Essentials Of Statistics
Essentials Of Statistics
4th Edition
ISBN: 9781305093836
Author: HEALEY, Joseph F.
Publisher: Cengage Learning,
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Chapter 10, Problem 10.15P

A random sample of 748 voters in a large city was asked how they voted in the presidential election of 2012. Calculate chi square and the column percentages for each table below and write a brief report describing the significance of the relationships as well as the patterns you observe.

a. Presidential preference and gender

Gender
Preference Male Female Totals
Romney 165 173 338
Obama
Totals
200 365 210 383 410 748

b. Presidential preference and race/ethnicity

Preference Race/Ethnicity
White Black Latino Totals
Romney 289 5 44 338
Obama
Totals
249 538 95 100 66 110 410 748

c. Presidential preference by education

Preference Education
Less than HS HS Graduate College Graduate Post-Graduate Degree Totals
Romney 30 180 118 10 338
Obama
Totals
35 65 120 300 218 336 37 47 410 748

d. Presidential preference by religion

Preference Religion
Protestant Catholic Jewish None Other Totals
Romney 165 110 10 28 25 338
Obama
Totals
245 410 55 165 20 30 60 88 30 55 410 748
Expert Solution
Check Mark
To determine

(a)

To find:

The chi square value for the given information and test for its significance.

Answer to Problem 10.15P

Solution:

There is no significant relationship between the gender of the voter and the presidential preference.

The Percentage table suggests that though being not significant, both the genders prefer Obama over Romney.

Explanation of Solution

Given:

The given statement is,

A random sample of 748 voters in a large city was asked how they voted in the presidential election of 2012.

The given table of information is,

Preference Gender
Male Female Totals
Romney 165 173 338
Obama 200 210 410
Totals 365 383 748

Approach:

The confidence interval is an interval estimate from the statistics of the observed data that might contain the true value of the unknown population parameter.

The five step model for hypothesis testing is,

Step 1. Making assumptions and meeting test requirements.

Step 2. Stating the null hypothesis.

Step 3. Selecting the sampling distribution and establishing the critical region.

Step 4. Computing test statistics.

Step 5. Making a decision and interpreting the results of the test.

Formula used:

For a chi square, the expected frequency fe is given as,

fe=Rowmarginal×ColumnmarginalN

Where N is the total of frequencies.

The chi square statistic is given by,

χ2(obtained)=(fofe)2fe

Where fo is the observed frequency,

And fe is the expected frequency.

The degrees of freedom for the bivariate table is given as,

df=(r1)(c1)

Where r is the number of rows and c is the number of columns.

Calculation:

From the given information,

The observed frequency is given as,

fe=Rowmarginal×ColumnmarginalN ……(1)

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 365 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f1=338×365748=164.93

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 383 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f2=338×383748=173.07

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 365 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f3=410×365748=200.07

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 383 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f4=410×383748=209.93

Consider the following table,

fo fe fofe (fofe)2 (fofe)2/fe
165 164.93 0.07 0.0049 0.00
173 173.07 0.07 0.0049 0.00
200 200.07 0.07 0.0049 0.00
210 209.93 0.07 0.0049 0.00
Total 748 748 0 χ2=0.00

The value fofe is obtained as,

Substitute 165 for fo and 164.93 for fe in the above formula.

fofe=165164.3=0.07

Squaring the above obtained result,

(fofe)2=(0.07)2=0.0049

Divide the above obtained result by fe.

(fofe)2fe=0.0049164.930.00

Proceed in a similar manner to obtain rest of the values of (fofe)2/fe and refer above table for the rest of the values of (fofe)2/fe.

The chi square value is given as,

χ2(obtained)=(fofe)2fe=0.00+0.00+0.00+0.00=0.00

Thus, the chi square value is 0.00.

Follow the steps for chi square hypothesis testing.

Step 1. Making assumptions and meeting test requirements.

Model:

Independent random sampling.

Level of measurement is nominal.

Step 2. Stating the null hypothesis.

