You have a net worth of $901395 and a utility function given by u(w) = w0.5. If your house %3D catches fire, a 3% likelihood of occurring, you expect it to be total loss and it was recently assessed at $792999. What is the risk premium ($) you'd be willing to pay for full coverage against this fire risk? Hints: Compute the certainty equivalent (CEQ) as you did in Comm 220 and recall that the risk premia is the amount you'd be willing to pay over the expected loss
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- A ten-year term insurance is be issued to a life aged 50. The sum insured is $200,000 and payable immediately upon death. Premium payments are annual in advance. a) Using the SOA Standard Ultimate Life Table at i = 5% and UDD, compute the net annual premium determined by the equivalence principle. b) Find the probability that this contract makes a profit. c) Compute the gross premium determined by the equivalence principle if the initial expense is $500 plus 10% of the first premium, and if there is a renewal expense of 2% of the annual premium payment for the second and all subsequent premium payments.Suppose Real Option Inc. has a product that generates the following cash flow. At t=1, the demand can be high or low. There is a probability of 0.6 that demand is high. If demand is high (low) the cash flow is CFH=400 (CFL=200). At t=2, the demand can also be high or low. If demand was high at t=1, then a high demand at t=2 arises with probability 0.7. If demand was low at t=1, then a high demand at t=2 arises with probability 0.2. If demand is high (low) at t=2 then CFH=400 (CFL=200). The interest rate for this project is 20%. (a) Draw the event and decision tree. (b) What is the market price (expected value) of Real Option Inc. at t=0? Now suppose Real Option Inc. can rent a platform to run a marketing campaign. For this purpose Real Option Inc. must sign a two year contract with the platform provider. The costs for using the platform are 180 per period. Marketing itself does not cost anything and has the following effect. In the high demand state, marketing doubles the demand. In…You are considering a $500,000 investment in the fast-food industry and have narrowed your choice to either a McDonald’s or a Penn Station East Coast Subs franchise. McDonald’s indicates that, based on the location where you are proposing to open a new restaurant, there is a 25 percent probability that aggregate 10-year profits (net of the initial investment) will be $16 million, a 50 percent probability that profits will be $8 million, and a 25 percent probability that profits will be −$1.6 million. The aggregate 10-year profit projections (net of the initial investment) for a Penn Station East Coast Subs franchise is $48 million with a 2.5 percent probability, $8 million with a 95 percent probability, and −$48 million with a 2.5 percent probability. Considering both the risk and expected profitability of these two investment opportunities, which is the better investment? Explain carefully.
- You live in an area where there is a possibility of a massive earthquake, so consider purchasing earthquake insurance for your home at an annual cost of $180. The probability of an earthquake damaging your home in the course of a year is 0.001. If this occurs, you estimate that the cost of the damage (fully covered by insurance) will be $160,000. Your total assets (including the house) are worth $250,000. a) Apply the maximum expected value decision rule to determine the alternative (to buy insurance or not) that maximizes the value of your assets after one year. b) You developed a utility function that measures the value of your assets in x dollars (x ≥ 0). This utility function is U(x) = √x. Compare the utility of reducing the total of your assets for the next year by a value equal to the value of the insurance, with the expected utility next year of not purchasing tremor insurance. Should you purchase the insurance?Find the expected value assuming the risk factor is 30 % and the interest rate is 15%, if you will receive $20,000 one year from today. Find the expected value assuming the risk factor is 30 % and the interest rate is 15%, if you will receive $20,000 two years from today.You live in an area that has a possibility of incurring a massive earthquake, so you are considering buyingearthquake insurance on your home at an annual cost of $180. The probability of an earthquake damagingyour home during one year is 0.001. If this happens, you estimate that the cost of the damage (fully coveredby earthquake insurance) will be $160,000. Your total assets (including your home) are worth $250,000.
- Consider two investors A and B.If the Certainty-Equivalent end-of-period wealth of A is less than the Certainty-Equivalent end-of-period wealth of B for the same portfolio choice,then A. Risk aversion of A > Risk aversion of B B. Risk aversion of A = Risk aversion of B C. Risk aversion of A< Risk aversion of B D. Not enough Information Justify your choice in a sentence or two:Find the Pratt - Arrow risk - aversion function for a utility function U(W) = log(0.5-W + 500), where W is the amount of wealth in €. Suppose that an investor's wealth is subject to outcomes -800 €, 500 €, 500 € and 1, 000 € which affect the initial amount of 2,500 € with probabilities of their occurrence 40%, 15%, 15% and 30%, respectively. a) Using the Taylor approximation to certainty equivalent, calculate an approximate expected utility value. b) Calculate the certain equivalent of the investor's uncertain wealth. Interpret.Suppose your utility function for money is a square-root function of its value in US dollars. So, for instance, $400 is worth 20 utils for you, $961 is worth 31 utils for you, and $62.5K is worth 250 utils for you. Now, let’s say your annual salary is $90K, although there is a small risk (p = 0.05) that something catastrophic will happen and reduce your income for the year to $14.4K. An insurance company comes along and offers to insure you against the loss of your salary. The cost of the insurance is $4,736. If you buy the policy and catastrophe strikes, the insurance company will pay out the $75,600 that you would otherwise have lost. From the standpoint of maximizing expected utility, would buying this insurance be a good deal for you? What would be the insurance company’s expected monetary value of selling you the policy?
- Angie owns an endive farm that will be worth $90,000 or $0 with equal probability. Her Bernouilli utility function is u(w) =√w, where w is her wealth level (sum of initial wealth and the worth of the endive farm). 1. Suppose her firm is the only asset she has, that is, she has no initial wealth. What is the lowest price P at which she will agree to sell her endive farm before she knows how much it will be worth? 2. Redo part (1) assuming that she has $160,000 in her bank safe. 3. Compare and discuss your results in parts (1) and (2). What relationship can you find between Angie’s initial wealth level (zero versus $160,000) and her risk aversion?Tess and Lex earn $40,000 per year and all earnings are spent on consumption (c). Tess and Lex both have the utility function c. Both could experience an adverse event that results in earnings of $0 per year. Tess has a 1% chance of experiencing an adverse event and Lex has a 12% chance of experiencing an adverse event. Tess and Lex are both aware of their risk of an adverse event. 1. Suppose the actuarially fair premium charge is 2600, Calculate Tess’ expected utility with full insurance if she is charged the premium. Round to two decimal places. 2. What is the premium that private insurance companies will charge for full insurance? Round to two decimal places. 3.Assume the social welfare function is the sum of the Tess’ and Lex’s utility functions. Select the correct statement regarding the explanation for what has happened in the private market and the role of social insurance. a.Adverse section has lead to market failure. The government could improve social welfare by…A drug company is considering investing $100 million today to bring a weight loss pill to the market. At the end of one year, the firm will know the payoff; there is a 0.50 probability that the pill will sell at a high price and generate $37 million per year of profit forever and a 0.50 probability that the pill will sell at a low price and generate $I million per year of profit forever. The interest rate is 10%. Suppose the firm decides to wait one year to determine whether the pill will sell at a high or low price. The firm will not invest if it learns that the pill will sell at a low price. What is the net present value of waiting one year to make the investment?O $88 millionO$122.72 millionO $201.22 millionO $64.5 million