Math 11 Lab #3
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Biology
Date
Dec 6, 2023
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Lab #3 “Mammals”
Regression of basal metabolic rate against body mass
1.
What is the equation of the regression line? Provide a scatterplot with the line included.
Line of Regression: y= 75.97+ 0.2822(x) , where x is the mass
2.
What does the regression line predict for the basal metabolic rate of the Cape
Porcupine? What about the San Diego Pocket Mouse? How do your predictions
compare with the observed values?
-
The regression line predicts that the basal metabolic rate for the Cape porcupine
is: y=75.97+0.2822(11300) -> 3264.83
-
The regression line predicts that the basal metabolic rate for the Cape porcupine
is: y=75.97+0.2822(19.6) -> 81.50112
-
My predictions look like they do not match the actual BMR that was observed,
because with the Cape Porcupine, we predicted 3264.83, but the observed was
2361.7. This isn't correct at all. We overshot. With the San Diego pocket Mouse,
we predicted 81.50112, but the actual was 26.9. Also very wrong, and very high.
It appears that our predictions tend to overshoot significantly.
3.
Judging from the scatterplot and the residual plot, do you think that your linear
regression model is appropriate for predicting basal metabolic rate from body size?
Explain your answer, and show the necessary plots.
-
The residual plot shows no curvature, but rather shows heteroskedasticity. There
are outliers in the scatter plot as well as the residual plot which mess with the
slope and overall regression line equation. But, I would say that regression does
seem appropriate, as the regression line shows us an overall, but still wrong
when looked at closely, linear trend in the information provided. As for the
outliers, we are able to see that they show up in both the scatter plot and the
residual plot, which is good because they're consistent.
Transforming the variables
When working with highly skewed data, or scatterplots that show curvature or an uneven spread
around the regression line, it is often useful to transform the variables. For this data set, try
taking logarithms of both variables. This will require defining two new variables, one for the log
of body mass and one for the log of basal metabolic rate. To define a variable for the log of body
mass, first go to
Calc --> Calculator
. Under "Functions", scroll down to "Natural log" and double
click on it. Then double click on "Mass" in the variables box. You should now see LN('Mass') in
the box for Expression. Type in a name for your new variable in the box labeled "Store result in
variable", and then click "OK". Then do the same for the basal metabolic rate. Now you can
work with the two new variables.
4.
Compare the histograms of the two original variables with the histograms of the two new
transformed variables. Does taking logarithms of the variables reduce or eliminate the
skewness?
-
Yes, taking the logarithms of the variables do reduce/eliminate the skewness. It
simply removes it though, we are still able to see that it's skewed to the left.
5.
Find the equation of the regression line using the transformed variables.
-
The equation of the regression line with the transformed variables is :
Y = 0.1944+3.049x, where x is the mass
6.
Do your results lend support to either of these two values?
-
I believe that my results lend more support to the value that b=¾. When inputting
a random value from the chart and plugging in the mass and bmr where
indicated, the numbers were closer to ¾.
7.
Based on the scatter plot and residual plot, do you think that this regression model is
appropriate? Which of the two models (this one, or the one that you considered in
question 1) do you think is better? Explain your answers.
-
I think it is appropriate and this model is the better of the two. Visually, it looks
significantly better because the data isn't all clumped together in one corner,
which is insanely skewed, and rather it is evenly spread out throughout the
regression line.
8.
What does this model predict for the basal metabolic rates of the Cape Porcupine and
the San Diego Pocket Mouse? How do these predictions compare with the observed
values? Are these predictions more accurate than those obtained from the first model?
-
These predictions are now too low. They are about half of what the observed
values are. Using the formula,BMR =
c
*Mass
b
, I was able to get the expected
bmr value for the porcupine at 7.767, when the predicted was 8.27. Observed for
the mouse was 3.29 and predicted was 4.308. These predictions seem to be
more accurate than the ones obtained from the first model, because these are
way closer than the first. These predictions seem to be off by 1 value, rather than
⅓.
9.
What does your model predict for the basal metabolic rate of a Blue Whale? How much
confidence do you have in this prediction?
-
I got the BMR of 3703.26 when basing it on the equation of BMR =
c
*Mass
b
. I am
fairly confident in this prediction because all the others have proven to be close
enough to the observed values.
Comparing different types of mammals
10. Find an equation for predicting basal metabolic rate from body mass for rodents.
Examine a scatter plot and residual plot to make sure linear regression is appropriate.
Include in your report these plots and a brief discussion of whether or not linear
regression is appropriate.
-
It is not appropriate based on the residual graph. Residual graphs are supposed
to be uneven, random, scattered. This one shows order and a pattern. It is not
appropriate. The equation for these rodents is -659.9+187.2(mass).
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