Suppose a country has a fixed exchange rate. FX speculators notice that the country’s government is running large and continuing budget deficits. Briefly explain how this situation may lead speculators to believe that the government will have to devalue the country’s currency in the future. What action would the speculators likely take in anticipation of that event? Would this action make a devaluation more or less likely? Briefly explain. Note: No diagram is needed to answer this question.

Microeconomics
13th Edition
ISBN:9781337617406
Author:Roger A. Arnold
Publisher:Roger A. Arnold
Chapter21: International Finance
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Suppose a country has a fixed exchange rate. FX speculators notice that the country’s government is running large and continuing budget deficits. Briefly explain how this situation may lead speculators to believe that the government will have to devalue the country’s currency in the future. What action would the speculators likely take in anticipation of that event? Would this action make a devaluation more or less likely? Briefly explain. Note: No diagram is needed to answer this question.

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