IntroIR_FL21_HW1

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New York University *

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700

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Political Science

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Apr 3, 2024

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UID (N########): POL-UA 700 International Politics Section Homework #1 Due: At the start of your next recitation (Sep 29 at 8:00am) Question 1 Identify the independent variable and dependent variable in each of the following hypotheses. In cases in which it may be clearer to rephrase the variable in other terms, feel free to do so. a) U.S. trade policy is more protectionist when there is divided government compared to when there is unified government. Independent variable: The type of government Dependent variable: US trade policy being protectionist b) If a country is a member of GATT/WTO, it will have higher inward FDI. Independent variable: Being a member of GATT/WTO Dependent variable: The amount of FDI c) Bipolar systems are more stable than multipolar systems. Independent variable: Dependent variable: Stability of the systems d) Military intervention by a democratic state leads to less democracy in the target state. Independent variable: Military intervention by a democratic state Dependent variable: e) The probability of war is decreasing in the distance between states. Independent variable: States Dependent variable: Probability of war
Question 2 Consider three individuals with the following preference orderings over three possible outcomes: Citizen 1: remain in EU > leave EU > renegotiation Citizen 2: leave EU > renegotiation > remain in EU Citizen 3: renegotiation > remain in EU > leave EU a) Is there a Condorcet winner? If so, who? (Make sure to show how you arrived at your answer) b) Suppose the citizens adopt a two-stage voting mechanism and Citizen 1 can determine the order of voting such that in Round 1, the citizens vote between “renegotiation” and “leave EU”, and in Round 2, the winner of Round 1 faces off with “ remain in EU.” Assuming the citizens vote “sincerely,” what is the outcome?
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