A signed a contract with B to buy a machine at a price of $920. Assume that A's value for the machine is $1000. At the time when the contract is signed, B's cost of making the machine is a random variable subject to the following probability distribution. Realized Cost Probability 1200 800 400 0.3 0.5 0.2 What is the efficient probability that the contract is breached?
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- Suppose that an individual is just willing to accept a gamble to win or lose $1000 if the probability ofwinning is 0.6. Suppose that the utility gained if the individual wins is 100 utils. What is expected gains/loss.Deborah is at the casino and is considering playing Roulette. In Roulette, a ball drops into one of 36 slots on a spinning wheel. 17 of the slots are red, 17 are black, and 2 are green. Each slot is equally likely and occurs with probability 1/36. Deborah bets $1.00 on black. If the ball drops into a black slot she receives $2.00 and if it drops into a red or green slot, she receives nothing. a) The expected value of Deborah’s bet (after subtracting the $1.00 she bet) is $________________ b) Given that Deborah makes this bet, is she risk adverse, risk neutral, or risk loving?Adam is considering what skills to study in online school. Her utility function is based on the income she earns, and is defined by U(I) = I0.8. If she learns the skill of SPSS, she will earn $145,000 per year with probability 1. If she learns the skill of Tableau, she will earn $300,000 per year with probability 0.6 (assuming that she gets the certificate) and $30,000 with probability 0.4 (if she learns without earning a certificate and she has to find a waiter job). a. Is she risk averse, risk neutral, or risk loving? Explain.b. Write out the equation for her expected utility for each skill. c.Which skill will she learn? Show your work. d.Suppose someone offers her insurance for the possibility that she does not get a Tableau certificate. This insurance will provide her an amount of income in addition to the waiter job wages that makes her indifferent between learning SPSS and Tableau. What is this amount, and what is the cost of the insurance? (note: many possible answers)
- Joes initial income is y 10,000. Joe experiences illness with a probability of 20%. Jo's total medical costs associated with the illness are $1000. Joe's expected income without insurance isIf patient insurance inquiries arrive at Blue Choice insurance with a mean rate of 3.6 calls per minute, the exponential probability of waiting more than 0.5 minutes to get the next inquiry call is _____. Question 6Select one: a. 0.2407 b. 0.1222 c. 0.5000 d. 0.1653Farmer Brown faces a 25% chance of there being a year with prolongeddrought, with zero yields and zero profit, and he faces a 75% chance of a normal year, with good yields and$100,000 profit. These probabilities are well-known. Suppose that an insurance company offered a droughtinsurance policy that pays the farmer $100,000 if a prolonged drought occurs. Assume that the farmer’sutility function is u(c) = ln(c). He has initial wealth of $40,000. What is the economic intuition on why X > Y? Confine your answer to at most three sentences.
- Assume that Rosemarie has the following utility function: U(W) = W1/2. She is selling her homeand believes that the house will sell for $250,000 with probability ¼ and $122,500 withprobability ¾.a. What is her expected utility?b. What is the risk premium (P) Rosemarie would pay to avoid bearing this risk?The owner of Tastee Cookies needs to decide whether to lease a small, medium, or large new retail outlet. She estimates that monthly profits will vary with demand for her cookies as follows: SIZE OFOUTLET DEMAND LOW HIGH Small $ 1,000 1,000 Medium 500 2,500 Large 0 3,000 For what range of probability that demand will be high, will she decide to lease the medium facility?An insurance company would like to offer theft insurance for renters. The policy wouldpay the full replacement value of any items that were stolen from the apartment. Someapartments have security alarms installed. Such systems detect a break-in and ring an alarmwithin the apartment. The insurance company estimates that the probability of a theft in ayear is .05 if there is no security system and .01 if there is a security system (there cannot bemore than one theft in any year). An apartment with a security system costs the renter anadditional £50 per year. Assume that the loss from a theft is £10,000 and that the insurancecompany is risk neutral and the renter would be willing to pay more than the expected loss toinsure against the loss of theft. What is the insurance company's break even price for a one year theft insurance policy for anapartment without a security system?
- The investor is considering how to optimally invest 1000 euros in stocks and bonds. Let's assume that the optimal decision is made based on expected utility. Suppose the investor has a utility function u(x)=ln(1+x), where x is their wealth. Let y be the proportion invested in stocks and 1−y be the proportion invested in bonds. By investing in stocks, the investor earns 1% with a probability of 39.5% and 4% with a probability of 60.5%. By investing in bonds, the investor earns a certain 2.8%. What proportion of the investment will the investor allocate to stocks and what proportion to bonds? Time remaining: 01 :51 :45 Economics A dealer decides to sell an antique automobile by means of an English auction with a reservation price of $900. There are two bidders. The dealer believes that there are only three possible values, $7,200, $3,600, and $900, that each bidder’s willingness to pay might take. Each bidder has a probability of 1/3 of having each of these willingnesses to pay, and the probabilities for each of the two bidders are independent of the other’s valuation. Assuming that the two bidders bid rationally and do not collude, the dealer’s expected revenue from selling the car is approximately Group of answer choices $3,600. $2,500. $3,900. $5,400. $7,200.Suppose that there are two types of workers: high and low. Employers cannot distinguish between different types during an interview. Employers value high type at $200,000 and low type at $100,000. Employers are in a competitive market (i.e. zero profit applies). High type workers have a reservation wage of 140,000 and low type workers have a reservation wage of 80,000. Suppose that 50% of all workers are high type. The productivities, reservation wages, and the probabilities are common knowledge). What wage would the employers offer? Please explain the solution!