H-Sec11
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Hypothesis Tests for Two Population Variances, One Tail
Consider the systems development group for a Midwestern bank, which has developed a new software
algorithm for its automatic teller machines (ATMs). Although reducing average transaction time is an objective, the systems programmers also want to reduce the variability in transaction speed. They belie
the standard deviation for transaction time will be less with the new software than it was with the old
algorithm. For their analysis, the programmers have performed 7 test runs using the original software a
11 test runs using the new system. Although the managers want to determine the standard deviation o
transaction time, they must perform the test as a test of variances because no method exists for testing
standard deviations directly. α = 0.01.
Formulating the Hypothesis
Type of Hypothesis Test: Researching a Hypothesis. Build the translation into the Altern
To Statistics: HA: σ_New_Software < σ_Old_Algorithm
Type of Tail: One-Tail
Hypotheses:
Any One-Tail Hypothesis Test for Two Population Varia
HA: σ1² > σ2²
The next step is determining which Population (1 or 2
in this case New Software or Old Algorithm.
The New Software is Population 2
The Old Algorithm is Population 1
1 tail test
Data
α =
0.025
Old Algorithm
New Software
Keep in mind that the Old Algorithm 38.9
22.8
And that the New Software may not b
23.2
20.0
49.2
26.5
Since the hypothesis is one-tailed:
66.8
37.9
Before assigning data sets to
65.5
27.2
The larger variance in the hy
74.6
39.6
The smaller variance in the h
7.7
34.1
39.4
20.9
30.3
29.1
612.7
51.5
var s
Calculations
Old (Pop 1)
New (Pop 2)
1361.0000
1184.0000 =VAR.S(C28:C38)
Translate English: the standard deviation for transaction time will be less with the new s
algorithm
H0: σ1² ≤ σ2²
The F
test statistic is calculat
s² =
TEST STAT
1.1495
=C42/D42
Old (Pop 1)
New (Pop 2)
Check that your sa
n =
13
23 =COUNT(C28:C38)
df =
12
22 =C47-1
2.6017
=F.INV.RT(D25,C48,D48)
Decision Rule
^ Right Tail Test
We made it a right tail when we u
If 11.90 > 5.39, then reject H0. Otherwise, do not reject H0.
Conclusion
Reject H0.
Repeat of the process using Data Analysis
F-Test Two-Sample f
Original Softwar New System
38.9
22.8
23.2
20.0
Mean
49.2
26.5
Variance
66.8
37.9
Observations
65.5
27.2
df
74.6
39.6
F
7.7
34.1
P(F<=f) one-tail
39.4
F Critical one-tail
20.9
30.3
29.1
Repeat of the process using PHStat
F
=
ß Because this is a one tail test, the Alternate Hypot
population 2. F
must be calculated that way even if th
F-
critical =
ß This follows the same pattern as in the prior note
If F
> F
-critical, then reject H0. Otherwise, do not reject H0.
There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the new software produces shorter variances in transaction time than the old algorithm.
Select DATA > Data Analysis > F-Test Two Sample for Variances > OK
Select the range of cells for Input / Variable 1 Range
including header
Select the range of cells for Input / Variable 2 Range
including header
Check Labels
on
Input Alpha
of 0.01
Chose the Output Option
of your choice
Click OK
Since F
is greater tha
Select PHStat > Two-Sample Tests (Unsummarized Data) > F Test for Differences in Two
Do not use PHStat for Upper-Tail Test. PHStat uses the Two-Tail Test
technique for both Two-Tail and Upper-Tail Test. This means that if
the hyopthesized variance and the computed variance are both the larger variance, then PHStat's technique will work.
Input the Level of Significance
as 0.01
Select the range of cells for Population 1 Sample Cell Range:
including header
Select the range of cells for Population 2 Sample Cell Range:
including header
Check First cells in both ranges contain label
on
Select Upper-tail
Chose a Title
, if desired
Click OK
e eve and of g
native Hypothesis
ances will look like this.
2) belong to which concept, may not be Population 1
be Population 2
o populations, compare hypothesized variances.
ypotheses becomes Population 1.
hypotheses becomes Population 2.
1 tail test
software than it was with the old ted from the larger hypothesized variance over the smaller hypothesized variance.
1 tail test
ample sizes are in the same order as your sample standard deviations.
used the larger variance in the first column above!
P Value Right Tail
0.3717
p value
for Variances
Original Software
New System
46.5571428571429
29.8
612.676190476191
51.494
7
11
6
10
11.8980112338562
0.000473971575695
5.3858110448458
thesis informs us that we expect population 1 to be larger than he calculated values for s² turn out otherwise
an F Critical one-tail
, there is sufficicent evidence to reject the null hypothesis
o Variances…
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