Finance Exam Cheat Sheet
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School
Western University *
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Course
3303
Subject
Finance
Date
Feb 20, 2024
Type
docx
Pages
16
Uploaded by CommodoreIbex2179
FINANCE FRAMEWORK
Context
-
Role
- Who are we? What tools do we have? What are our incentives? -
Investor
Socially responsible investing, Investment bank
Susceptible to stability of equity market and is concerned with customer relationships. May want a higher purchase price.
-
Board wants to maximize shareholder value and avoid conflict of interest
-
CFO wants a bonus/keep his job Issue, Objective and Timing
- Acquisition (EV), IPO (V
e
- Value per share)
, or stock recommendation) -
List all alternatives
: Buy, sell, hold, buy it at a later date, look into better companies
Criteria- Maximize shareholder value, Optimal capital structure, unlocking value in target company (M&A), raising optimal amount of capital (IPO), timing, growth, risk
-
What is our risk profile? What is our time horizon? Analysis of Shareholder Preferences
? Exit Plan
External Size-Up
Economy
PEST Political
-
Tax benefits? Any changes? (Ex. International operations may improve tax rate)
-
Political risks
? SEC/Competition Bureau regulations? Can political risk be quantified into CAPM?
Economic
-
If [economic variable]
changes, it may impact the [characteristic]/financial position of the company
-
R
eal GDP growth
– Worsening economy
greater market risk
higher WACC
lower valuation -
Business Cycle? Expansion or Recession (increases cost of capital) -
I
nterest rate
-
Low interest rates
investors want lower return
lower WACC
higher valuation
Social
-
Aging population? Size of target demographic declining or growing? Effect on revenues or valuation?
-
Reputational risk
Social responsibility (e.g. cigarette company)
Technology
-
Is there change in consumer trends? Does this affect our product or revenue?
-
Innovation risk
higher WACC
lower valuation Industry
-
Growth: Is there overall growth in the industry? Will this affect terminal value?
-
Profitability: Is the industry profitable? What are margins like? High margins
increase valuation?
-
Size: Is the industry large? Is there a lot of demand? Is it a defensive or discretionary item?
-
Fragmented/Consolidated: Is the industry fragmented (lots of competition) or consolidated?
-
Key Competitors: What are our competitors doing? What are their strategies? Market shares?
-
Intensity of competition, Threat of entrants (Effects on Market share/revenue)
o
Barriers to entry
High
defensible free cash flows
higher valuation)
-
Threat of substitute, Power of supplier (low power = lower discount rate) and
Power of customer
:
low power
high pricing power
higher FCF
higher firm value -
Bidder Reaction: What might be their reaction to our bid? Other potential bidder reactions
Competition:
Threat of substitutes
Threat of new entrants - Barriers to entry
Fragmented vs. consolidated
Market power, price points
Consumers:
Price sensitivity
Consumer’s needs/wants
Distribution:
Negotiating power in supply chain
Retailer/wholesaler margins
Key Success Factors
Internal Size-Up
Public or private? Public
share price vs Private
TEV
How easy is it to issue shares or raise debt? Is there demand for shares? Marketing:
Target Market, buyer behavior, brand recognition, & demand risk
4P’s Price Product Placement Promotion
Competitive advantage
*IPO/acquisition is a good way to market company
Operations:
Manufacturing and distribution
Ability to meet demand/capacity
High growth needs cash
Inventory control, Working capital requirements, inventory control
Supply reliability/risk
Wholesaler/distributor power
Management:
Experience, leadership, culture
Managerial issues (ethics, ownership, control)
Strategy:
Short and long term strategy
Business model
Why do they need M&A/IPO?
Ownership
“Fit Analysis” (for M and A) -
Why merge/acquire the firm? Inorganic vs organic growth succeeds in this industry? -
What are the key strengths and potential risks of acquiring this company -
Does the deal make sense?
Ie KSFs
scale, innovation etc
-
Complementarity:
is company A strong where company B is week?
