With the gasoline time series data from the given table, show the exponential smoothing forecasts using = 0.1.   Week Sales (1000s of gallons) 1 17 2 21 3 19 4 23 5 18 6 16 7 20 8 18 9 22 10 20 11 15 12 22     Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefer a smoothing constant of = 0.1 or = 0.2 for the gasoline sales time series? Do not round your interim computations and round your final answers to two decimal places.   = 0.1 = 0.2 MSE fill in the blank 1 fill in the blank 2 Prefer:  01. or 0.2        2. Are the results the same if you apply MAE as the measure of accuracy? Do not round your interim computations and round your final answers to two decimal places.   = 0.1 = 0.2 MAE fill in the blank 4 fill in the blank 5 Prefer:  0.1 or 0.2   3. What are the results if MAPE is used? Do not round your interim computations and round your final answers to two decimal places.   = 0.1 = 0.2 MAPE fill in the blank 7 % fill in the blank 8 % Prefer:  0.1 or 0.2

College Algebra
1st Edition
ISBN:9781938168383
Author:Jay Abramson
Publisher:Jay Abramson
Chapter6: Exponential And Logarithmic Functions
Section6.8: Fitting Exponential Models To Data
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With the gasoline time series data from the given table, show the exponential smoothing forecasts using = 0.1.

 

Week Sales (1000s of gallons)
1 17
2 21
3 19
4 23
5 18
6 16
7 20
8 18
9 22
10 20
11 15
12 22

 

 

  1. Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefer a smoothing constant of = 0.1 or = 0.2 for the gasoline sales time series? Do not round your interim computations and round your final answers to two decimal places.
  = 0.1 = 0.2
MSE fill in the blank 1 fill in the blank 2

Prefer:  01. or 0.2

 
     2. Are the results the same if you apply MAE as the measure of accuracy? Do not round your interim computations and round your final answers to two decimal places.

  = 0.1 = 0.2
MAE fill in the blank 4 fill in the blank 5

Prefer:  0.1 or 0.2
 

3. What are the results if MAPE is used? Do not round your interim computations and round your final answers to two decimal places.

  = 0.1 = 0.2
MAPE fill in the blank 7 % fill in the blank 8 %


Prefer:  0.1 or 0.2

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