The Presidential Campaign : The Campaign

This, it seems, is the year of the anti-politician as far as the Republican Party is concerned. As election year rapidly approaches some of the top GOP Presidential candidates are non-politicians. The anti-establishment rhetoric is only increasing as the regular Republican voter is fed up with the path of the party, which is leading to lifetime politicians falling further behind in the polls. Two candidates in particular who have never held political office are leading one Monmouth University poll released on September 3, 2015. This poll, which was conducted nationwide, has Donald Trump leading the rest of the GOP candidates with 33% of the vote while Ben Carson is second with 18%. (MLA) Although Trump and Carson agree on some of the lingering

Texas senator, Ted Cruz, won Iowa’s caucus vote for the Republican’s presidential race. Ted Cruz is in strong opposition in what Obama has done and has rallied voters who agree with him. His campaign promises to defend against terrorism and repeal Obama’s healthcare program. Many other candidates found it difficult to get a caucus vote and have decided to drop out of the presidential race. Former Arkansas governor, Mike Huckabee, dropped out of the race. Many of the other governors barely got support according to the recent Iowa

When the words “swing state” are mentioned, Florida is perhaps one of the first states a person may think of. In this year’s election cycle, the story is no different. Florida has a single senate seat up for election, and Marco Rubio (R), and Patrick Murphy (D) are hoping to claim it on November 8th. Marco Rubio has held that seat since the last senate election in 2010, giving him an edge as the incumbent. Patrick Murphy is the challenger and has been a member of the House of Representatives since 2012. A glance at any polling numbers shows Rubio ahead, and most have shown him ahead since the beginning of the race. The polls do not show a commanding lead, as one may expect from an incumbent. While polling margins are slimmer than many average incumbents, money has not stopped flowing to Rubio. His finances are typical of an incumbent particularly that of a closely contested race. It may be impossible to tell which has the greater effect of Rubio’s fundraising. In states that are typically swing states and have close political races, simple analyses such as incumbency advantage may not fully explain the results and polls in the race.

Senator Cruz has done very poorly and after his New York performance, which was a total disaster, he is in free fall and as everyone has seen, he does not react well under pressure. Also, approximately 80% of the Republican Party is against him. Governor Kasich, who has only won 1 state out of 41, in other words, he is 1 for 41 and he is not even doing as well as other candidates who could have stubbornly stayed in the race like him but chose not to do so. Marco Rubio, as an example, has more delegates than Kasich and yet suspended his campaign one

“Republican presidential hopeful Jeb Bush will make his first official campaign stop in Colorado” (Rittiman). Jeb Bush started his presidential campaign August 25th and seems to be falling fast just two months later. Suffering Donald Trump 's reality show style insults and the problems his family 's dynasty created Jeb has been steadily falling in the polls. He first came out running with many people behind him seeing him as genuine, but now he is beginning to fall prey to Trump 's demonization. Bush is losing funding fast and unfortunately for him some are calling him the next Scott Walker.

chosen, it’s likely that he will be endorsed by the other candidates, pulling the Republican vote

A good portion of the American public pays attention to politics, so the upcoming Republican primaries have quickly become the newest fixation for many— the contest is shaping up to be action packed, fast paced and has no certain resolution. Every year, elections quickly become interesting and exciting, and this one is no different—‘race to the right’ seems to be the new trend this cycle. Primaries have always been competitions to prove that the candidates are the most something candidate running (past categories have included anti-communist, pro-peace, and experienced), but the Republican Party’s continued interest in being strongly conservative is relatively unheard of. For example, the 2000 Republican primary took a largely personal turn, as negative ads overwhelmed airwaves, while the 2008 Republican primary seemed to focus more about Mitt Romney’s personal issues (flip-flopping, Mormonism, and wealth).