-
Tally up strengths and weaknesses
Financial Size-Up
FIRST STEP: Decide if CASH is excess or not
Check by: looking at WC
if this # is similar in size to cash, then assuming its in WC
Calculating WC: (AR+INV-AP) or WC/Sales or (CA- cash)-(CL)
if this is negative, no sense, include cash
“I considered both definitions, neither jumped out so I chose…”
IF CASH IS EXCESS: take it out of TEV to find equity value, add it back to equity to find TEV and take it out of debt to find NET DEBT
IF CASH IS WC: do NOT take it out or add it to any values, NOT included in net debt therefore JUST debt
2 Years of ratios
Types of comparisons: 1) Across financial statements, 2) Industry, 3) Trend YoY
Key ratios
IPO:
Sales growth, gross margin, net income margin, interest coverage, D/E, and ROE
M&A Bidder:
Emphasis on capital structure and financing ratios
- D/E, D/EBITDA, interest coverage, etc. (capital structure and financing ratios)
M&A Target:
Emphasis on performance via growth and margins
- Sales growth, net income growth, gross profit margin, net income margin, ROE, ROA (growth and margin ratios)
Examine stock prices
-
Bidder: High stock prices implies that we can buy with equity
-
Target: High stock price implies company is currently overvalued and the buyer’s control premium offered would shrink
Mergers and Acquisitions
Perform internal Size-Up for bidder and target company
Potential Fit:
How would shareholders react
Advantages and disadvantages of acquisition
Potential synergies
Fit with corporate strategy
Integration challenges
Synergies
Synergies – Additional value created by the combo of two entities into one, through increased revenues or reduced costs
Revenues Synergies: Resulting from cross-selling and up-selling opportunities
Cost Synergies: Reduction in costs; employee layoff + operating efficiency
Implications
Link to growth, discount rate, valuation, acquisition decision, IPO decision
Where are current interest rates
? Low interest rates
investors demand lower return
lower WACC
higher valuation
Is the economy expected to worsen? Worsening economy
greater market risk
higher WACC
lower valuation
Does the firm operate in a high technology environment?
Innovation risk
higher WACC
lower valuation
How predictable are the firm’s revenues? Predictable revenues
steadier free cash flows
higher valuation
Are there significant barriers to entry? High barriers to entry
defensible free cash flows
higher valuation
Relative Valuation/Multiples Methods
FIRST STEP: Set criteria
for comparable companies:
Link criteria to growth and risk
Eliminate only a few outlier firms
generate all, then exclude: leave in minimum 6
“I will consider growth, risk, debt, size, bus model, cap structure, mkt cp, but I will be focusing on”
Private companies don’t have MV of equity
Capital structure should not be used as screen
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Eli mate backward looking multiples that don’t follow proper direction (getting smaller)
Business Profile
Financial Profile
Sector, geographies
Products and services
Customers and end Markets
Distribution Channels
Geography (tax rate)
Size (market Cap) Profitability (Margins)
Growth Profile
Return on Investment
Capital structure ie debt levels
Multiply by denominator , EBITA is better than EBIT because companies could have different depreciations based on their hard investment policies or their acquisition policies, accounting policies, cap st. etc.