The statement of the null hypothesis is that there is no significant relationship between the gender of the voter and the presidential preference.

Thus, the null and the alternative hypotheses are,

H0: No significant relationship between the gender of the voter and the presidential preference.

H1: A significant relationship between the gender of the voter and the presidential preference.

Step 3. Selecting the sampling distribution and establishing the critical region.

The sampling distribution is chi square.

The level of significance is α=0.05.

Number of rows is 2 and the number of columns of 2.

The degrees of freedom is given by,

df=(21)(21)=1

And area of critical region is χ2(critical)=3.841.

Step 4. Computing test statistics.

The obtained chi square value is 0.00.

Step 5. Making a decision and interpreting the results of the test.

Since, 0.00<3.841, the test statistics does not fall in the critical region. Thus, the null hypothesis is accepted.

This implies that, there is no significant relationship between the gender of the voter and the presidential preference.

The following table gives the column wise percentages of gender preferences..

Preference Gender
Male Female
Romany 45.21% 45.17%
Obama 54.79% 54.83%
Totals 100% 100%

The columns of the table are computed as,

Substitute the values from the given table of information,

165365×100=45.21%

Proceed in a similar manner to obtain rest of the values of the table.

The above table suggests that though being not significant, both the genders prefer Obama over Romney.

Conclusion:

There is no significant relationship between the gender of the voter and the presidential preference.

The Percentage table suggests that though being not significant, both the genders prefer Obama over Romney.

Expert Solution
Check Mark
To determine

(b)

To find:

The chi square value for the given information and test for its significance.

Answer to Problem 10.15P

Solution:

There is a significant relationship between the race and ethnicity of the voter and the presidential preference.

The Percentage table suggests that mainly blacks prefer Obama with 95% majority.

Explanation of Solution

Given:

The given statement is,

A random sample of 748 voters in a large city was asked how they voted in the presidential election of 2012.

The given table of information is,

Preference Race/Ethnicity
White Black Latino Totals
Romney 289 5 44 338
Obama 249 95 66 410
Totals 538 100 110 748

Approach:

The confidence interval is an interval estimate from the statistics of the observed data that might contain the true value of the unknown population parameter.

The five step model for hypothesis testing is,

Step 1. Making assumptions and meeting test requirements.

Step 2. Stating the null hypothesis.

Step 3. Selecting the sampling distribution and establishing the critical region.

Step 4. Computing test statistics.

Step 5. Making a decision and interpreting the results of the test.

Formula used:

For a chi square, the expected frequency fe is given as,

fe=Rowmarginal×ColumnmarginalN

Where N is the total of frequencies.

The chi square statistic is given by,

χ2(obtained)=(fofe)2fe

Where fo is the observed frequency,

And fe is the expected frequency.

The degrees of freedom for the bivariate table is given as,

df=(r1)(c1)

Where r is the number of rows and c is the number of columns.

Calculation:

From the given information,

The observed frequency is given as,

fe=Rowmarginal×ColumnmarginalN ……(1)

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 538 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f1=338×538748=243.11

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 100 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f2=338×100748=45.19

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 110 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f3=338×110748=49.71

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 538 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f4=410×538748=294.89

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 100 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f5=410×100748=54.81

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 110 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f6=410×110748=60.29

Consider the following table,

fo fe fofe (fofe)2 (fofe)2/fe
289 234.11 45.89 2105.89 8.66
5 45.19 40.19 161.24 35.74
44 49.71 5.71 32.60 0.66
249 294.89 45.89 2105.89 7.14
95 54.81 40.19 1615.24 29.47
66 60.29 5.71 32.60 0.54
Total 748 748 0 χ2=82.21

The value fofe is obtained as,

Substitute 289 for fo and 243.11 for fe in the above formula.

fofe=289243.11=45.89

Squaring the above obtained result,

(fofe)2=(45.89)2=2105.89

Divide the above obtained result by fe.

