stat400-hw07-Sp24-soln

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Apr 3, 2024

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Homework 07 Solutions STAT 400, Spring 2024, D. Unger Each Exercise or lettered part of an Exercise is worth 5 points. Homework assignments are worth 50 points. Exercise 1 Based on a fictitious study, the amount of pure alcohol (in grams) a randomly selected Illinois student on Green Street consumes on a Friday night has a mean of 57 grams and a standard deviation of 18 grams. (a) If we assume that the amount of pure alcohol an Illinois student drinks on a Friday night follows a normal distribution, then calculate the proportion of students on Green Street who consume between 30 and 80 grams of pure alcohol. Solution Let X = alcohol consumption in grams where X ~ Normal(57, 18 2 ). P 30 ൑ 𝑋 ൑ 80 ሻ ൌ P 30 57 18 𝑋 െ 57 18 80 57 18 P ሺെ 1.50 ൑ 𝑍 ൑ 1.28 P ሺ𝑍 ൑ 1.28 ሻ െ P ሺ𝑍 ൑ െ 1.50 0.8997 0.0668 0.8329 (b) According to the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, a “standard drink” contains roughly 14 grams of pure alcohol. What is the probability that a randomly selected Illinois students consumes no more than two standard drinks on a Friday night? Solution Let X = alcohol consumption in grams where X ~ Normal(57, 18 2 ). P ሺ𝑋 ൑ 28 ሻ ൌ P 𝑋 െ 56 18 28 57 18 P Z ൑ െ 1.61 0.0537 (c) How much would an Illinois student have consumed if they consumed more than 75% of all other Illinois students on Green Street on a Friday night?
Solution Let X = alcohol consumption in grams where X ~ Normal(57, 18 2 ). Then x 0.75 is the value such that P( X x 0.75 ) = 0.75. P ሺ𝑋 ൑ 𝑥 . ଻ହ ሻ ൌ 0.75 P ሺ𝑍 ൑ 𝑧 . ଻ହ ሻ ൌ 0.75 P ሺ𝑍 ൑ 0.68 ሻ ൌ 0.75 𝑧 . ଻ହ 0.68 𝑥 . ଻ହ ൌ μ ൅ 𝑧 ∙ σ ൌ 57 0.68 18 69.24 grams Exercise 2 A chocolatier produces caramel-filled chocolates that have a labeled weight of 20.4 grams. Assume that the distribution of the weights of these caramel-filled chocolates is N (21.37, 0.16). (a) Let X denote the weight of a single chocolate selected at random from the production line. Find P ( X > 22.07). Solution Let X = weight of a single chocolate where X ~ Normal(21.37, 0.16). P X 22.07 ሻ ൌ P 𝑋 െ 21.37 0.16 22.07 21.37 0.16 P ሺ𝑍 ൐ 1.75 P ሺ𝑍 ൏ െ 1.75 0.0401 (b) Suppose that 15 caramel-filled chocolates are selected independently and weighed. Let Y equal the number of these chocolates that weigh less than 20.857 grams. Find P ( Y 2). Solution Let X = weight of a single chocolate where X ~ Normal(21.37, 0.16). Let Y = number of chocolates weighing less than 20.857 out of 15 total, where Y ~ Binomial(15, p = P( X < 20.857)) P X 22.07 ሻ ൌ P 𝑋 െ 21.37 0.16 20.857 21.37 0.16 P ሺ𝑍 ൏ െ 1.28 0.1003, 𝑡ℎ𝑜𝑢𝑔ℎ 𝑖𝑡 𝑤𝑜𝑢𝑙𝑑 𝑏𝑒 𝑜𝑘𝑎𝑦 𝑡𝑜 𝑟𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑑 𝑡𝑜 0.10. Thus, Y ~ Binomial(15, 0.10).
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