How does the number of periods in a moving average affect the responsiveness of the forecast?
Q: How do exponential smoothing advantages have over moving averages as a forecasting tool?
A: The advantages of exponential smoothing as a forecasting method over operating averages are as…
Q: Calculate the simple 3-month moving average forecast for December - March
A: Given data is
Q: Explain the term “wrong” as it pertains to a good forecast?
A: In forecasting techniques, the word "wrong" refers to a difference between the real and forecasted…
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A: Answer: It is important to measure the accuracy of forecasts, for any forecasting technique and…
Q: Does a correct forecast prove that your forecast method was correct? Why or why not?
A: Forecasting is important as it helps a business in setting the correct level of inventory, set the…
Q: When to use of a time series forecasting technique, what assumptions are made?
A: The statistic techniques uses statistic on historical data and therefore the variables forecasted.…
Q: Explain the word "false" for a successful forecast?
A: A difference between real and forecasted values is referred to as "fake" in forecasting strategies.…
Q: three-period moving average. A weighted average using weights of .50 (most recent), .20 and .30.…
A: forecasting is a method which helps to predict the unknown future based on the known past…
Q: Explain what benefits as a forecasting tool does exponential smoothing have over moving averages?
A: In today's environment, when events change frequently, the exponential smoothing method is superior.…
Q: Explain linear trend forecast?
A: Forecasting is the technique of accurately estimating future demand for the goal of planning future…
Q: Calculate a two-month moving average for months two to seven. what would be your forecast for the…
A: Fn+1 = (An + An-1)/2 where F = ForecastA = Actual datan = Period
Q: Explain what happens to the ability to forecast for epriods farther into the future
A: The forecast is a strategy used to produce informed projections on the prospects for future trends…
Q: a. Compute a three-week moving average forecast for the arrival of medical clinic patients in week…
A: It is a method which calculates the overall demand of past & present in data set. It is useful…
Q: No single forecast methodology is appropriate under all conditions True or false?
A: Answer: What is Forecasting: Forecasting is an attempt to predict future events which will be used…
Q: Explain quantitative forecast methods?
A: The quantitative method of forecasting uses numerical and prior effects to predict the possible…
Q: What are ways of managing a poor forecast?
A: A bad forecast presupposes that there has been a mismatch between the demand and supply as a result…
Q: When a business is started, or a patent idea needs funding, venture capitalists or investment…
A: A profitability forecast is a set of figures included in a business plan. The result of forecasting…
Q: Given the following history, use a three-quarter moving average to forecast the demand for the third…
A: Given data is
Q: ) Using the 3-year moving average, provide the forecast from periods 4 through 12 (round your…
A: Forecasting is a technique used to predict future outcomes on the basis of past data. In businesses…
Q: Explain the forecasting term with the help of least squares ?
A: Least Squares Method The least squares technique is a type of mathematical regression analysis that…
Q: What advantages as a forecasting tool does exponential smoothing have over moving averages?
A: A moving average forecast method takes into account instead of the last actual data, a number of…
Q: Explain what are the benefits of exponential smoothing over moving average forecasting
A: The table below gives a prediction of the advantages of moving average over exponential smoothing.
Q: What are some of the consequences of poor forecasts? Explain.
A: The Consequences of the poor forecast are:
Q: How can the Forecast technique be improved?
A: Forecasting is a tool or technique which is used to predict future demand, risk and to analyze the…
Q: Predict the forecast for week 35 using an exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.20.
A: Forecasting is the process of prediction in which sales demand is estimated using historic…
Q: (a) Suppose the data in the table below represents total revenues (in $ millions) for one real…
A: Below is the solution:-
Q: No singal forecast methodology is appropriate under all conditions: True or false?
A: Forecasting is a method that utilizes authentic information as contributions to make educated…
Q: snip
A:
Q: snip
A: The quantitative forecasting techniques require the past relevant data, the absence of this makes…
Q: Can you either overestimate or underestimate the actual sales number for a poor forecast?
A: A forecast is a foresight of whatever will occur. While usually practiced in the circumstances of…
Q: What effect does the number of cycles in a moving average have on the forecast's responsiveness?
A: In order to estimate potential demand, the Moving Average (MA) projection method uses the MA formula…
Q: Explain FORECAST ACCURACY?
A: Forecasting is the process of estimating future demand using the present and past data. The demand…
Q: what is the advantage of using double exponential smoothing over regression?
A: You can use both double exponential smoothing and regression to forecast a demand pattern with a…
Q: Define and explain the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explain…
A: Forecasting is the process of prediction in which sales demand is estimated using historic…
Q: How do exponential smoothing have benefits over shifting.averages as a forecasting tool?
A: The benefits of exponential smoothing are as a prediction tool compared to moving averages.
Q: What are the major consequences of accurate forecasting? explain
A: Forecasting is defined as a process of developing predictions based on the past and…
Q: The following monthly sales (in thousands of AUS dollars) of chocolate boxes have been recorded for…
A: Forecasting is a method of foretelling the future based on the outcomes of earlier data. It includes…
Q: What is the expected sales for the 7th week based on 3 period moving average. What is the forecast…
A: Forecasting is the process of predicting the future demand using previous or historic information.
Q: Explain and give an example of a weighted average in forecasting
A: A Weighted Moving Average puts more weight on late information and less on past information. This is…
Q: Discuss what is seasonality and how forecast is done using data that has seasonality?
A: Time series analysis describes seasonal patterns as recurrent upward and downward cyclic patterns in…
Q: How can you evaluate the accuracy of a forecast model? explain in detail
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of the future on the basis of past and present data…
How does the number of periods in a moving average affect the responsiveness of the
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- Under what conditions might a firm use multiple forecasting methods?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?
- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?
- China effectively shuts down for two weeks each year and celebrates the lunar new year. How does that resemble (or not) peak season in Western countries?Explain how can does the number of periods in a moving average affect the responsiveness of the forecast?Can you either overestimate or underestimate the actual sales number for a poor forecast?