(fofe)2fe=2105.8945.98=8.66

Proceed in a similar manner to obtain rest of the values of (fofe)2/fe and refer above table for the rest of the values of (fofe)2/fe.

The chi square value is given as,

χ2(obtained)=(fofe)2fe=8.66+35.74+0.66+7.14+29.47+0.54=82.21

Thus, the chi square value is 82.21.

Follow the steps for chi square hypothesis testing.

Step 1. Making assumptions and meeting test requirements.

Model:

Independent random sampling.

Level of measurement is nominal.

Step 2. Stating the null hypothesis.

The statement of the null hypothesis is that there is no significant relationship between the race and ethnicity of the voter and the presidential preference.

Thus, the null and the alternative hypotheses are,

H0: No significant relationship between the race and ethnicity of the voter and the presidential preference.

H1: A significant relationship between the race and ethnicity of the voter and the presidential preference.

Step 3. Selecting the sampling distribution and establishing the critical region.

The sampling distribution is chi square.

The level of significance is α=0.05.

Number of rows is 2 and the number of columns of 3.

The degrees of freedom is given by,

df=(21)(31)=2

And area of critical region is χ2(critical)=5.991.

Step 4. Computing test statistics.

The obtained chi square value is 82.21.

Step 5. Making a decision and interpreting the results of the test.

Since, 82.21>5.991, the test statistics fall in the critical region. Thus, the null hypothesis is rejected.

This implies that, there is a significant relationship between the race and ethnicity of the voter and the presidential preference.

The following table gives the column wise percentages of gender preferences..

Preference Race/Ethnicity
White Black Latino
Romany 53.72% 5% 40%
Obama 46.28% 95% 60%
Totals 100% 100% 100%

The columns of the table are computed as,

Substitute the values from the given table of information,

298538×100=53.72%

Proceed in a similar manner to obtain rest of the values of the table.

The above table suggests that mainly blacks prefer Obama with 95% majority.

Conclusion:

There is a significant relationship between the race and ethnicity of the voter and the presidential preference.

The Percentage table suggests that mainly blacks prefer Obama with 95% majority.

Expert Solution
Check Mark
To determine

(c)

To find:

The chi square value for the given information and test for its significance.

Answer to Problem 10.15P

Solution:

There is a significant relationship between the education level of the voter and the presidential preference.

The Percentage table suggests that, except the high school graduates, rest all the others prefer Obama over Romney.

Explanation of Solution

Given:

The given statement is,

A random sample of 748 voters in a large city was asked how they voted in the presidential election of 2012.

The given table of information is,

Preference Education
Less than HS HS Graduate College Graduate Post-Graduate Degree Totals
Romney 30 180 118 10 338
Obama 35 120 218 37 410
Totals 65 300 336 47 748

Apprach:

The confidence interval is an interval estimate from the statistics of the observed data that might contain the true value of the unknown population parameter.

The five step model for hypothesis testing is,

Step 1. Making assumptions and meeting test requirements.

Step 2. Stating the null hypothesis.

Step 3. Selecting the sampling distribution and establishing the critical region.

Step 4. Computing test statistics.

Step 5. Making a decision and interpreting the results of the test.

Formula used:

For a chi square, the expected frequency fe is given as,

fe=Rowmarginal×ColumnmarginalN

Where N is the total of frequencies.

The chi square statistic is given by,

χ2(obtained)=(fofe)2fe

Where fo is the observed frequency,

And fe is the expected frequency.

The degrees of freedom for the bivariate table is given as,

df=(r1)(c1)

Where r is the number of rows and c is the number of columns.

