Suppose the following are the seasonal indices for the first three quarters of the year for a quarterly series:   Quarter Seasonal Index Q1 73.8 Q2 86.6 Q3 105.5       Remember that the seasonal indices should average 100 so you should be able to infer the seasonal index for Q4.   Furthermore, suppose that the estimated coeffcients from a regression of the deseasonalized series on Time are given below:     Coefficients Intercept 2,028 Time 61.9   What is the forecast for period 55, if period 55 is a Q1? (please round your answer to 1 decimal place)

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Author:Amos Gilat
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Suppose the following are the seasonal indices for the first three quarters of the year for a quarterly series:

 

Quarter

Seasonal Index

Q1

73.8

Q2

86.6

Q3

105.5

 

 


 
Remember that the seasonal indices should average 100 so you should be able to infer the seasonal index for Q4.

 
Furthermore, suppose that the estimated coeffcients from a regression of the deseasonalized series on Time are given below:

 

 

Coefficients

Intercept

2,028

Time

61.9


 
What is the forecast for period 55, if period 55 is a Q1? (please round your answer to 1 decimal place)

     
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