If the ($/SFr) exchange rate goes from $1.25/SFr to $1.30VSFr this is a $ depreciation. An increase in the money supply shifts the LM curve to the right. T F Expansionary monetary policy is not effective in increasing domestic output under floating exchange rate regimes. T If the Chinese wanted to devalue their currency, the yuan, they should sell yuan and buy $. T F
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- Answer all questions from this section. For each question, identify the statement as True,False, or Uncertain, and explain your reasoning A.1 Following the announcement that the amount of QE intervention by the central bankwill be reduced going forward (also known as Quantitative Tightening), according to theUIP condition, an immediate appreciation of home’s nominal exchange rate would beobserved. A.2 The difference between the slopes of the IS and RX curves depends only on the sensitivityof net exports to the real exchange rate. A.3 Consider a temporary positive inflation shock in a flexible exchange rate regime (with aninflation targeting central bank) and in a fixed exchange rate regime (where there is nopolicy intervention). Assume that both economies converge to a medium run equilibrium.Following the shock, inflation converges to its equilibrium value from above in both cases.A.4 The central bank of a common currency area should not respond to a shock specific toone member. A.5…An analyst argues that exchange rate movements depend on interest rate differentials (that is, the International Fisher effect), country-specific economic policy uncertainty measures and country-specific GDP growth rates. With this in mind, the analyst estimates the following model: Expected rate of appreciation of yen against the dollar(%)= =0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]+0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]2+0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]+ +0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]2+0.1[GDPJAP(%) – GDPUS(%)]. In this model, idollar(%) is the one-year interest rate in the US, iyen(%) is the one-year interest rate in Japan, σUS(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in the US, σJAP(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in Japan, GDPUS(%) refers to annual GDP growth in the US and GDPJAP(%) refers to annual GDP growth in Japan. Assume idollar=6%, iyen=4%, σUS=5%, σJAP=1%, GDPUS=2% and GDPJAP=1%. Calculate the expected rate of appreciation of the yen against the dollarWhat prompted the currency crises in Mexico in the mid-1990s andin many Asian economies at the end of the 1990s? What are theconsequences of the recent decision by China to let its currency, therenminbi, appreciate after it was fxed for many years relative to the dollar?
- Lecture: What Determines Fxchange Rstes? Question: Regarding exchange rate overshooting, what are the two side effects that intervene and affect the path of the exchange rate after the increase in the domestic money auppty? a. Sbick product peikes and tectining domentic interest rate: b. Deciling foreign interent ratea and sticay product prices. c. Sticky domestic interest rates and increming produat prices: d. Increasing dometic interet rates and sticky foreign inferes rates, e. Sticky faregn interat rates and dedingrg product prices:In November, the UK central bank voted to leave its policy (bank) rate uncahged at a historic low of 0.1% which surprised investors who expceted an increase. The British Pound fell sharply against the US Dollar (more than 1%) and the Euro (more than 0.5%). The yield on 2 year gilts fell by 21 basis points.a) Why did the pound depreciate when the English Central Bank surprised the market by not hiking its policy rates as expected b) why did the yield cureve steppen after the Bank's decision not to raise rates? Are markets optimistic or pessimistic about the economy's future?(a) An analyst argues that exchange rate movements depend on interest rate differentials (that is, the International Fisher effect), country-specific economic policy uncertainty measures and country-specific GDP growth rates. With this in mind, the analyst estimates the following model: Expected rate of appreciation of yen against the dollar(%)= =0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]+0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]2+0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]+ +0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]2+0.1[GDPJAP(%) – GDPUS(%)]. In this model, idollar(%) is the one-year interest rate in the US, iyen(%) is the one-year interest rate in Japan, σUS(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in the US, σJAP(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in Japan, GDPUS(%) refers to annual GDP growth in the US and GDPJAP(%) refers to annual GDP growth in Japan. Assume idollar=6%, iyen=4%, σUS=5%,σJAP=1%, GDPUS=2% and GDPJAP=1%. Calculate the expected rate of appreciation of the yen against the dollar. Explain your findings in no more than 200 words.…
