Based on the time series data presented above, do the forecasts using 2-month moving average (2-MA) and single exponential smoothing (SES) with a = 0.4, and answer the following questions: (i) What is the mean absolute deviation (MAD) for 2-MA? (ii) What is the mean absolute deviation (MAD) for SES a = 0.4 ? (iii) Based on what you got, which method is more accurate?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models
Problem 26P: The file P13_26.xlsx contains the monthly number of airline tickets sold by the CareFree Travel...
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Month
Demand
Sept.
78
Oct.
80
Nov.
77
Dec.
85
Jan.
Based on the time series data presented above, do the forecasts using 2-month moving average (2-MA) and single exponential
smoothing (SES) with a = 0.4, and answer the following questions:
%3D
(i) What is the mean absolute deviation (MAD) for 2-MA?
(ii) What is the mean absolute deviation (MAD) for SES a = 0.4 ?
(iii) Based on what you got, which method is more accurate?
Transcribed Image Text:Month Demand Sept. 78 Oct. 80 Nov. 77 Dec. 85 Jan. Based on the time series data presented above, do the forecasts using 2-month moving average (2-MA) and single exponential smoothing (SES) with a = 0.4, and answer the following questions: %3D (i) What is the mean absolute deviation (MAD) for 2-MA? (ii) What is the mean absolute deviation (MAD) for SES a = 0.4 ? (iii) Based on what you got, which method is more accurate?
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