SELECT THE BEST ALTERNATIVE IN THE GIVEN DECISION TABLE USING:• MAXIMAX STRATEGY• MAXIMIN STRATEGY• MAXIMAX REGRET STRATEGY• LAPLACE STRATEGYHURWICZ STRATEGY WITH ALPHA (a = 0.4)Possible Future DemandFacility SizeLOWMODERATEHIGHSmallPhp 500Php 600Php 700MediumPhp 700Php 1200Php 1100LargePhp -400Php 200Php 1600|

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Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Section9.3: Single-stage Decision Problems

Problem 5P

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Payoff Table Decision Alternatives Demand Low Medium High Small, d1 400 500 600 Medium, d2 100 600 800 Large, d3 -300 400 1200 1). If nothing is known about the demand probabilities, what are the recommended decision using the Maximax (optimistic), Maximin (pessimistic) and Equally Likely? 2). If P(low) = 0.20, P(medium) = 0.35, and P(high) = 0.45. What is the recommended decision using the expected monetary value approach? 3). What is the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)?
The following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision alternatives and various levels of demand. ALTERNATIVE DEMAND LOW MEDIUM HIGH Alternative 1 40 80 150 Alternative 2 80 120 130 Alternative 3 100 100 100 a. Which alternative should be chosen using the equally likely decision criterion? b. Set-up the opportunity loss table. c. Which alternative should be chosen using the minimax regret criterion?
A well-known plastic mould and die manufacturer in Toronto intends to expand internationally in anticipation of strong demand and expansion in the plastic die manufacturing sector. use the table beneath. Using the Maximax, Maximin, and equally likely conditions, assist the business in making the best option in an unclear situation. 0.5 for a highly favourable condition, 0.2 for an average demand, and 0.3 for an unfavourable state are the probabilities linked with the states of nature.a) Choose the course of action that will give Andrew the highest predicted monetary value (EMV).b) Determine the anticipated value of perfect information (EVPI).
eferring to the pay-off table, determine which alternative would be chosen under each of these strategies: Possible future demand in OMR Alternative Low Medium High A 12 15 15 B 10 13 16 C 6 8 19 For the data in above table, assume probabilities of: (low demand) = 0.15, (medium demand) = 0.55, and (high demand) = 0.3. Using a Minimax regret approach the value of the lowest regret is. (Write the number only)
1) A television network earns an average of $1.6 million each season from a hit program and loses an averageof $400,000 each season on a program that turns out to be a flop, and of all programs picked up by thisnetwork in recent years, 25% turn out to be hits and 75% turn out to be flops. a) Construct a decision tree to help the television network identify the strategy that maximizes itsexpected profit in responding to a newly proposed television program. Make sure to label all decision and chance nodes and include appropriate costs, payoffs and probabilities. b) What should the network do? What is their expected profit? c) The network can conduct market research to determine whether a program will be a hit or a flop. Ifthe market research report is perfectly reliable, what is the most the network should be willing to payfor it? 2) A buyer for a large sporting goods store chain must place orders for professional footballs with the footballmanufacturer six months prior to the time…
Option 2: Raise prices by 50%. If this occurs, there is a 75% chance that an Entrepreneur will set up in competition this year. The board’s estimate of its annual profit in this situation would be as follows: 2A: With new competitor 2B: Without new competitor Probability Profit (Sh.) Probability Profit (Sh.) 0.25 150,000 0.5 200,000 0.5 120,000 0.3 150,000 0.25 80,000 0.2 100,000 Option 3: Expand the car park quickly at a cost of Sh. 50,000 keeping prices theSame. The profits are then estimated to be like 2B above, except that the probabilities would be 0.6, 0.3 and 0.1 respectively. Required: Draw a decision tree for the above problem, including all the relevant data. Using expected values analyze the decision tree and recommend the best option to the owners of the car park.
For the following payoff table, what alternative should be chosen if you are following a Maximin strategy? alternative. yes. No small. 10. 30 Medium 20 40 medium Large 30 45 large 40 35 extra large 60 20 prior probability 0.3 0.7 a.Medium Large b.Medium c.Small d.Extra Large e.Large
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1) A television network earns an average of $1.6 million each season from a hit program and loses an average of $400,000 each season on a program that turns out to be a flop, and of all programs picked up by this network in recent years, 25% turn out to be hits and 75% turn out to be flops. a) Construct a decision tree to help the television network identify the strategy that maximizes itsexpected profit in responding to a newly proposed television program. Make sure to label all decisionand chance nodes and include appropriate costs, payoffs and probabilities. b) What should the network do? What is their expected profit? c) The network can conduct market research to determine whether a program will be a hit or a flop. If the market research report is perfectly reliable, what is the most the network should be willing to pay for it? 2) A buyer for a large sporting goods store chain must place orders for professional footballs with the football manufacturer six months prior to the…
I want to answer to solve ㅠㅠㅠㅠ. Q1. A builder has located a piece of property that she would like to but and eventually build on. The land is currently zoned for four homes per acre, but she is planning to request new zoning. What she builds depends on approval of zoning requests and your analysis of this problem to advise her. With her input and your help, the decision process has been reduced to the following costs, alternatives, and probabilities Cost of land $2 MillionProbability of rezoning .6If the land is rezoned, there will be additional costs for new roads, lighting, and so on of $1 million. If the land is rezoned, the contractor must decide whether to build a shopping center or 1,500 apartments that the tentative plan shows would be possible. If she builds a shopping center, there is a 70% chance that she can sell the shopping center to a large department store chin for $4 million over her construction cost, which excludes the land; and there is a 30% chance that she can…
Answer the following MCQ questions. 1) When Delroy draw on well-developed procedures in his job of grocery store inventory clerk to determine which products to stock first, he is making which type of decision? a) Tactical b) Programmed c) Operational d) Non-Programmed 2) Identifying a problem and matching it with established routines and procedures for resolving it is a ? a) Tactical decision b) Programmed decision c) Operational decision d) Non-Programmed decision 3) Crystal is a marketing manager who is deciding how to allocate the financial resources among three different product launches over the next three months years. Crystal is making a ? a) Strategic decision b) Operational decision c) Tactical decision d) Opportunistic decision

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