Chapter 4 - Financial Modeling - Template
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Feb 20, 2024
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FIN 301 Financial Modeling
Phum Uengaksonsamai
Scenarios for Next Year
Current
Worst
Most Likely
Best
Period
Case
Case
Case Assumptions
Sales Growth
7.0%
14.0%
21.0%
Costs
Grow at the rate of Sales Growth
Assignment Instructions:
Interest Expense
Will remain constant
1) Using the Assumptions provided in the attached Excel spreadsheet, complete income Statement Assets & Current Liabilities
Grow at the rate of Sales Growth
and Balance Sheet projections for the Worst, Most Likely and Best Case Scenarios
Long-Term Debt
Will remain constant
2) Complete all financial calculations corresponding with the "light blue" highlighted cells including:
Equity
Will fluctuate with Financing needs
a) What are the external financing needs at each scenario?
Dividend & Plowback Ratios
To remain at Current Period levels
b) What is the current plowback and dividend payout percent?
Taxes
21.0%
21.0%
21.0%
c) What is the company's Return on Assets in the Current Period?
d) What is the company's Return on Equity in the Current Period?
Income Statement
e) What is the company's Internal Growth Rate for the Current Period and all Scenarios?
Sales
395,675 423,372 451,070 478,767 f) What is the company's Sustainable Growth Rate for the Current Period and all Scenarios?
Costs
315,340 337,414 359,488 381,561 EBIT
80,335 85,958 91,582 97,205 Interest Expense
11,175 11,175 11,175 11,175 Taxable Income
69,160 74,783 80,407 86,030 Taxes
14,524 15,705 16,885 18,066 Net Income
54,636 59,079 63,521 67,964 Profit Margin %
13.8%
14.0%
14.1%
14.2%
Dividends 19,123 20,678 22,233 23,787 Additions to Retained Earnings
35,514 38,401 41,289 44,177 Assets
Total Current Assets
87,500 93,625 99,750 105,875 Net Fixed Assets
240,750 257,603 274,455 291,308 Total Assets
328,250 351,228 374,205 397,183 Liabilities
Current Liabilities
21,900 23,433 24,966 26,499 Long-Term Debt
137,350 137,350 137,350 137,350 Total Liabilities
159,250 160,783 162,316 163,849 Equity
169,000 190,445 211,889 233,334 Total Liabilities & Equity
328,250 351,228 374,205 397,183 External Financing Need
(16,957) 1,600 20,157 Calculation: Projected Equity - Beginning Equity - Additions to Retained Earnings
Dividend Payout Ratio
35%
35%
35%
35%
Calculation: Dividends / Net Income
Retention or Plowback Ratio
65%
65%
65%
65%
Calculation: 1 - Dividend Payout Ratio
Return on Assets
16.6%
16.8%
17.0%
17.1%
Calculation: Net Income / Total Assets
Return on Equity
32.3%
31.0%
30.0%
29.1%
Calculation: Net Income / Total Equity
Internal Growth Rate %
12.1%
12.3%
12.4%
12.5%
Calculation: (ROA% x Retention Ratio) / (1-(ROA% x Retention Ratio)
Sustainable Growth Rate%
26.6%
25.3%
24.2%
23.4%
Calculation: (ROE% x Retention Ratio) / (1-(ROE% x Retention Ratio)
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Related Questions
Calculate CAPM for expected rate of return for the 3 company's in the chart
Please show work
Ford Motor Company
United Airlines
Coca-cola
Risk free rate
1.72%
1.72%
1.72%
Beta
1.12
1.39
.0663
Return on market
6.44%
6.44%
6.44%
Market risk premium
4.72%
4.72%
4.72%
what are the differences and why?
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Financial Forecast
This section outlines the projected financial statements. The financial statements should include detailed notes/explanations and assumptions to substantiate your projections. You can use imaginary numbers, however can you include a capital of $500,000 and a loan of $250,000 in the statments.
Please provide the Key assumptionsProvide the mentioned Financial statements:Income statementBalance sheetCash flow statementBreak-even analysis
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Use the following information to calculate your company's expected return.