Price/Earnings method Step 1: Calculate P/E for comparable firms
P/E = Price Per Share / Earnings per share OR Market Capitalization / Net Income
Step 2: Multiply
To find My Enterprise Value (TEV)- Comparable P/E x your (net income + v debt – cash) To find My implied Price per Share = Price per share / Earnings per Share x My earnings per Share
To find My Value of Equity = Price / EPS x My Earnings (net income)
PROS: takes into account cap structure
good if similar bc captures growth & risk of the company
-accounts for risk by capturing debt burdens through interest ie would weigh more with more debt
CONS: dependent on capital structure and accounting principles (assumes the exact comparability)
-doesn’t give an accurate indication of performance itself Enterprise Value to EBITDA or EBIT Approach
Step 1: TEV/EBITDA for comparable firms
Add depreciation to EBIT if EBITDA not given
TEV = MV
equity
+ MV
Debt
- EXCESS Cash
TEV / EBITDA = EV/EBITDA Multiple
Step 2: Multiple your company’s EBITDA by TEV/EBITDA
TEV = EV / EBITDA multiple x our EBITDA
Step 3: Solve for equity Value
MV
equity
= TEV – MV
Debt
+ EXCESS Cash
Step 4: Find Price Per share
Price per Share = MV
equity /Outstanding shares
Finds EV: comparable EV/EBITDA x your EBITDA
-
EE/EBITDA- best multiple, levels investment and capital structure playing field
-
EBITDA: best bc assess op performance (efficiency measure) takes into account costs but is capital structure neutral
good for business models that are not cap intesntive -
EV/EBIT levels the capital structure playing field but not investment -
Looks at firm as potential acquirer would because it takes into account debt
-
Low ratio indicated company may be undervalued
-
EV/EBITDA and P/E difference suggests variance in CS, use of debt to amplify returns
Other Multiple approaches
Price to Cash Flow: P = P/CF multiples x CF
1
Price to Revenue: P = P/Rev multiples x REV
1
Revenue multiple can be used if company is not making profit When to use Multiples Approach:
When there are positive earnings
Comparable operate in similar geographies (same tax rates)
Similar capital structures
Similar depreciation and amortization account rules
Earnings/income more indicative of value than cash flow
FORWARD VS BACKWARD LOOKING
-Forward looking used for target but con is that it is based on a forecast/guess
-Backward looking numbers are more tangible
-COMMENT ON PATTERN: forward looking should be getting smaller bc denominator (earnings, EBIT) should be increasing/growing
if going in the wrong direction, remove BACKWARDS bc assuming that something was unusual in the past that they are correcting for the future
concerning for strength of model though
Comparable Transaction Approach
Ratio-based valuation
: Look at ratios to price paid in transaction by target financials (Earnings, EBITDA,
sales etc.)
Premium Paid Analysis
: Look at premiums in recent merger transactions (price paid to recent stock price)
May need to convert price paid into a multiple
Analyze transaction
-
Recency
-
Business structure
-
Market timing/economic cycles
-
Control premiums/ownership % required
-
Financial vs. strategic acquisition
BETAS
-public companies will have betas
-unlever with comp’s D/E, relever with OUR D/E
-assess’s the business’ risk in relation to the market
can depend on industry ie education doesn’t fluctuate with the market
therefore lower beta
Betas
of comparable companies and take average:
If given target's beta
, unlever and relever at TARGET Cap Structure
If given industry beta
, unlever and relever... say why chose industry
If given comps
, narrow down comps and choose then unlever and relever
Unlever and relever beta when firm wants to achieve a new capital structure or when using comparable firms’ beta (to negate the effects of debt)
DO NOT RELEVER IF NO DEBT IN CAP STRUCTURE
Levered Beta / Equity Beta – includes debt
Unlevered / Asset Beta – Only includes assets B
U
= B
L
/ [1 + (1-T) x D/E)]
Relever Beta using own capital structure:
Use levered beta in CAPM calculation B
L
= B
U
x (1 + 1(1 – T) x D/E)
Cost of Equity should be between 8 – 14%
Valuation
Looking for Enterprise value if valuing division of company WACC
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) – weighted average of the cost to a firm of all the forms of long-term financing, including debt, preferred shared, and common shares
-
The lower the WACC, the higher the firm value -
k
C = W
e
x k
e
+ W
d
x k
d
x (1 – t) + W
p
x k
p
-
W
e
= Weight of equity
k
e
= Cost of equity
-
W
d = Weight of debt
k
d
= Cost of debt
t = Tax rate
-
W
p = Weight of preferreds
k
p = Cost of preferreds
Step 1: Capital Structure
1.
Target capital structure
2.
