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Brigham Young University *

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Industrial Engineering

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Jan 9, 2024

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docx

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**11. Faulty Manufacturing:** In a factory, 2% of produced items are faulty. A quality control test catches 95% of faulty items but also misidentifies 3% of non-faulty items as faulty. If an item fails the quality control test, what is the probability that it is actually faulty? **12. Website Conversion Rates:** A company is testing two versions of its website to see which one has a higher conversion rate. Version A has a conversion rate of 10%, while version B has a conversion rate of 15%. If 60% of users see version A and 40% see version B, what is the probability that a randomly chosen user who made a purchase saw version B? **13. Car Accident Investigation:** In a certain area, 1% of drivers are involved in hit-and-run accidents. The police have a witness who correctly identifies the fleeing driver 80% of the time. If a driver is involved in a hit-and-run accident, what is the probability that the witness correctly identifies them as the culprit? **14. Online Ad Click-Through Rates:** An online advertising campaign has two different ad designs. Ad A has a click-through rate of 3%, while ad B has a click-through rate of 5%. If 70% of users see ad A and 30% see ad B, what is the probability that a user who clicked on an ad saw ad B? **15. Student Performance:** In a class, 10% of students did not study for an exam and are expected to fail. However, even among the students who did study, there's a 5% chance of failing. If 20% of students did not study, and you randomly select a failing student, what is the probability that they did not study?
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