Problem 1 Synergy Company sells co-amoxiclav antibiotic. The probability distribution of the demand for co-amoxiclav antibiotic is as follows: Estimated Sales in Units 120 units 210 units 300 units Probability 1. How much is Expected Value? 0.12 0.18 0.22 The estimated demand for co-amoxiclav antibiotics this coming month using the expected value approach is
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- A company invests on selling computer units worth Php 32,000.00. The probability of maintaining this price throughout the year is 65% while that of less or more than 10% the expected are 15% and 20%, (a) what is the probability that the selling price for that year is more than the expected price? a. 0.8 b. 0.85 c. 0.25 d. 0.2 e. 1 f. 0.15 g. 0.65The owner of a ski resort is considering installing a new ski lift that will cost $900,000. Expenses for operating andmaintaining the lift are estimated to be $1,500 per day when operating. The U.S. Weather Service estimates thatthere is a 60% probability of 80 days of skiing weather per year, a 30% probability of 100 days per year, and a 10% probability of 120 days per year. The operators of the resort estimate that during the first 80 days of adequate snow in a season, an average of 500 people will use the lift each day, at a fee of $10 each. If 20 additional days are available, the lift will be used by only 400 people per day during the extra period; and if 20 more days of skiing are available, only 300 people per day will use the lift during those days. The owners wish to recover any invested capital within five years and want at least a 25% per year rate of return before taxes. Based on a before-tax analysis, should the lift be installed?Suppose an investor is concerned about a business choice in which there are three projects, the probability and returns are given below. Probability Return 0.4 $100 0.4 40 The expected value of the uncertain investment is $ ----------- (round off to the nearest dollar.
- Question 2An investor is to purchase one of three types of real estate, as illustrated inFigure below. The investor must decide among an apartment building, anoffice building, and a warehouse. The future states of nature that willdetermine how much profit the investor will make are good economicconditions and poor economic conditions. The profits that will result fromeach decision in the event of each state of nature are shown in Table below: Assume that it is now possible to estimate a probability of 0.60 that goodeconomic conditions will exist and a probability of .40 that poor economicconditions will exist. a) Determine the best decision by using expected opportunity loss. b) Develop a decision tree, with expected values at the probability nodes. c) Compute the expected value of perfect information.Suppose XYZ Corporation's stock price rises or falls with equal probability by $25 each month, starting where it ended the previous month. What is the value of a three month at the-money European call option on XYZ's stock if the stock is priced at $100 when the option is purchased?$______Project NOLA has an initial after-tax cost of $150,000 at t = 0 The project is expected to produce after-tax CFs of $60,000 for the next three years. The project's WACC is 10%. The project's CFs depend critically upon customer's acceptance of the product. There's a 60% probability that the product will be successful and generate annual after-tax CFs of $100,000, and a 40% probability that it will not be successful and hence produce annual after-tax of -$20,000. Should the company abandon the project after a year ?please so working for everything. Thank you.
- You live in an area that has a possibility of incurring a massive earthquake, so you are considering buyingearthquake insurance on your home at an annual cost of $180. The probability of an earthquake damagingyour home during one year is 0.001. If this happens, you estimate that the cost of the damage (fully coveredby earthquake insurance) will be $160,000. Your total assets (including your home) are worth $250,000.Portfolio ABZ has a daily expected return of 0.0634% and a daily standard deviation of 1.1213%. Assuming that the daily 5 percent parametric VaR is $6 million, calculate the annual 5 percent parametric VaR for a portfolio with a market value of $ 120 million. (Assume 250 trading days in a year and give your answer in Dollars)Y = 30 - 25X + error What is the expected value of Y when X is 0? Y = 10 + 13.57*X + error By how much does the expected value of Y change if X increases by 18.02 units? (Round your answer to two decimal places: ex: 123.45)
- You’re the manager of global opportunities for a U.S. Manufacturer, who is considering expanding sales into Asia. Your market research has identified the market potential in Malaysia, Philippines, and Singapore as described next: Success Level Malaysia Philippines Singapore Probability Units Probability Units Probability Units Big 0.3 1,200,000 0.3 1,000,000 0.7 700,000 Mediocre 0.3 600,000 0.5 320,000 0.2 400,000 Failure 0.4 0 0.2 0 0.1 0 The product sells for $10 and has unit costs of $8. If you can enter only one market, and the cost of entering the market (regardless of…53. The annual demand for Prizdol, a prescription drugmanufactured and marketed by the NuFeel Company,is normally distributed with mean 50,000 and standarddeviation 12,000. Assume that demand during each ofthe next 10 years is an independent random numberfrom this distribution. NuFeel needs to determine howlarge a Prizdol plant to build to maximize its expectedprofit over the next 10 years. If the company builds aplant that can produce x units of Prizdol per year, it willcost $16 for each of these x units. NuFeel will produceonly the amount demanded each year, and each unit ofPrizdol produced will sell for $3.70. Each unit of Prizdol produced incurs a variable production cost of $0.20.It costs $0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity.a. Among the capacity levels of 30,000, 35,000,40,000, 45,000, 50,000, 55,000, and 60,000 unitsper year, which level maximizes expected profit?Use simulation to answer this question.b. Using the capacity from your answer to part a,NuFeel can be 95%…I am in possession of two coins. One is fair so that it lands heads (H) and tails (T)with equal probability while the other coin is weighted so that it always lands H. Bothcoins are magical: if either is flipped and lands H then a $1 bill appears in your wallet,but when it lands T nothing happens. You may only flip a coin once per period. Theinterest rate is i per period. You are risk-neutral and thus only concern yourself withexpected values (and not variance). For simplicity, in the questions below assumeyou will live forever.1. How much are you willing to pay for such a coin that you know is fair? 2. How much are you willing to pay for such a coin that you know is weighted? 3. I currently own the coins and know which is fair and which is weighted, but youcannot tell which is which. You may make an offer to purchase a coin of yourchoosing, which I am free to accept or reject. What is the most you are willingto offer? Explain how you arrived at this answer.