Market Value
-
Equity: Share price x # shares outstanding
-
Debt: Divide price of bond by face value ($100), multiply by book value on balance sheet
3.
Book Value
-
Two criteria for including line items: i) permanent ii) interest-bearing
-
Includes: Short-term obligations, Long-term Debt, Other Long-term Liabilities, Preferred Shares, Current portion on LT debt, Common equity, Retained Earnings
Weights of target company
Step 2a: Cost of Equity 1.
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) -
Relates cost of equity for an individual asset to that asset’s beta
K
e = r
f
+ B x (RP) which is (r
m
- r
f
)
-
K
e = Required rate of return on equity
-
r
f
= Risk-free rate (Current yield on government bonds, usually 10 yr: average length of project)
-
Using 30 years is more conservative bc
higher r
higher WACC
lower value
-
MRP = Expected market risk premium, assume 5-7% historical average if not given
-
E/V
always market value of equity
Step 2b: Cost of Debt
Current YTM on outstanding long-term debt
Use credit rating, comps, or spread
Coupon on outstanding bonds if recently issued
Spread over treasuries given a credit rating (S&P, Moody’s, Fitch)
Market yield on comparable company long-term debt
Taking interest paid and dividing it by the principal amount of loan
Worst case: Interest expense/ Avg. debt outstanding (affected by debt repayment)
WEIGHT: use target weight of debt
Step 2c: Cost of preferred
K
P
= Dividend / Price
Step 3: Calculate WACC
Implications:
High WACC: high cost of raising capital for projects, going public via IPO decreases WACC, M&A may decrease WACC depending on capital structure
Low WACC: Low cost of raising capital for projects, M&A may increase WACC depending on capital structure Discounted Cash Flow Approaches(DCF)
Free Cash Flows to the Firm Model (FCFF)
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FCFF = NOPAT + D&A – CAPX – Increase in WC
FCFF = NOPAT – Increase in NPP&E – Increase in WC
Approach of estimating the equity value of a firm based on a projection of free cash flows
-
Measure of how much cash can be paid to the equity shareholders of the company after all expenses,
reinvestment
and debt repayment Step 1: Calculate WACC k
C = W
e
x k
e
+ W
d
x k
d
x (1 – t) + W
p
x k
p
Step 2: Calculate FCFF for each period
FCFF = EBIT x (1 – Tax Rate) + non-cash expenses (depreciation, amortization) – capital expenditures – net
changes to working capital
EBIT- Earnings before Interest and Tax
EBITDA- Earnings before Interest Tax Depreciation and Amortization o
EBIT: EBITDA + depreciation, Revenue – operation expenses, Revenue x operating margin o
Non-cash expenses: Depreciation schedule, as % of sales, Net PPE
n
– (Net PPE
n+1
– Capital Exp
n+1
), CAPEX – Change in NPPE
-
Pick one and justify
-
Change in PPE= CAPX - DEP
o
Capex: if not provided look at difference in assets year to year, or assume a % of revenue
o
Working Capital: Changes in WC = WC
0
– WC
1
, % of sales
-
WC = Current Assets [(AR+Inv. + Prepaid X + (Cash if needed for daily ops)] – Non-interest bearing Current Liabilities (AP/Deferred Rev./Accrued Expenses)
-
If include cash, assume there’s no excess cash
Step 3: Discount each FCFF back to the present using WACC as discount rate
PV FCFF = FCFF / (1 + K
c
)
n
Step 4: Terminal Value
TV = FCFF
n
x (1+g) / K
c
– g
N is last period before TV PV calc
Growth
Analysts forecast of growth
GDP growth 2 – 4%
MAX SUST. GR. RATE:
WACC *((Increase in NetPP&E – Increase in WC)/NOPAT)
Present value of Terminal Value: PV TV = TV / (1 + K
c
)
n
Step 5: Firm Value
Add Present Value of FCFF and with present value of Terminal Value
Don’t include PV FCFF discount period 0
Total Enterprise Value= PV of TVn + PV FCFF (Years 1 to n)s
Step 6: Value of equity and share price
Value of equity = Firm Value - Net Debt
Net Debt = Debt – EXCESS Cash
-
Debt is Interest-bearing and permanent debt
-
Cash is non-operating cash
-
Say if cash is going to operating activities rather than paying off debt
