International Financial Management
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780357130698
Author: Madura
Publisher: Cengage
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(Computing the standard deviation for an individual investment) James Fromholtz is considering whether to invest in a newly formed investment fund. The fund's investment objective is to acquire home mortgage securities at what it hopes will be bargain prices. The fund sponsor has suggested to James that the fund's performance will hinge on how the national economy performs in the coming year. Specifically, he suggested the following possible outcomes:
LOADING...
.
a. Based on these potential outcomes, what is your estimate of the expected rate of return from this investment opportunity?
b. Calculate the standard deviation in the anticipated returns found in part
a.
c. Would you be interested in making such an investment? Note that you lose all your money in one year if the economy collapses into the worst state or you double your money if the economy enters into a rapid expansion.
State of Economy
Probability
Fund Returns
Rapid expansion and recovery…
(Expected rate of return) James Fromholtz is considering whether to invest in a newly formed investment fund. The fund's investment objective is to acquire home mortgage securities at what it hopes will be bargain prices. The fund sponsor has suggested to James that the fund's performance will hinge on how the national economy performs in the coming year. Specifically, he suggested the following possible outcomes:
LOADING...
.
a. Based on these potential outcomes, what is your estimate of the expected rate of return from this investment opportunity?
b. Would you be interested in making such an investment? Note that you lose all your money in one year if the economy collapses into the worst state or you double your money if the economy enters into a rapid expansion.
State of Economy
Probability
Fund Returns
Rapid expansion and recovery
15%
100%
Modest growth
35%
30%
Continued recession
35%
10%
Falls into depression
15%
−100%
You are International Business Manager at a UK based company. Considering high demand your company plans a full-scale expansion. Your company has identified USA and Europe as potential markets. You are requested to analyse both projects and advise. In considering such large project, you must work out the risk of each project, cost of capital and NPV. Allocate discount rate for each project accordingly and justify why you allocated this rate in your discussion. Discuss how international risks can be managed.
Projected cash flows in respective currencies:
Year Net Cash Flow – USD USA Net Cash Flow - EUR Europe0 -20 million -20 million 1 2 million 2 million2 4 million 3 million3 5 million 4 million4 6 million 8 million5 8 million 8 million
Instructions:a. Discuss viability of both projects in today’s global business context and allocate discount rate. b. How much investment is needed for each project and what is the NPV of each project? c.…
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