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- Assumptions of rationality are violated because Choose one: A. both low-probability events and high-probability events are underanticipated. B. low-probability events are overanticipated whereas high-probability events are underanticipated. C. low-probability events are underanticipated whereas high-probability events are overanticipated. D. both low-probability events and high-probability events are overanticipated.By using the expected utility theory approach with u(x)=x2, choose the optimal decision for three different possible outcomes with probabilities p(ω1)=1/2, p(ω2)=p(ω3)=1/4, rewards R(d1,ω1)=£49,R(d1,ω2)=R(d1,ω3)=£25, R(d2,ω1)=£36,R(d2,ω2)=£100,R(d2,ω3)=£0, R(d3,ω1)=£81,R(d3,ω2)=R(d3,ω3)=£0The application which provides a way of revising conditional probabilities by using available information and provisions for revising conditional probabilities with other information that is useful for management decision making is called? Select one: a. Bayes’ theorem. b. overinvolvement ratios. c. probability rules. d. empirical formula.
- ollowing is the payoff table for the Pittsburgh Development Corporation (PDC) Condominium Project. Amounts are in millions of dollars. State of Nature Decision Alternative Strong Demand S1 Weak Demand S2 Small complex, d1 8 7 Medium complex, d2 14 5 Large complex, d3 20 -9 Suppose PDC is optimistic about the potential for the luxury high-rise condominium complex and that this optimism leads to an initial subjective probability assessment of 0.8 that demand will be strong (S1) and a corresponding probability of 0.2 that demand will be weak (S2). Assume the decision alternative to build the large condominium complex was found to be optimal using the expected value approach. Also, a sensitivity analysis was conducted for the payoffs associated with this decision alternative. It was found that the large complex remained optimal as long as the payoff for the strong demand was greater than or equal to $17.5 million and as long as the payoff for…Emma has a utility functionU(x1, x2, x3) = logx1+ 0.8logx2+ 0.72logx3 incomes x1 , x2, x3 in the next three years. This is an example of (A) expected value; (B) quasi-hyperbolic utility function; (C) standard discounted utility; (D) none of the above.In the CRRA utility family u(x) = x^(1−γ). If this individual has autility where γ = 0.01, would he prefer the payment of $320 or the gamble?
- how then can we find the total utility given q1=24, q2=30 and q3=15"The non-liner transformation of the vNM expected utility function fails to reflect the underlying preference relation." Explain the above statement.Please give solution in correct and step by step answer format thanku Explaniation Please!!! Five people go to the supermarket to buy milk. Each person is equally likely to select (independently) from ten different brands available. Find the probability that they each select: (a) A different brand. (b) The same brand.
- Two identically able agents are competing for a promotion. The promotion is awarded on the basis of output (whomever has the highest output, gets the promotion). Because there are only two workers competing for one prize, the losing prize=0 and the winning prize =P. The output for each agent is equal to his or her effort level times a productivity parameter (d). (i.e. Q2=dE1 , Q2=dE2). If the distribution of “relative luck” is uniform, the probability of winning the promotion for agent 1 will be a function of his effort (E1) and the effort level of Agent 2 (E2). The formula is given by...Prob(win)=0.5 + α(E1-E2), where α is a parameter that reflects uncertainty and errors in measurement. High measurement errors are associated with small values of α (think about this: if there are high measurement errors, then the level of an agent’s effort will have a smaller effect on his/her chances of winning). Using this information, please answer the following questions. Both workers have a…Three decision makers have assessed utilities for the following decision problem (payoffin dollars): The indifference probabilities are as follows: a. Plot the utility function for money for each decision maker.In experimental studies, most participants adhere to the tenets of utility maximi: ation theory, especially under the conditions of uncertainty. Yes or no?
