for the Add Assembly Line option=$____On a decision tree, at each state-of-nature node: a) the alternative with the greatest EMV is selected. b) an EMV is calculated. c) all probabilities are added together. d) the branch with the highest probability is selected.
- true or false 7. The expected utility implies that the decision maker regards this option as being equivalent to a lottery offering a same chance of the best/best outcome (and a complementary probability of the worst/worst outcome)7. Assume that there is a 9% rate of disk drive failure in a year. a. If all your computer data is stored on a hard disk drive with a copy stored on a second hard disk drive, what is the probability that during a year, you can avoid catastrophe with at least one working drive? b. If copies of all your computer data are stored on three independent hard disk drives, what is the probability that during a year, you can avoid catastrophe with at least one working drive? a. With two hard disk drives, the probability that catastrophe can be avoided is nothing. (Round to four decimal places as needed.)4. From past experience, Anna knows that the probability that her friend will take her to dinner in Orro Resto id 0.7, the probability that they will watch movies is 0.5, and the probability that he will take her to dinner or they will watch movies is 0.9. What is the probability that they will do both? they will do neither? 5. Eight persons enter a supermarket. From the past experience, it is known that 25% of the people entering the supermarket make a purchase. What is the possible values of the random variable X? Construct the probability distribution of X. X P(X=x) What is the probability that 1) at least four persons will make a purchase? 2) two or three persons will make a purchase? 3) a most two persons will make a purchase?
- A car repair can be performed either on time or late, and either satisfactoryily or unsatisfactorily. The probability of a repair being on time and satisfactory is 0.26. The probability of a repair being on time is 0.74. The probability of a repair being satisfactory is 0.41. What is the probabilityof a repair being late and unsatisfactory?At DataTech Solutions, the reliability of their server systems is a critical factor in maintaining smooth operations. The company knows that the probability of a server experiencing no downtime due to technical issues is 0.95. When a server is functioning smoothly, there is a 0.9 probability that the network performance is also optimal. However, if a server encounters technical problems, the probability of having optimal network performance drops to 0.3. A server is chosen at random for assessment, and its network performance is found to be optimal. What is the updated probability that the server is running without any technical issues?The lease of Theme Park, Inc., is about to expire. Management must decide whether to renew the lease for another 10 years or to relocate near the site of a proposed motel. The town planning board is currently debating the merits of granting approval to the motel. A consultant has estimated the net present value of Theme Park’s two alternatives under each state of nature as shown on the following page. What course of action would you recommend using?a. Maximaxb. Maximinc. Laplaced. Minimax regretOptionsMotelApprovedMotelRejectedRenew $ 500,000 $4,000,000Relocate 5,000,000 100,000