The managing director of Zambia plc has devolved some decision making to operating divisions but wants to be sure that decisions will be in line with group policy. In line with this he is investigating a recent decision to increase the price of the only product of Southern division of K14.50 per unit due to rising cots.. The following information and estimates were available for the management of Southern division.   Last year 75 000 units were sold at K12 each with a total unit cost of K9 of which K6 were variable costs. For the year ahead the following cost and demand estimates have been made.   Unit variable costs Pessimist            Probability     0.15    K7.00 per unit Most likely           Probability     0.65    K6.50 per unit Optimistic             Probability     0.20    K6.20 per unit   Total fixed costs Pessimist             Probability     0.30    increase by 50 % Most likely           Probability     0.50    increase by 25 % Optimistic             Probability     0.20    increase by 10 %   Demand estimates at various prices (units)                               Price per unit                        K13.50                       K14.50           Pessimist             Probability                 0.30    45 000                        35 000 Most likely           Probability                 0.50    45 000                        55 000 Optimistic             Probability                 0.20    70 000                        68 000   (unit variable costs, fixed costs and demand estimates are statistically independent) For this type of decision the group has decided9u That the option should be chosen which has the highest expected outcome with at least an 80 % chance of breaking even.       Required:   Assess whether the decision was made in accordance with group guidelines   Comment on the estimates for the decision and describe what other factors might have been considered

Financial And Managerial Accounting
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ISBN:9781337902663
Author:WARREN, Carl S.
Publisher:WARREN, Carl S.
Chapter18: Activity-based Costing
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Problem 13E: Handbrain Inc. is considering a change to activity-based product costing. The company produces two...
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  1. The managing director of Zambia plc has devolved some decision making to operating divisions but wants to be sure that decisions will be in line with group policy. In line with this he is investigating a recent decision to increase the price of the only product of Southern division of K14.50 per unit due to rising cots..

The following information and estimates were available for the management of Southern division.

 

  1. Last year 75 000 units were sold at K12 each with a total unit cost of K9 of which K6 were variable costs.
  2. For the year ahead the following cost and demand estimates have been made.

 

Unit variable costs

Pessimist            Probability     0.15    K7.00 per unit

Most likely           Probability     0.65    K6.50 per unit

Optimistic             Probability     0.20    K6.20 per unit

 

Total fixed costs

Pessimist             Probability     0.30    increase by 50 %

Most likely           Probability     0.50    increase by 25 %

Optimistic             Probability     0.20    increase by 10 %

 

Demand estimates at various prices (units)

                              Price per unit                        K13.50                       K14.50          

Pessimist             Probability                 0.30    45 000                        35 000

Most likely           Probability                 0.50    45 000                        55 000

Optimistic             Probability                 0.20    70 000                        68 000

 

(unit variable costs, fixed costs and demand estimates are statistically independent)

For this type of decision the group has decided9u

That the option should be chosen which has the highest expected outcome with at least an 80 % chance of breaking even.

 

 

 

Required:

 

  1. Assess whether the decision was made in accordance with group guidelines

 

  1. Comment on the estimates for the decision and describe what other factors might have been considered.
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