A time series with forecast values and error terms is presented in the following table.  The mean absolute deviation (MAD) for this forecast is Answer. (Calculate to two decimal places. X.XX) Month                  Actual                  Forecast                               Error July                        5 August                  11                           5                                              6 September          13                          6.8                                          6.2 October                 6                           8.66                                        -2.66 November            5                           7.862                                     -2.862

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models
Problem 28P: The file P13_28.xlsx contains monthly retail sales of U.S. liquor stores. a. Is seasonality present...
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  1. A time series with forecast values and error terms is presented in the following table.  The mean absolute deviation (MAD) for this forecast is Answer. (Calculate to two decimal places. X.XX)

Month                  Actual                  Forecast                               Error

July                        5

August                  11                           5                                              6

September          13                          6.8                                          6.2

October                 6                           8.66                                        -2.66

November            5                           7.862                                     -2.862

Expert Solution
Step 1

Following table shows the calcuations:

Month Actual, Yt Forecast, Ft Error |Yt-Ft|/Yt
July 5      
Aug 11 5 6 0.545454545
Sept 13 6.8 6.2 0.476923077
Oct 6 8.66 -2.66 0.443333333
Nov 5 7.862 -2.86 0.5724
Total       2.038110956

Now,

2.038110956 . 100% . 100% 50.95%

 

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