Month Forecast Actual Monthly Cumulative Monthly Cumulative 1 100 100 110 110 2 100 200 125 235 100 300 120 355 4 100 400 125 480 5 100 500 130 610 6 100 600 110 720 Total 600 600 720 720 FIGURE 8.8 Forecast and actual sales with bias. Week Actual Demand Forecast 1 103 100 112 3 113 4 120 128 131 7 140 8 142 2. 6.

Understanding Business
12th Edition
ISBN:9781259929434
Author:William Nickels
Publisher:William Nickels
Chapter1: Taking Risks And Making Profits Within The Dynamic Business Environment
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1CE
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Question

Weekly demand for an item averaged 100 units over the past year. Actual demand for
the next eight weeks is shown in what follows:
a. Plot the data on graph paper.
b. Letting a = 0.25, calculate the smoothed forecast for each week.
c. Comment on how well the forecast is tracking actual demand. Is it lagging or leading actual demand?

Month
Forecast
Actual
Monthly
Cumulative
Monthly
Cumulative
1
100
100
110
110
2
100
200
125
235
100
300
120
355
4
100
400
125
480
5
100
500
130
610
6
100
600
110
720
Total
600
600
720
720
FIGURE 8.8 Forecast and actual sales with bias.
Transcribed Image Text:Month Forecast Actual Monthly Cumulative Monthly Cumulative 1 100 100 110 110 2 100 200 125 235 100 300 120 355 4 100 400 125 480 5 100 500 130 610 6 100 600 110 720 Total 600 600 720 720 FIGURE 8.8 Forecast and actual sales with bias.
Week
Actual Demand
Forecast
1
103
100
112
3
113
4
120
128
131
7
140
8
142
2.
6.
Transcribed Image Text:Week Actual Demand Forecast 1 103 100 112 3 113 4 120 128 131 7 140 8 142 2. 6.
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