International Financial Management
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780357130698
Author: Madura
Publisher: Cengage
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The prevailing one-year risk-free interest rate in Argentina is higher than in the U.S. and will continue to be higher over time. Sycamore Co. believes the international Fisher effect (IFE) can be used to derive the best forecast of the peso's exchange rate movement over time. In contrast, you believe that the prevailing spot rate is the best forecast of the future spot rate. Based on your opinion, will Sycamore Co. typically overestimate the future spot rate, underestimate the future spot rate, or create an unbiased forecast (similar chance of overestimating or underestimating the future spot rate) of the Argentine peso? Briefly explain.
Bank of Southern Vermont has determined that its inventory of 20 million euros (€) and 25 million British pounds (£) is subject to market risk. The spot exchange rates are $0.40/€ and $1.28/£, respectively. The σ’s of the spot exchange rates of the € and £, based on the daily changes of spot rates over the past six months, are 65 bp and 45 bp, respectively. Use adverse rate changes in the 90% confidence interval (critical value = 1.65 for 90% confidence interval).
Question 1: What is the DEAR of euros (€)?
Question 2: What is the DEAR of British pounds (£)?
Assume the following information:90-day Ghana interest rate = 4%90-day South African interest rate = 3%90-day forward rate of South African rand = GHS 0.3500Spot rate of South African rand = GHS 0.3550
Assume that the Osei Bonsu Co. in Ghana will need 300,000 rand in 90 days to pay for imports from South Africa. It wishes to hedge this payables position. Would it be better off using a forward hedge or a money market hedge? Substantiate your answer with estimated costs for each type of hedge.
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- A financial institution has assets denominated in British pound sterling of $125 million andsterling liabilities of $100 million.a) What is the FI's net exposure?b) Is the FI exposed to a dollar appreciation or depreciation?c) How can the FI use futures or forward contracts to hedge its FX rate risk? d) What is the number of futures contracts to be utilized to hedge fully the FI's currencyrisk exposure?e) If the British pound falls from $1.60/£ to $1.50/£, what will be the impact on the FI'scash position?f) If the British pound futures price falls from $1.55/£ to $1.45/£, what will be the impacton the FI's futures position.arrow_forwardAssume the following information: 180-day U.S. interest rate 8% 180-day British interest rate 9% 180-day forward rate of British pound $1.50 Spot rate of British pound $1.48 Assume that Riverside Corp. from the United States will receive 400,000 pounds in 180 days. Would it be better off using a forward hedge or a money market hedge? Substantiate your answer with estimated revenue for each type of hedge.arrow_forwardAn investor enters a short forward contract to sell 100 euros for dollars at exchange rate 1.3 dollars per euro. If the exchange rate at the end of contract is 1.29 dollars per euro, the dollar payoff is (a) −130 (b) − 1 (c) 0 (d) 1 (e) 130 And, The standard deviation of quarterly changes in oil price is 0.65, the standard deviation of quarterly changes in oil futures price is 0.81, and the correlation between the two changes is 0.8. The optimal hedge ratio for a 3-month futures contract is (a) 0.13 (b) 0.64 (c) 0.8 (d) 0.99 (e) 1.25arrow_forward
- MNC needs 100,000 Canadian dollars (C$) in 90 days (i.e. has payable due) and is trying to determine whether or not to hedge this position. MNC has outline the following probability schedule. Possible Value of Canadian Dollar in 90 Days Probability $0.57 15% 0.59 25% 0.61 35% 0.63 25% The 90-day forward rate of the Canadian dollar is $.60. If Lorre implements a forward hedge, what is the probability that hedging will be more costly to the firm than not hedging? Group of answer choices 85%. 60%. 40%. 15%.arrow_forwardAssume that Kramer Co. will receive SF800,000 in 90 days. Today's spot rate of the Swiss franc is $.62, and the 90-day forward rate is $.635. Kramer has developed the following probability distribution for the spot rate in 90 days: Possible Spot Rate in 90 Days Probability $.61 10% $.63 30% $.64 40% $.65 20% The probability that the forward hedge will result in more dollars received than not hedging is: a. 20 percent. b. 40 percent. c. 60 percent. d. 30 percent. e. 10 percent.arrow_forward
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