Share price = Value of equity / # of Shares Outstanding
If company has set life span, then don’t do terminal value Sensitivity
Perform sensitivity on share price for WACC, growth rate, sales growth, EBITDA Margins, Exit Multiple, Capex -
WACC and growth are common sensitivities b/c risk (WACC)and growth drive value of a company
Choose range for valuation from DCF
Valuation Summary Table
Draw implications about different valuation ranges
Discounted cash flow analysis suggested an _____ value of _____ to _____
Comparable EV/EBITDA multiples suggested an _____ value of _____ to _____
Comparable P/E multiples suggested an _____ value of _____ to _____
Analysis of Valuation Methods
FCFF
Pros
Cons
- Uses time value of money principles and focuses on
cash flows
- Incorporates growth and risk over many years
- Removes affects of different accounting principles
- Only as good as assumptions made
- Assuming constant capital structure, cost of capital,
and growth rate
- Assumptions about capex, working capital changes,
EBIT, tax rate, growth rate
Price-Earnings Method
Pros
Cons
- Forward looking
- Based on market place
-takes into account growth and risk
- Assuming comparable firms are fairly priced in market place
- Focuses on earnings rather than cash flow
Earnings can be affected by accounting methods
- Does not take capital structure into account
- Only a 1-year snapshot
When to use: -
Positive earnings
-
Comparables are in similar geographies (Equivalent tax rates)
-
Similar capital structure, or capital structure are an important feature
-
Similar depreciation and amortization accounting rules
-
Earnings/income more indicative of value than cash flow
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
Pros
Cons
- Mitigates problems in P/E multiple
- More cash flow oriented; less issues with accounting methods
- Minimizes distortions from differences in capital structure and fixed assets b/c using EBITDA
- Based on a one-year snapshot
Recommendation & Action Plan
IPO
Decision
Whether or not IPO should occur
-
Use of capital from IPO
Price per share
-
Explanation of chosen valuation
-
Discuss/evaluate valuation approaches
Competitive/strategic implication
-
Ownership
-
Timing
Reasons for an IPO
Advantages:
Enlarging and diversifying equity base
Enabling cheaper access to capital
Increasing exposure, prestige, public image; establishes credibility
Attracting and retaining better management and employees through liquid equity participation
Facilitating acquisitions
Creating multiple financing opportunities: equity, convertible debt, cheaper bank loans, etc.
Disadvantages:
Legal, accounting, marketing costs
Requirement to disclose financial and business information
Competitors, suppliers, customers
Risk that required funding will not be raised
Loss of control and stronger agency problems due to new shareholders
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Dilution of shares? Stakeholders
Determine how important ownership is to the existing shareholders for IPOs
How does this decision affect shareholders of both companies? Action Plan
Underwriting fee: 1% to 8% of share issuance
Risks and Contingency:
Our role and how that can affect the timeline and power of our decision
Potential Risks:
Required funding is not raised (lack of demand)
Loss of control
Incorrect timing (bad signal
we think our company is overvalued therefore issuing debt etc)
Mergers & Acquisitions
Decision
Whether or not M&A should occur
Price to pay for acquisition of target company: WE ALWAYS PAY THE EQUITY VALUE bc we assume we are TAKING ON THE EXISTING DEBT
-
Walk away price
-
Discuss/evaluate valuation approaches
Reasons for M&A
Efficiency
Synergistic gains
Information
Undervalued assets
Agency Problems
entrenched management
Market power
just want to be the biggest
Keep up with consolidation in the industry
everyone else is doing it
Defense
potential cost if competitor gets it (also reason for premium)
Why should I pay a premium?
