Show complete solution 2. Consider the three small mutually exclusive investment alternatives in the tablebelow. The feasible alternative chosen must provide service for a 10-year period.The MARR is 12% per year, and the market value of each is 0 at the end of usefullife. State all assumptions – (Use repeatability and co terminated) you make inyour analysis. Which alternative should be chosen? Use the imputed market valuetechnique in alternative C, &= 10%AВCCapital investment$2,000$8,000$20,000Annual revenues less6002,2003,600expensesUseful life (years)510

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Answered: 2. Consider the three small mutually…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Section9.4: The Precision Tree Add-in

Problem 9P

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alternatives big average small large stock $22000 $ 12000 $-2000 average stock $14000 $10000 $6000 small stock $9000 $8000 $4000 the probabilities associated with states of nature are 0.3 for a big demand, 0.5 for an average demand, and 0.2 for a small demand. how do you compute expected monetary value (EMV) and expected value of perfect value (EVPI) ? a) determine the alternative that provides andrew the greatest expected monetary value (EMV). b} compute the expected value of perfect information (EVPI). compute EMV AND EVPI?
Rollo Megabux has $1 million to invest in stocks orbonds. The percentage yield on each investment during thecoming year depends on whether the economy has a goodor a bad year (see Table 17). It is equally likely that theeconomy will have a good or a bad year.a If Rollo is risk-neutral, how should he invest hismoney?b For $10,000, Rollo can hire a consulting firm toforecast the state of the economy. The consulting firm’sforecasts have the following properties:P(good forecast|economy good) .80P(good forecast|economy bad) .20Should Rollo hire the consulting firm? What are EVSIand EVPI? Economy EconomyHas Good Has BadYear YearYield on stocks 22% 10%Yield on bonds 16% 14%
Your firm is considering purchasing an oldoffice building with an estimated remaining servicelife of 25 years. Recently, the tenants signed a longterm lease, which leads you to believe that the currentrental income of $250,000 per year will remain constant for the first five years. Then the rental incomewill increase by 10% for every five-year interval overthe remaining life of the asset. That is, the annualrental income would be $275,000 for years 6 through10, $302,500 for years 11 through 15, $332,750 foryears 16 through 20, and $366,025 for years 21through 25. You estimate that operating expenses,including income taxes, will be $85,000 for the firstyear and that they will increase by $5,000 each yearthereafter. You also estimate that razing the buildingand selling the lot on which it stands will realize a netamount of $50,000 at the end of the 25-year period.If you had the opportunity to invest your money elsewhere and thereby earn interest at the rate of 12% perannum, what would be…
2. Analyze the situation and answer the following questions. Ed and Barbara Bonneau started their wholesale sunglass distribution firm 30 years ago with $1,000 of their own money and $5,000 borrowed from a country banker in Ed’s hometown. The firm grew quickly, selling sunglasses and reading glasses to such companies as Wal-Mart, Eckerd Drugs, and Phar-Mor. In addition, the Bonneaus enjoyed using the company to do good things. For example, they had a company chaplain, who was available when employees were having family problems, such as a death in the family.Although the company had done well, the market had matured recently and profit margins narrowed significantly. Wal-Mart, for example, was insisting on better terms, which meant significantly lower profits for the Bonneaus. Previously, Ed had set the prices that he needed to make a good return on his investment. Now, the buyers had consolidated, and they had the power. Ed didn’t enjoy running the company as much as he had in the…
Aurillo Equipment Company (AEC) projected that its ROE for next year would be just 6 percent.However, the financial staff has determined that the firm can increase its ROE by refinancing somehigh interest bonds currently outstanding. The firm’s total debt will remain at $200,000 and the debtratio will hold constant at 80 percent, but the interest rate on the refinanced debt will be 10 percent.The rate on the old debt is 14 percent. Refinancing will not affect sales, which are projected to be$300,000. EBIT will be 11 percent of sales and the firm’s tax rate is 40 percent. If AEC refinances itshigh interest bonds, what will be its projected new ROE?
Suppose my utility function for asset position x is givenby u(x) ln x.a Am I risk-averse, risk-neutral, or risk-seeking? b I now have $20,000 and am considering the follow-ing two lotteries: L1: With probability 1, I lose $1,000.L2: With probability .9, I gain $0.L2: With probability .1, I lose $10,000.Determine which lottery I prefer and the risk premium of L2.
true or false 7. The expected utility implies that the decision maker regards this option as being equivalent to a lottery offering a same chance of the best/best outcome (and a complementary probability of the worst/worst outcome)
Adriana Alvarado has decided to purchase a personal computer. She has narrowed the choices to two: Drantex and Confiar. Both brands have the same processing speed, 6.4 gigabytes of hard-disk capacity, two USB ports, and a DVDRW drive, and each comes with the same basic software support package. Both come from mail-order companies with good reputations. The selling price for each is identical. After some review, Adriana discovers that the cost of operating and maintaining Drantex over a 3-year period is estimated to be $300. For Confiar, the operating and maintenance cost is $600. The sales agent for Drantex emphasized the lower operating and maintenance costs. The agent for Confiar, however, emphasized the service reputation of the product and the faster delivery time (Confiar can be purchased and delivered 1 week sooner than Drantex). Based on all the information, Adriana has decided to buy Confiar. What is the total product purchased by Adriana?
You are the owner of Caché, a chain of women's clothing boutiques. Your state has a sales tax of 7%, and your city has an additional sales tax of 1.5%. Each quarter you are responsible for making these tax deposits to the city and state. Last quarter your stores had total revenue, including sales tax, of $488,250. a) How much of this revenue was sales (in $) and how much was sales tax (in $)? sales sales tax b) How much sales tax (in $) should be sent to the city? c)How much sales tax (in $) should be sent to the state?
Assume the demand for a company’s drug Wozac during the current year is 50,000, and assume demand will grow at 5% a year. If the company builds a plant that can produce x units of Wozac per year,it will cost $16x. Each unit of Wozac is soldfor $3. Each unit of Wozac produced -incurs a variable production cost of $0.20. It costs $0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity.Determine how large a Wozac plant the company should build to maximize its-expected profit over the next 10 years.
6. Laura is trying to decide whether to sell her knitted hats on Etsy, at a holiday bazaar, or in a local boutique. Demand could be 0 hats/month, 10 hats/month, or 20 hats/month. Given the payoff matrix below, what is her decision under equally likely? Demand = 0 Demand = 10 Demand = 20 Etsy -$70 $80 $230 Bazaar -$60 $90 $240 Boutique -$80 $70 $220 Select one: a. Etsy and boutique. b. Etsy only. c. Etsy and bazaar. d. Bazaar and boutique. e. All 3 are equally good. f. Bazaar only. g. None of them are good options. h. Boutique only.
Michelle owns a house in which she keeps valuables worth 100,000 which can get stolen with probability 1%. She can purchase coverage C of the amount C ∈ [0; 100,000] at premium π = 0.05 dollars for each dollar covered. Her Bernouilli utility function is u(w) = ln(w). Assume she has no other assets. 1. Set up her maximization problem. 2. How much insurance will she choose to buy? 3. How much profits does the insurance company earn on insuring Michelle? 4. Does the fact that the insurance company earn profits mean that Michelle is worse off com-pared to the situation in which she is not insured? Explain what is happening. 5. How much insurance will she buy if insurance companies charge an actuarially fair insurance rate?

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