Suppose you observe the time series of output y and real money supply M/ P reported in the Figure below. Nominal money supply M is under full control of the Central Bank. Output y Real Money Supply M$/P Time t Time t 1 4 1 3 4 6. Interpret these time series using the ASAD Redux model with workers misperceptions (Lecture Notes, Chapter 1). Assume that the time paths are caused by a single permanent shock hitting the economy at time t = 1, and interpret time t = 6 as the medium run. Your general task is to guess what type of shock can be responsible for the observed time series. Answer each of the following questions, providing clear motivation for your statements: (a) Can the shock be a permanent change, positive or negative, in public expenditures G? Motivate your answer. (b) Can the shock be a permanent change, positive or negative, in nominal money supply M ? Motivate your answer. (c) Can the shock be a permanent change, positive or negative, in firms productivity 1 ? Motivate your answer. (d) Can the shock be of a permanent change, positive or negative, in the slope of labour supply B? Motivate your answer. Add any further considerations that you think can be relevant to this exercise.

Essentials of Economics (MindTap Course List)
8th Edition
ISBN:9781337091992
Author:N. Gregory Mankiw
Publisher:N. Gregory Mankiw
Chapter24: The Influence Of Monetary And Fiscal Policy On Aggregate Demand
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 3CQQ
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Question 1b solution 

Suppose you observe the time series of output y and real money supply M/P
reported in the Figure below. Nominal money supply M is under full control of the
Central Bank.
Output y
Real Money Supply M$/P
Time t
Time t
1
2
3
4
6.
1
2
3
4
6.
Interpret these time series using the ASAD Redux model with workers
misperceptions (Lecture Notes, Chapter 1). Assume that the time paths are caused
by a single permanent shock hitting the economy at time t = 1, and interpret time t =
6 as the medium run. Your general task is to guess what type of shock can be
responsible for the observed time series. Answer each of the following questions,
providing clear motivation for your statements:
(a) Can the shock be a permanent change, positive or negative, in public
expenditures G? Motivate your answer.
(b) Can the shock be a permanent change, positive or negative, in nominal
money supply M³ ? Motivate your answer.
(c) Can the shock be a permanent change, positive or negative, in firms
productivity 1 ? Motivate your answer.
(d) Can the shock be of a permanent change, positive or negative, in the slope
of labour supply B? Motivate your answer. Add any further considerations
that you think can be relevant to this exercise.
Transcribed Image Text:Suppose you observe the time series of output y and real money supply M/P reported in the Figure below. Nominal money supply M is under full control of the Central Bank. Output y Real Money Supply M$/P Time t Time t 1 2 3 4 6. 1 2 3 4 6. Interpret these time series using the ASAD Redux model with workers misperceptions (Lecture Notes, Chapter 1). Assume that the time paths are caused by a single permanent shock hitting the economy at time t = 1, and interpret time t = 6 as the medium run. Your general task is to guess what type of shock can be responsible for the observed time series. Answer each of the following questions, providing clear motivation for your statements: (a) Can the shock be a permanent change, positive or negative, in public expenditures G? Motivate your answer. (b) Can the shock be a permanent change, positive or negative, in nominal money supply M³ ? Motivate your answer. (c) Can the shock be a permanent change, positive or negative, in firms productivity 1 ? Motivate your answer. (d) Can the shock be of a permanent change, positive or negative, in the slope of labour supply B? Motivate your answer. Add any further considerations that you think can be relevant to this exercise.
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