Johnathan_Council_Assignment 9

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Feb 20, 2024

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1 Running head: BE-200 ACCIDENT ANALYSIS BE-200 Accident Analysis Johnathan Council Embry-Riddle Worldwide 13 March 2022

2 BE-200 ACCIDENT ANALYSIS Table of Content 1. Abstract………………………………………………………………………………………………………………3 2. Introduction………………………………………………………………………………………………………...4 3. Literature Review………………………………………………………………………………………………...4 4. Research Methods……………………………………………………………………………...………………...6 5. Results………………………………………………………………………………………………………………...8 6. Conclusions……………………………………………………….……………………………………………….10 7. Appendices……………………………………………………………………….……………………………….11 8. References………………………………………………………………………………………………………...13

3 BE-200 ACCIDENT ANALYSIS Abstract The United States is home to the largest and most diverse community of General Aviation (GA) aircraft and pilots in the world with over 200,000 aircraft in use (FAA, 2018). GA is comprised of a multitude of operations and various types of aircraft that range widely in complexity. These operations include flight instruction, tours, charters, surveying, and much more. Although GA operations have been in decline over the last few decades, they still account for over 25 million flight hours every year (FAA, 2021). The accident rate over the last decade in GA has been in decline as well with 2019 experiencing a rate of 4.88 per 100,000 flight hours with fatal accidents less 1.0 for every 100,000 flight hours (AOPA, n.d.). This diverse environment can make the endeavor of addressing safety concerns challenging for organizations such as the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), the National Transport Safety Board (NTSB), and private owners and operators. This paper seeks to explore if there are phases of flight where accidents are more likely to occur in the BE-200 aircraft and if operations in complex aircraft such as this vary from the GA community. Such insight may determine the necessity for a more pointed approach during times when the FAA develops and implements rules and regulations aimed at addressing the accident rate in GA. This paper takes a historical look at all BE-200 accidents in the NTSB database and utilizes a Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit test to determine if there is any significant difference in accidents and the phase of flight they occur in.

4 BE-200 ACCIDENT ANALYSIS RSCH 665 BE-200 Accident Analysis Introduction A cursory review of the Annual Summary of US Civil Aviation Accidents data for 2019 by the NTSB indicates that out of nearly 2000 total accidents, the most likely phase of flight for a GA aircraft to experience an accident is during the landing phase (NTSB, 2020). Over the last 38 years, the NTSB CAROL database reported only 104 accidents involving the Beech 200 Super King Air (BE-200), of which nearly 90% were being operated under GA rules and regulations. While this BE-200 population is small in comparison to the entire GA population, it does represent the BE-200 accident population in its’ entirety and therefore should provide relative insight into the nature of accidents involving this specific type of aircraft. The data was collected by the researcher by examining all 104 NTSB accident reports between 1982 and 2020 and categorizing them type of operation, phase of flight during which the accident occurred, and cause of the accident. A taxonomy like the NTSB and Boeing annual accident reports was used for categorization. This research paper will examine whether there is a phase of flight where accidents are more prevalent and the relationship between BE-200s and GA accidents. Literature Review The NTSB Case Analysis and Reporting Online (CAROL) database was instrumental in gathering all the data for this research that concerned the BE-200. While the database alone does provide specific insight into trends, it does allow users to access all accident reports dating back to 1982. In addition to accident reports, the database allows users to access all the NTSBs safety reports. It is much more user friendly then the previous search engines and databases and provides users with a single point of reference.

5 BE-200 ACCIDENT ANALYSIS Every year, the NTSB issues an Annual Summary of US Civil Aviation Accidents Statistics. This data set allows readers and researchers to access and view large swaths of aviation accident data broken down between Part 121, Part 135, and GA operations. The data is further broken down into subcategories based on a multitude of variables. These reports were instrumental in that they provided a baseline to compare the BE-200 accident data. The only shortcoming is that the data is already processed and there is no access to the raw data making it challenging to conduct certain statistical tests. Boyd (2019) in his research exploring occupant injury involving excessive landing speeds discussed the frequency of accidents during landing sequences and how they influenced injury. Specifically, Boyd looked at the different conditions that resulted in accidents during landing such as slow speeds or landings outside the touchdown zone and how the different conditions related to injuries sustained by the passengers. In his research, he discussed how 30% of accidents in GA in 2014 were during the landing phase. He also discussed the fact that countries such as German had an even higher rate of accident during landing (53%). That being said, German GA does differ from U.S. GA in many ways. This research was useful in that it verified data from a different year group that would affirm the conclusion of my research. Boyd, Scharf, and Cross (2021) in their recent research looked at the landing data of GA accidents and the comparison pilots with various levels of FAA certificates (i.e., private, commercial, airline transport pilot (ATP) certificates). These various certificates can be representative of a certain degree of pilot experience but not always. In their research, they discovered that professional airline pilots were more apt to neglect FAA rules regarding approach procedures and weather briefs. In addition to that, they discuss the tighter tolerances for obtaining higher levels of certification. This article was useful in identifying the differences and

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