a) Use the following COST decision tree and calculate the EV at node 5. b) Using the following table, what is the expected value of perfect information? 100 300 400 200 Market Research 51 100 300 400 200 100 (10 300 No Market Research 400 11 200 P(F) = 0.6 P(st | F) = 0.85 P(s1|U) = 0.6 P(s1) = 0.7 P(U) = 0.4 P (s2 | F) = 0.15 P(s2 | U) = 0.4 P(s2) = 03
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- Server Farm Inc. (SFI) needs to upgrade its servercomputers. Company management has identified thefollowing two options: (1) shift to a Windows‐basedplatform from its current Unix‐based platform, or(2) stick with a Unix‐based platform. It is standardpractice at SFI to use a triangular distribution to modeluncertain costs.Along these lines, the company estimates that if itmigrates to Windows, the new server hardware couldcost as little as $100,000 or as much as $200,000. Thetechnical group’s best estimate is that the hardwareMantel_c04.indd 138 9/6/2016 4:52:35 PMcosts will be $125,000 if the Window’s option is pursued. Likewise, the company’s best guess regarding thecost to upgrade and convert its software to Windows is$300,000 with a range of $275,000 to $500,000.Finally, if the company converts to Windows, employeetraining costs are estimated to range between $9,000and $15,000, with the best guess being $10,000. If thecompany sticks with Unix, the new server hardwarewill most likely…Hanson’s first task at Horizon involves determining if the existing information system should be upgraded or remain. Two upgrade options, whether to build the new infrastructure or buy new infrastructure are shown in the decision tree created below by Hanson, with the associated costs and impacts. The cost and impact of staying with the existing infrastructure are also shown below. What is the EMV for Build the New Infrastructure?As purchasing agent for Eynan Enterprises in Richmond, Virginia, you ask your buyer to provide you with a ranking of "excellent" (worth 4 points), "good" (3 points), "fair" (2 points), or "poor" (1 point) for a variety of characteristics for two potential vendors, Donna Inc. (D) and Kay Corp. (K). You suggest that "Products" total be weighted 0.4, the "Company" total be weighted 0.2, and the "Service" and "Sales" totals each be weighted 0.2. The buyer has returned the following ranking. Which of the two vendors would you select? Click the icon to view the rankings. Part 2 You should choose vendor ▼ Donna Inc. Either Kay Corp. or Donna Inc. Kay Corp. , with a weighted score of ________. (Enter your response rounded to one decimal place.)
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- Table below is the cost breakdown per pound for typical big three cereal firms and private labels, which is constructed based on the Exhibit 2 and other information of RTE cereal case. Analysts believe that big three firms can drive private labels out of the market if big three lower their prices by 8 cents. What is the best recommendation of strategist to big three firms? Exhibit 2. Cost Breakdown per Pound for Typical Big Three Cereal Firms and Private Labels (a) Big three should lower their prices by 8 cents because it will increase their market share. (b) Big three should not lower their prices because it is too cruel to private labels. (c) Big three should consider if the profit when they drive private labels out of the market while lowering the price is greater than the profit when they let the private label in the market while keeping their prices. (d) None of the above. Explain each of the alternatives.Janice Gould of Krebs Consulting is in the process of makinga recommendation to a client regarding the corporate-widepurchase of an analytical software platform. She has madethe following estimates on management’s most importantperformance criteria and has rated three Software packagesacross these criteria a. Which software platform would you recommend?b. Assume that the client changes their mind and nowargues that the maintenance and support criterion isalready accounted for by the total cost criterion. Further,the client asks Ms. Gould to drop maintenance and support and add its factor weight to total cost. Will this clientrequest alter the recommendation?A payoff table is given as: S1 S2 S3 D1 250 750 500 D2 300 -250 1200 D3 500 500 600 (a) What choice should be made by the optimistic decision maker? (b) What choice should be made by the conservative decision maker? (c) What decision should be made under minimal regret? (d) If the probabilities of d1, d2, and d3 are .2, .5, and .3, respectively, then what choice should be made under expected value?
- Two key elements to consider when developing a strategy to weather a perfect storm in the airline business are... 1) Anticipated demand and expected market structure 2) GDP and expected fuel prices 3) Competition and market share 4) Current market conditions and fuel pricesA logistics provider plans to have a new warehouse built to handle increasing demands for its services. Although the company is unsure of how much demand there will be, it must decide now on the size (large or small) of the warehouse. Preliminary estimates are that if a small warehouse is built and demand is low, the monthly income will be $700,000. If demand is high, it will have to either expand the facility or lease additional space. Leasing will result in a monthly income of $100,000 while expanding will result in a monthly income of $500,000. If a large warehouse is built and demand is low, monthly income will only be $40,000, while if demand is high, monthly income will be $2 million.a. Construct a tree diagram for this decision.b. Using your tree diagram, identify the choice that would be made using each of the four approaches for decision making under uncertaintyA builder has located a piece of property that she would like to buy and eventually build on. The land is currently zoned for four homes per acre, but she is planning to request new zoning. What she builds depends on the approval of zoning requests and your analysis of this problem to advise her. With her input and your help, the decision process has been reduced to the following costs, alternatives, and probabilities:Cost of land: $2 millionProbability of rezoning: .60If the land is rezoned, there will be additional costs for new roads, lighting, and so on, of $1 million. If the land is rezoned, the contractor must decide whether to build a shopping center or 1,500 apartments that the tentative plan shows would be possible. If she builds a shopping center, there is a 70 percent chance that she can sell the shopping center to a large department store chain for $4 million over her construction cost, which excludes the land; and there is a 30 percent chance that she can sell it to an…