- (a) An analyst argues that exchange rate movements depend on interest rate differentials (that is, the International Fisher effect), country-specific economic policy uncertainty measures and country-specific GDP growth rates. With this in mind, the analyst estimates the following model:Expected rate of appreciation of yen against the dollar(%)= =0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]+0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]2+0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]++0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]2+0.1[GDPJAP(%) – GDPUS(%)].In this model, idollar(%) is the one-year interest rate in the US, iyen(%) is the one-year interest rate in Japan, σUS(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in the US, σJAP(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in Japan, GDPUS(%) refers toannual GDP growth in the US and GDPJAP(%) refers to annual GDP growth in Japan. Assume idollar=6%, iyen=4%, σUS=5%, σJAP=1%, GDPUS=2% and GDPJAP=1%. Calculate the expected rate of appreciation of the yen against the dollar. Explain your findings in no more than 200 words .(b) An…Assume that the expected future exchange rate is unchanged and that the central bank holds the real money supply fixed. Draw an IS-LM-IP diagram to show the effect of the drop in consumer confidence. Label all axes and curves and mark all the values and equilibrium points appropriately.identify the statement as True, False, or Uncertain, and explain your reasoning in detail. 1)Following the announcement that the amount of QE intervention by the central bank will be reduced going forward (also known as Quantitative Tightening), according to the UIP condition, an immediate appreciation of home’s nominal exchange rate would be observed. 2) The difference between the slopes of the IS and RX curves depends only on the sensitivity of net exports to the real exchange rate. 3) Consider a temporary positive inflation shock in a flexible exchange rate regime (with an inflation targeting central bank) and in a fixed exchange rate regime (where there is no policy intervention). Assume that both economies converge to a medium run equilibrium. Following the shock, inflation converges to its equilibrium value from above in both cases. 4)The central bank of a common currency area should not respond to a shock specific to one member. 5)Assume that workers supply effort…
- (1) In the IS-LM model, how does an increase in money supply affect theIS curve?(2) According to the Impossible Trinity, if an economy wants to allow for free capitalflows as well as to have full control over its currency, which exchange rate systemshould be adopted?(3) In an IS-LM model, if the investors are suddenly less willing to invest, then what effects does this change make to the equilibrium? Explain your intuitions.(4) According to your answers in (3), if the government wants to stabilize the interestrate using monetary policies, how should it behave? If the government, instead, wantsto stabilize the output level using monetary policies, what is your policy suggestion forit?Consider Canada as a small open economy in the LR model and that Canada is a major exporter of primary products. a. Define terms of trade and explain how the terms of trade is to be distinguished from the real exchange rate. Use the Canadian context to illustrate your answers. b. During the period from 1970s to late 1990s, world real commodity prices were reducing. Explain why, as a result, Canada's terms of trade was negatively affected. Also, explain why such worsening of terms of trade implies that autonomous net exports for Canada reduces (<0). Illustrate graphically using the "foreign exchange" market and explain how such a reduction in autonomous net exports will affect equilibrium net exports and the Canadian dollar value. How will Canada's exports of primary products be affected in equilibrium? How will Canada's exports of manufacturing products be affected in equilibrium? Explain.Kindly assist in question 2 1)Suppose the ECB keeps the euro rate at 2% forever .The Fed now temporary raises its interest rate this year from 2% to 7% .After this event ,what is the expected rate of dollar depreciation if UIP holds over the coming year ?(Hint :use the approximate UIP formula.) 2) In the last question (1), suppose the policies are temporary, and everyone believes the exchange rate will revert to its expected long run PPP value of $1.26 per euro one year from now .What will be the spot exchange rate ($/€) today?.( hint: use the approximate UIP formula)