When Mexico sends its people, they’re not sending their best. They’re not sending you. They’re not sending you. They’re sending people that have lots of problems, and they’re bringing those problems with us. They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists. And some, I assume, are good people. (“Here’s Donald Trump’s Presidential Announcement Speech”)

When Mexico sends its people, they’re not sending their best. They’re not sending you. They’re not sending you. They’re sending people that have lots of problems, and they’re bringing those problems with us. They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists. And some, I assume, are good people. (“Here’s Donald Trump’s Presidential Announcement Speech”)

Four years ago today, the 2008 election season was in full throttle. The Democratic primaries had an early start, with John Edwards officially announcing his candidacy for the Democratic nomination in December 2006, Hillary Clinton following in January 2007 and Barack Obama declaring his intentions for the Oval Office in February. The Republican contenders entered the race soon after and were competing for the nomination in early 2007. John McCain, the last viable contender to formally announce his candidacy besides Fred Thompson, made a formal announcement on March 1, 2007. Lydia Saad noted the awkwardness of no Republican front-runner at this period before an election. Indeed, prospective candidates for the 2012 GOP nomination have

However, I would like to extend his observations to primary campaigns using my own analysis. Recently, John Kasich came in second in the New Hampshire. Despite not winning John Kasich outperformed other establishment candidates like Chris Christie, Marco Rubio, and Jeb Bush. However, Kasich seemingly focused solely on New Hampshire conducting over 100 town halls in the state. Further, Kasich has attempted to present himself nationally as the most moderate of the Republicans. In my opinion, Kasich has done this strategically to win votes in the more moderate New Hampshire. The question remains though can Kasich carry this strategy farther. In my opinion, Kasich has to focus on Nevada and hope for a decent result. Further, Kasich has to strategically travel to the “Rust Belt” and the northeast to remain competitive. Thus, if Kasich’s strategic design of being more moderate to appeal he will have to continue to travel strategically in state’s that are more moderate.

The 2016 Presidential campaign is riding on numerous factors which are being played out in 2014. Obama and his success or failure, will play a significant role in the way in which the voters may swing politically in the 2016 election. President Obama won by a landslide in 2008, which gave the Democratic party more votes than it had seen since 1964 (Martin, web). This had given hope to the Democratic Party that the American political landscape had created a new electoral map with a more diverse coalition (Martin, web). However, there seems to be concern over Obama’s involvement in the current 2016 election campaign strategy.

In the 2004 presidential ad campaigns between presidential candidates Kerry and Bush used a combination of mud slinging and fluffy promotion. I choose to watch several of the ad campaigns between Kerry and Bush. I noted Operation Iraqi Freedom and the War on Terror where in high swing during this particular election year.

Presidential campaign ads is a neccesity in american politics today. Going back to 1960 when President Kennedy's campaign ad was released, it was his unique character  and musical insertion to the advertisment that led his campaign to such success. The Kennedy campaign advertisement emphasized on the repitition of the name "Kennedy". Understandably, the name Kennedy hit the spotlight and the voters could only recognize one name. Although the 1960 advertisment brought success to Kennedy, they are considered extensively dull relative to campaign advertisments nowadays. How did these campaign advertisments evolve by 2010?

Kasich secured the Republican nomination for governor of Ohio after running unopposed, and the general election would pit him against the incumbent Democrat Ted Strickland. Kasich secured 49 percent of the vote, while Strickland received 47 percent, so Kasich assumed the position of Governor of Ohio. During his time in office employment has risen 6.1 percent, and to put it into perspective, under the supervision of New Jersey governor Chris Christie, that states employment rose 4.9 percent (Hunt.) The first term of Kasich’s governorship also brought along essential tax reform. The new tax system, proposed in 2013, included decreasing business income tax by 50 percent, personal income tax by 20 percent, and states sales tax half a percent. In 2014 Kasich was up for re-election and the opponent Ed Fitzgerald was only able to attain 33 percent of the vote along with two of the states 88 counties. The most significant legislation of Kasich’s second term so far is a proposed policy that required out of state residents to get an Ohio drivers license and vehicle registration 30 days before being able to vote. Kasich used a line item veto in order to deny this bill from passing with the reasoning that thousands of college students would not be able to vote (Ludlow.) Early into the second term as governor, speculation of a presidential run became apparent in Ohio. In July 2015 the speculation