Competitive/strategic implications
Synergies
% of synergies that will be realized
Personal outlook different than market outlook
Control premium (20-30%)
premium for getting control of company Stakeholders
Determine how important ownership is to the acquirer and the seller
How does this decision affect shareholders of both companies?
Who has controlling interest in the merged company and where does it reside? Action Plan
Bidding strategy
Range of values, Starting offer, walkaway price
Relate to valuation
If buying, set price celling, if selling set price floor
Could price of company be driven up by competing bids?
Discuss control premium that must be paid
Financing the transaction
Cash cheapest, then debt, then equity
FRICTO for debt and equity
Calculate key ratios (EPS, interest coverage, debt vs. equity, Return on equity)
COMPARE ONE KEY RATIO BEFORE AND AFTER
How much debt can we take on and how much equity can be issued?
o
Cash: Cheapest option, need enough for operations, low working capital gap, not seasonal
o
Debt: Low interest rates, high interest coverage
o
Equity: High stock prices, high EPS
Capital of target AND bidder can be used to finance acquisition
-
Alignment w/ target capital structure
Consolidated Balance Sheet:
Combine major line items (Cash, debt, equity, to find total amount for acquisition)
Remove deferred taxes and equity of target company (Wiped out by transaction cost)
Goodwill is plug
Consolidated Balance Sheet
Bidder
Target
Combined
Assets
Cash
Goodwill
Liabilities
Deferred Taxes
Transaction Cost
Total equity
Total Liabilities + equity
Key Ratios: Interest Coverage = EBIT/ Interest exp. = EBIT
Bidder + EBITE
Target
/ Int exp
Bidder + Int exp
Target
+ Int exp
New Debt
Int exp
New Debt = New debt x Cost of Debt
EPS = Net Income / Shares Outstanding = Net Income / (Current # shares + Additional # Shares) = Net Income /
(Current # Shares + (Cost of acquisition / Price per share))
Risk and Contingencies
Our role and how that can affect the timeline and power of our decision
Potential risks + contingencies: o
Synergies may not be realized
o
Proposed bid fails and company can’t acquire target company
Can increase shareholder value by conducting share buyback or issuing more dividends
Discuss the catalysts for realizing the implied values
Ratios
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio
Total Current Assets / Total Current Liabilities Times short term assets can cover short term debts; Benchmark 2:1; insolvency = too low; too high
inefficient use of capital Acid Test Ratio
(Cash + Marketable Securities + Accounts Receivable) / Total Current Liabilities
Ability to meet-short term payments using most liquid assets (not inventory); Benchmark 1:1 Working Capital
Total Current Assets – Total Current Liabilities
Higher is safe b/c better chance of paying off ST debt; High
Money better spent elsewhere, Low
Money tied up in working capital
Working Capital Turnover
Sales/Working Capital
Depletion
of
working capital
to the generation of sales over a given period
Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio
Net Sales / Net PPE
company's ability to generate net sales from fixed-asset investments
Efficiency Ratios
Age of Receivables
Accounts Receivable / (revenue/365)
How long customers take to pay us
- Too low
Credit policies too tight and scaring off business
- Too higher
customers not paying in time, should tighten credit policies Age of Payables
Accounts Payable / (purchases/365)
How long it takes to pay suppliers - Too low
get more short-term cash by taking longer to pay - Too high
May get bad reputation and have credit privileges cut off
Age of Inventory
Inventories / (COGS / 365)
How long inventory is in stock
- too low
Stock outs may be arising - too high
Excess inventory (tied up cash) Working Capital Gap
A/R + Inv – A/P
Days cash is strapped in AR and Inv before suppliers can be paid
Difference between collecting payments and making payments for inventory
- Want smaller gap to have cash on hand
- negative is good
Vertical Analysis
COGS to Sales
COGS
/
Sales
Relative cost of inputs. Lower the lower the costs
Gross Profit Margin
(
Gross Profit
)/
Sales
Gross profit earned on sales. Higher the higher the cut received on each sale.