State Probability Return
Boom 20% 0.42
Normal 60% 0.13
Recession 20% -0.19
Round to two decimal places.
arrow_forward
Question is in the screen shot
arrow_forward
Use the following information to answer the question.
Based on above data, determine the expected return?
Select one:
a. 12.06%
b. 19%
c. 17.35%
d. 16.72%
arrow_forward
Please fill in thr blank on the excel and show how you got the missing things. Thank you!
arrow_forward
View Policies
Current Attempt in Progress
Calculate the correlation coefficient (PA) for the following situation: (Round intermediate calculations and the final answer to 4
decimal place, e.g. 0.2921.)
State of the
economy
High growth
Moderate
Recession
Probability of Expected return on
occurrence
stock A in this state
47.0%
26.0%
-14.0%
25%
20%
55%
Correlation coefficient
Expected return on
stock B in this state
64.0%
34.0%
-24.0%
arrow_forward
Answer question in the image.
arrow_forward
Here How has been the value of G6 calculated? explanation please
arrow_forward
The following table lists possible rates of return on Company A and B.
State of the Economy
Probability
Company A
Deep recession
0.05
-20%
Mild recession
Average
Mild boom
Strong boom
ii.
0.25
0.35
0.20
0.15
iii.
0
10
15
30
(a) Based on the above data calculate by using the appropriate formulae
the standard deviations of returns for Company A and B
i.
the covariance of returns between Company A and B
Company B
-40%
the correlation between Company A and B
10
0
25
30
(b) If you wish to diversify risk would it be advisable to form a portfolio of both
securities A and B? State your reasons. (No computations are required to answer
this part of the question.)
(c) Find the minimum variance one can get by forming a portfolio of A and B. Short-
selling either stock is allowed - i.e., weights need not be all positive.
arrow_forward
Provide correct solution
arrow_forward
9. Consider the case of two financial assets and three market conditions (states). The table
below gives the respective probability for each market condition and the return of each asset
in each one of them.
Market Conditions
State
Recession
Normality
Expansion
Probability of state
10%
60%
30%
Return of asset A
-20%
20%
70%
Return of asset B
-10%
10%
35%
a. Derive the expected returns and the standard deviation of returns for the two assets
above.
b. Consider the portfolio with 50% investment in each of the two assets above. Calculate
the expected return and the standard deviation of the portfolio.
c. Estimate the equation of the efficiency frontier.
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Question 1
Fill the parts in the above table that are shaded in yellow. You will notice that there are nineline items.
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None
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Use the following information to answer the question.
Probability
Outcome
Return
20%
25%
55%
-20%
15%
35%
Recession
Expansion
Boom
Based on above data, determine the expected return?
Select one:
a. 17.35%
b. 16.72%
c. 12.06%
d. 19%
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Compute the expected return given these three economic states, their likelihoods, and the potential returns:
Economic State Probability Return
Fast Growth 0.3 40%
Slow Growth 0.4 15%
Recession 0.3 -15%
Multiple Choice
___ 13.5 percent
___ 22.5 percent
___ 18.30 percent
___ 40.0 percent
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Using the table below show and explain whether the two assets A and B are ideal for Hedging
State of the world
Probability
Return
A
Return
B
Expansion
25%
32%
5%
Normal
50%
14%
15%
Recession
25%
4%
25%
arrow_forward
Need help
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Need answer please
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Give correct answer
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Show calculations
arrow_forward
Consider the following scenario analysis:
Scenario
Recession
Normal economy
Boom.
Probability
0.20
Stocks
Bonds
0.60
0.20
a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms?
b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment.
c. Which investment would you prefer?
Expected
Rate of
Return
1.3%
0.8 %
Complete this question by entering your answers in the tabs below.
Required A Required B Required C
Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment.
Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answers as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.
Rate of Return.
Bonds
14%
8%
4%
Standard
Deviation
Stocks
-5%
15%
25%
15.3
Answer is complete but not entirely correct.
