a) Use the following COST decision tree and calculate the EV at node 5. b) Using the following table, what is the expected value of perfect information? 100 300 400 200 Market Research 51 100 300 400 200 100 (10 300 No Market Research 400 11 200 P(F) = 0.6 P(st | F) = 0.85 P(s1|U) = 0.6 P(s1) = 0.7 P(U) = 0.4 P (s2 | F) = 0.15 P(s2 | U) = 0.4 P(s2) = 03

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 46P
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a) Use the following COST decision tree and calculate the EV at node 5.
b) Using the following table, what is the expected value of perfect information?
100
300
3
400
200
Market
(2)
Research
100
300
U
4
400
200
100
10
300
No Market
Research
400
11
200
P(F) = 0.6
P(s1 | F) = 0.85
P(s1|U) = 0.6
P(s1) = 0.7
P(U) = 0.4
P (s2 | F) = 0.15
P(s2 |U) = 0.4
P(s2) = 03
Transcribed Image Text:a) Use the following COST decision tree and calculate the EV at node 5. b) Using the following table, what is the expected value of perfect information? 100 300 3 400 200 Market (2) Research 100 300 U 4 400 200 100 10 300 No Market Research 400 11 200 P(F) = 0.6 P(s1 | F) = 0.85 P(s1|U) = 0.6 P(s1) = 0.7 P(U) = 0.4 P (s2 | F) = 0.15 P(s2 |U) = 0.4 P(s2) = 03
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