QSO 510 2-2 Scenario Analysis Stock Options Template

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Southern New Hampshire University *

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Finance

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Apr 3, 2024

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QSO 510 2-2 Scenario Analysis Stock Options Southern New Hampshire University QSO 510: Quantitative Analysis for Decision Making 03/10/24
QSO510 2-2 Scenario Analysis Stock Options QSO 510 2-2 Scenario Analysis Stock Options I am a financial advisor who was given a new client. My client is considering two stock options A and B. The table below shows information about the performance of stocks A and B last year. Return Standard Deviation Stock A 15 % 8.3% Stock B 14% 2.1% Factors to Consider As a financial advisor, I would first conduct a risk assessment for my client. Other than return and risk, standard deviation should be considered in making this decision. We may also take into consideration economic conditions, the industry of the organizations, and interest rates. The expected return and standard deviation are two statistical measures that I will use to determine which stock I will recommend to my client. The expected return is just as it sounds, the anticipated amount the stock will generate. The expected return can measure the mean. Standard deviation is the statistical measure of market volatility, measuring how widely prices are dispersed from the average price (Fidelity, 2024). The standard deviation takes into consideration the expected mean return and calculates the deviation from it . Investors use the 2
QSO510 2-2 Scenario Analysis Stock Options standard deviation of historical performance to try to predict the range of returns that is most likely for a given investment (Morningstar.com.au, 2022). Recommendation I would recommend my client choose stock B. Although stock A has a higher standard return it also has a much higher standard deviation. This indicates that stock B should be more reliable due to having a standard deviation of 2.1% vs stock B at 8.3%. Justification A higher standard deviation suggests that values are further away from the mean and is less reliable. The greater the standard deviation, the riskier the stock (Bishop, 2020). A lower standard deviation suggests that values are closer to the mean and is more reliable. The data provided showed the returns of both stocks are nearly the same, however their standard deviations vary significantly. The data provided shows stock A with a standard return of 15% and a standard deviation of 8.3%. It also shows stock B with a standard return of 14% and a standard deviation of 2.1%. Impact on the Client While taking into consideration the clients risk assessment, I have proved them with the information needed to make an informed decision. Conclusion 3
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