%
8.1 %
Dequired A
Required
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Measuring risk and rate return) Given the following holding-period returns, calculate the average return for the market.
Month
Champ Inc.
Market
1
2.8%
1.8%
2
3.2%
1.2%
3
9.0%
11.0%
4
-2.6%
-1.0%
5
-2.9%
-4.7%
6
12.0%
8.0%
answer is 2.72%
arrow_forward
Given the following information about past
returns for Saphir Netmarketing, what is
the standard deviation of returns?
Year Return
1
12.00%
8.30%
3 -4.70%
4
-0.90%
5.70%
O Type here to search
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SEE MORE QUESTIONS
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Related Questions
- Calculate CAPM for expected rate of return for the 3 company's in the chart Please show work Ford Motor Company United Airlines Coca-cola Risk free rate 1.72% 1.72% 1.72% Beta 1.12 1.39 .0663 Return on market 6.44% 6.44% 6.44% Market risk premium 4.72% 4.72% 4.72% what are the differences and why?arrow_forwardFinancial Forecast This section outlines the projected financial statements. The financial statements should include detailed notes/explanations and assumptions to substantiate your projections. You can use imaginary numbers, however can you include a capital of $500,000 and a loan of $250,000 in the statments. Please provide the Key assumptionsProvide the mentioned Financial statements:Income statementBalance sheetCash flow statementBreak-even analysisarrow_forwardUse the following information to calculate your company's expected return. State Probability Return Boom 20% 0.42 Normal 60% 0.13 Recession 20% -0.19 Round to two decimal places.arrow_forward
- Question is in the screen shotarrow_forwardUse the following information to answer the question. Based on above data, determine the expected return? Select one: a. 12.06% b. 19% c. 17.35% d. 16.72%arrow_forwardPlease fill in thr blank on the excel and show how you got the missing things. Thank you!arrow_forward
- View Policies Current Attempt in Progress Calculate the correlation coefficient (PA) for the following situation: (Round intermediate calculations and the final answer to 4 decimal place, e.g. 0.2921.) State of the economy High growth Moderate Recession Probability of Expected return on occurrence stock A in this state 47.0% 26.0% -14.0% 25% 20% 55% Correlation coefficient Expected return on stock B in this state 64.0% 34.0% -24.0%arrow_forwardAnswer question in the image.arrow_forwardHere How has been the value of G6 calculated? explanation pleasearrow_forward
- The following table lists possible rates of return on Company A and B. State of the Economy Probability Company A Deep recession 0.05 -20% Mild recession Average Mild boom Strong boom ii. 0.25 0.35 0.20 0.15 iii. 0 10 15 30 (a) Based on the above data calculate by using the appropriate formulae the standard deviations of returns for Company A and B i. the covariance of returns between Company A and B Company B -40% the correlation between Company A and B 10 0 25 30 (b) If you wish to diversify risk would it be advisable to form a portfolio of both securities A and B? State your reasons. (No computations are required to answer this part of the question.) (c) Find the minimum variance one can get by forming a portfolio of A and B. Short- selling either stock is allowed - i.e., weights need not be all positive.arrow_forwardProvide correct solutionarrow_forward9. Consider the case of two financial assets and three market conditions (states). The table below gives the respective probability for each market condition and the return of each asset in each one of them. Market Conditions State Recession Normality Expansion Probability of state 10% 60% 30% Return of asset A -20% 20% 70% Return of asset B -10% 10% 35% a. Derive the expected returns and the standard deviation of returns for the two assets above. b. Consider the portfolio with 50% investment in each of the two assets above. Calculate the expected return and the standard deviation of the portfolio. c. Estimate the equation of the efficiency frontier.arrow_forward
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SEE MORE QUESTIONS
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Recommended textbooks for you
- Financial Reporting, Financial Statement Analysis...FinanceISBN:9781285190907Author:James M. Wahlen, Stephen P. Baginski, Mark BradshawPublisher:Cengage Learning
Financial Reporting, Financial Statement Analysis...
Finance
ISBN:9781285190907
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Publisher:Cengage Learning