Pre-tutorial assignment #2 Justin Wong - Google Docs

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University of British Columbia *

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Political Science

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Jan 9, 2024

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pdf

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Me: Is the world heading into a new Cold War between the US, Russia and China? Is the US in decline? If a new world order is emerging, what are the core features of this new order? reply in 150 words ChatGPT: The world is currently experiencing heightened geopolitical tensions between the US, Russia, and China, which some analysts have compared to a new Cold War. While it may not be a direct replica of the Cold War between the US and the Soviet Union, there are certainly elements of competition and rivalry among these major powers. The perception of US decline is a topic of debate. While the US faces challenges, it remains a global superpower with significant economic, military, and diplomatic influence. A new world order seems to be emerging with distinct features: - Multipolarity: Power is more evenly distributed among multiple major actors, including the US, Russia, China, and the European Union. - Economic Interdependence: Globalization and trade networks are highly interconnected, creating economic interdependence. - Regionalism: Regional powers play a significant role in shaping regional and global dynamics. - Technological Competition: Tech and cyber capabilities are central to competition and influence. - Ideological Competition: Different ideological models (e.g., democracy vs. authoritarianism) are vying for influence. The world is evolving, but the shape of this emerging order remains uncertain, and diplomacy is crucial to prevent further escalation and foster cooperation. Me: I would agree with the AI that the current geopolitical tensions we are facing is not an exact recipe for the Cold War, but there are very similar characteristics between that period and the current state of international politics. In chapter 3 of the reading, the rise of the Soviet Union as a global superpower following the United States is cited as a crucial reason for the Cold War period. Like the US and Soviet alliance coming out of the Second World War, China and the US also experienced a period of close contact until 2018, which some may even argue to be a stable and progressive relationship. Like the Cold War, this is another case of clashing ideologies between two big global superpowers, fighting for dominance of global influence in the form of military buildups, proxy conflicts and states suddenly aligning with each side, causing a bilateral political landscape. Though it may seem the US is in a decline, this may not be the case. I think that the US is still prosperous and still has significant influence in the world. The US has strong institutions that have proven themselves worthy since the creation of the Constitution, this advantage may allow them to gain the confidence and support of other states. In the book, the case of the EU’s future is introduced as a debate for an independently secured Europe, or security that involves the US. Though its future is uncertain, the EU is currently viewed as the “poster child” of what being a close partner of the US may bring to you economically.
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