Operating margin
(
Operating Income
)/
Sales
ower the lower the expenses relative to sales.
Profit Margin
(
Net Income
)/
Sales
Higher the more profitable each sale.
Financial Leverage
Debt Capacity Total Liabilities / Total Assets
What % of the business is financed through debt? Lower is safer
Debt to Equity
Total Liabilities / Total Equity Times of debt for every dollar of equity - Lower is safer; too high
too leveraged; too low
inefficient equity use
Net Worth to Total Assets
Total Equity / Total Assets
What % of business do assets own? Higher is better; Too low
Too much debt; too high
underleveraged which reduces ROE
Interest Coverage
EBIT / Interest on LT Loan
Times a company can meet interest payments; lenders want to know loan charges can be covered;
higher is better; Benchmark = 2
- 1.5 is minimum
- 2.5 is warning
Profitability
Return on Equity
Net Income (Loss) / Common Equity
Maximum return available to shareholders; higher means satisfied
Return on Assets
Net Income / Total Assets What returns are being generated on fixed assets; higher means good use
Growth
Profit Growth Profit (Year 2) – Profit (year 1) / Profit (Year 1)
Efficiency of operations relative to previous period
Sales Growth
Sales y2 – sales y1 / sales y1
Growth of overall activity - Should be proportional to profit
Asset Growth Asset y2 – asset y1 / asset y1
Changes in level of resources owned
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- Should be proportional to profit + sales
ROE Decomposition (Dupont Formula) Return on Equity = Return on Sales x Asset Turnover x Leverage
Net inc/equity = (Net inc/sales) x (sales/assets) x (assets/equity)
Profit (good) efficiency(good) leverage(bad)
Price-Earnings Method
Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
Price per share/ Earnings per share Market cap / Net Income
Values a company relative to its earnings per share indicates the dollar amount an investor can expect to invest in a company in order to receive one dollar of that company’s earnings. Earnings per Share (EPS)
Net Income / Outstanding Shares
Portion of a company’s profit allocated to each outstanding share of common stock
Valuation share price
Price per share / Earnings per Share x My earnings per Share
EV/EBITDA Method
Enterprise Value (EV) or (TEV)
MV
equity
+ MV
Debt
- Cash
Economic measure reflecting the market value of a whole business
TEV/EBITDA Multiple
EV/EBITDA Valuation enterprise value
EV / EBITDA multiple x EBITDA
Market Value of Equity
MV
equity
= TEV – MV
Debt
+ Cash
WACC
WACC
W
e
x k
e
+ W
d
x k
d
x (1 – t) +
W
p
x k
p
overall required return for a firm
- cost of raising capital
CAPM (Ke)
r
f
+ B x RP
model that describes the relationship between risk and
expected return
- Says investor must be compensated for TV of money and risk
Unlevered beta
B
U
= B
L
/ [1 + (1-T) x D/E)]
Compares the risk of an unlevered company to the risk of the market. The unlevered
beta
is the beta of a company without any
debt. Unlevering a beta removes the financial effects from leverage Levered Beta
B
L
= B
U
x (1 + 1(1 – T) x D/E)
measure of the
volatility
, or
systematic risk
, of a security or a
portfolio
in comparison to the market as a whole Market Risk Premium
Assume 5% if not given
difference between the
expected return
on a
market portfolio
and the risk-free rate
Risk free rate
Current yield on government bonds
interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time
FCFF
Free cash flow for
the firm
FCFF = EBIT x (1 – Tax Rate) + non-cash
expenses (depreciation, amortization) –
capital expenditures – net changes to
working capital
measure of
financial performance
that expresses the net amount of cash that is generated for the firm
Depreciation
Depreciation schedule
Depreciation as % of sales
Depreciation = Net PPE
n
– (Net PPE
n+1
– Capital Exp
n+1
)
Depreciation =CAPEX – Change in NPPE
Working Capital
Total Current Assets – Total Current Liabilities
Higher is safer; too higher
Money better spent elsewhere, WC
low return
If includes cash, don’t remove cash of net debt
Change in working capital WC
0
– WC
1
When more cash is tied up in working capital than the previous year, the increase in working capital is