Calculation:

From the given information,

The observed frequency is given as,

fe=Rowmarginal×ColumnmarginalN ……(1)

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 65 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f1=338×65748=29.37

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 300 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f2=338×300748=135.56

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 336 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f3=338×336748=151.83

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 47 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f4=338×47748=21.24

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 65 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f5=410×65748=35.63

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 300 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f6=410×300748=164.44

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 336 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f7=410×336748=184.17

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 47 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f8=410×47748=25.76

Consider the following table,

fo fe fofe (fofe)2 (fofe)2/fe
30 29.37 0.63 0.40 0.01
180 135.56 44.44 1974.91 14.57
118 151.83 33.83 1144.47 7.54
10 21.24 11.24 126.34 5.95
35 35.63 0.63 0.40 0.01
120 164.44 44.44 1974.91 12.00
218 184.17 33.83 1144.47 6.21
37 25.76 11.24 126.34 4.90
Total 748 748 0 χ2=51.19

The value fofe is obtained as,

Substitute 30 for fo and 29.37 for fe in the above formula.

fofe=3029.37=0.63

Squaring the above obtained result,

(fofe)2=(0.63)2=0.40

Divide the above obtained result by fe.

(fofe)2fe=0.4029.37=0.01

Proceed in a similar manner to obtain rest of the values of (fofe)2/fe and refer above table for the rest of the values of (fofe)2/fe.

The chi square value is given as,

χ2(obtained)=(fofe)2fe=0.01+14.57+7.54+...+4.90=51.19

Thus, the chi square value is 51.19.

Follow the steps for chi square hypothesis testing.

Step 1. Making assumptions and meeting test requirements.

Model:

Independent random sampling.

Level of measurement is nominal.

Step 2. Stating the null hypothesis.

The statement of the null hypothesis is that there is no significant relationship between the education level of the voter and the presidential preference.

Thus, the null and the alternative hypotheses are,

H0: No significant relationship between the education level of the voter and the presidential preference.

H1: A significant relationship between the education level of the voter and the presidential preference.

Step 3. Selecting the sampling distribution and establishing the critical region.

The sampling distribution is chi square.

The level of significance is α=0.05.

Number of rows is 2 and the number of columns of 4.

The degrees of freedom is given by,

df=(21)(41)=3

And area of critical region is χ2(critical)=7.815.

Step 4. Computing test statistics.

The obtained chi square value is 82.21.

Step 5. Making a decision and interpreting the results of the test.

Since, 51.19>7.815, the test statistics fall in the critical region. Thus, the null hypothesis is rejected.

This implies that, there is a significant relationship between the education level of the voter and the presidential preference.

The following table gives the column wise percentages of gender preferences..

Preference Education
Less than HS HS Graduate College Graduate Post-Graduate Degree
Romany 46.15% 60% 35.12% 21.28%
Obama 53.85% 40% 64.88% 78.72%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100%

The columns of the table are computed as,

Substitute the values from the given table of information,

298538×100=53.72%

Proceed in a similar manner to obtain rest of the values of the table.

The above table suggests that, except the high school graduates, rest all the others prefer Obama over Romney.

Conclusion:

There is a significant relationship between the education level of the voter and the presidential preference.

The Percentage table suggests that, except the high school graduates, rest all the others prefer Obama over Romney.

Expert Solution
Check Mark
To determine

(d)

To find:

The chi square value for the given information and test for its significance.

Answer to Problem 10.15P

Solution:

There is a significant relationship between the religion of the voter and the presidential preference.

The Percentage table suggests that, except the voters from the Catholic religion, rest all the other religion voters prefer Obama over Romney.

Explanation of Solution

Given:

The given statement is,

A random sample of 748 voters in a large city was asked how they voted in the presidential election of 2012.

The given table of information is,

Preference Religion
Protestant Catholic Jewish None Other Totals
Romney 165 110 10 28 25 338
Obama 245 55 20 60 30 410
Totals 410 165 30 88 55 748

Approach:

The confidence interval is an interval estimate from the statistics of the observed data that might contain the true value of the unknown population parameter.

The five step model for hypothesis testing is,

Step 1. Making assumptions and meeting test requirements.

Step 2. Stating the null hypothesis.

Step 3. Selecting the sampling distribution and establishing the critical region.

Step 4. Computing test statistics.

Step 5. Making a decision and interpreting the results of the test.