treated as a cost against free cash flow
PV of FCFF
FCFF / (1 + K
c
)
n
Terminal Value
TV = FCFF
n
x (1+g) / K
c
– g
NOT Preset value of FCFF
Anticipated value on a certain date in the future
- It is used in multi-stage
discounted cash flow
analysis and the study of cash flow projections
for a several-year period
Growth
- GDP growth 2 – 3%
PV Terminal Value
PV TV = TV / (1 + K
c
)
n
Value of Equity / Market Capitalization
Firm Value – Net Debt
Price per share x Outstanding shares
total dollar market value of all of a company's outstanding shares
- Indicates company size
Net Debt
Debt – Cash
Permanent + interest-bearing
Shows a company's overall debt situation by
netting
the value of a company's
liabilities
and debts with its cash
Other
Dividend payout ratio
Dividend per share / EPS = Dividends / Net Income
Percentage of earnings paid to shareholders in dividends
Terminal Value
TV = FCFF / (1+g) / (Kc – g)
Represents the value, as of the last year of annual forecasts, of all free cash flows beyond that point in time
- Value of a perpetuity of cash flows
Present Value
PV = FV / (1+kC)
t
PV of Tax Shield
Old tax amount – New tax amount / Divided by interest rate on loan
Reduction in
taxable income
for an individual or corporation achieved through claiming allowable deductions such as
mortgage interest
,
medical expenses
,
charitable donations
,
amortization
and depreciation
FRICTO
EQUITY
TIMING & INCOME
DEBT
FLEXIBILITY & RISK
Flexibility (if favor flexibility- Equity)
Taking on equity maintains flexibility on future decision making
Higher levels of debt lead to stricter covenants and higher borrowing costs
- Difficult to make decisions
- More difficult to obtain and higher interest rates
If firm thinks they need debt to fund operations/projects in near future, should issue equity instead to remain flexible
Interest payments from debt reduce cash flow – less flexibility for capital expenditures
Risk (If favor low risk, equity)
Interest coverage risk (check int cov) - Holding too much debt increases risk of not being able to pay interest and being forced into default (credit risk) - Liquidity risk (cannot tell asset)
Determine/compare risk by calculating leverage ratios Income (If favor income, fav debt)
Adding debt increases improves earning per share
Income increased b/c of tax shield Control
Debt does not changes ownership structure
Issuing equity dilutes current shareholders; gives rights to new investors
- Depends on shareholders (e.g. family owned firm wants control) Taxes
Debt reduces tax on income - Interest expense is tax deductible
Value of company will increase by taking on debt proportional to amount of debt you assume and tax rate
- Smaller amount of earnings belong to government
PV of Tax Shield = Total Debt x Tax Rate (From income statement) Tax Rate = Old tax amount – New tax amount / Divided by interest rate on loan
Other (Market Timing and Signals) Market Timing:
Debt issuance better when interest rates are lower
Equity issuance better when equity market is overvalued / stock prices higher - Demand for equity not always available - Can check this by seeing if our mulitples are in line with the comps
Market Signaling:
Capital structure decision send signals to stakeholders
i.
Issuing shares:
management believes their own shares are fairly priced or overvalued
ii.
Share buyback:
management signals that they believe their own shares to be undervalued
iii.
Increasing dividends:
could signal that management believes in the stability of cash flows going forward
iv.
Issuing debt
: signals confidence in ability to meet interest payments, as well as desire for growth
Optimal Debt Amount
Too Little Debt
Too Much Debt
- May be foregone investment opportunities
- Not utilizing the cheapest form of - Restrictive covenants may limit freedoms of management
- Companies that are near bankruptcy will be
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financing, especially considering tax shield
- Lower return on equity
charged higher cost of financing
- Limits opportunities for future debt issuance
- Higher bankruptcy costs
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