Formula used:

For a chi square, the expected frequency fe is given as,

fe=Rowmarginal×ColumnmarginalN

Where N is the total of frequencies.

The chi square statistic is given by,

χ2(obtained)=(fofe)2fe

Where fo is the observed frequency,

And fe is the expected frequency.

The degrees of freedom for the bivariate table is given as,

df=(r1)(c1)

Where r is the number of rows and c is the number of columns.

Calculation:

From the given information,

The observed frequency is given as,

fe=Rowmarginal×ColumnmarginalN ……(1)

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 410 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f1=338×410748=185.27

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 165 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f2=338×165748=74.56

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 30 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f3=338×30748=13.56

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 88 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f4=338×88748=39.76

Substitute 338 for row marginal, 55 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f5=338×55748=24.85

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 410 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f6=410×410748=224.73

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 165 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f7=410×165748=90.44

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 30 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f8=410×30748=16.44

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 88 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f9=410×88748=48.24

Substitute 410 for row marginal, 55 for column marginal and 748 for N in equation (1).

f10=410×55748=30.15

Consider the following table,

fo fe fofe (fofe)2 (fofe)2/fe
165 185.27 20.27 410.87 2.22
110 74.56 35.44 1255.99 16.85
10 13.56 3.56 12.67 0.93
28 39.76 11.76 138.30 3.48
25 24.85 0.15 0.02 0.00
245 224.73 20.27 410.87 1.83
55 90.44 35.44 1255.99 13.89
20 16.44 3.56 12.67 0.77
60 48.24 11.76 138.30 2.87
30 30.15 0.15 0.02 0.00
Total 748 748 0 χ2=42.84

The value fofe is obtained as,

Substitute 165 for fo and 185.27 for fe in the above formula.

fofe=165185.27=20.27

Squaring the above obtained result,

(fofe)2=(20.27)2=410.87

Divide the above obtained result by fe.

(fofe)2fe=410.87185.27=2.22

Proceed in a similar manner to obtain rest of the values of (fofe)2/fe and refer above table for the rest of the values of (fofe)2/fe.

The chi square value is given as,

χ2(obtained)=(fofe)2fe=2.22+16.85+0.93+...+0.00=42.84

Thus, the chi square value is 42.84.

Follow the steps for chi square hypothesis testing.

Step 1. Making assumptions and meeting test requirements.

Model:

Independent random sampling.

Level of measurement is nominal.

Step 2. Stating the null hypothesis.

The statement of the null hypothesis is that there is no significant relationship between the religion of the voter and the presidential preference.

Thus, the null and the alternative hypotheses are,

H0: No significant relationship between the religion of the voter and the presidential preference.

H1: A significant relationship between the religion of the voter and the presidential preference.

Step 3. Selecting the sampling distribution and establishing the critical region.

The sampling distribution is chi square.

The level of significance is α=0.05.

Number of rows is 2 and the number of columns of 4.

The degrees of freedom is given by,

df=(21)(51)=4

And area of critical region is χ2(critical)=9.488.

Step 4. Computing test statistics.

The obtained chi square value is 42.84.

Step 5. Making a decision and interpreting the results of the test.

Since, 42.84>9.488, the test statistics fall in the critical region. Thus, the null hypothesis is rejected.

This implies that, there is a significant relationship between the religion of the voter and the presidential preference.

The following table gives the column wise percentages of gender preferences..

Preference Religion
Protestant Catholic Jewish None Other
Romany 40.24% 66.67% 33.33% 31.82% 45.45%
Obama 59.75% 33.33% 66.67% 68.18% 54.55%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

The columns of the table are computed as,

Substitute the values from the given table of information,

165410×100=40.24%

Proceed in a similar manner to obtain rest of the values of the table.

The above table suggests that, except the voters from the Catholic religion, rest all the other religion voters prefer Obama over Romney.

Conclusion:

There is a significant relationship between the religion of the voter and the presidential preference.

The Percentage table suggests that, except the voters from the Catholic religion, rest all the other religion voters prefer Obama over Romney.

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