Cola wars case

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Southern Methodist University *

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6202

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Economics

Date

Feb 20, 2024

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docx

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2

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Q1. The concentrate producer’s industry actually seems to be an oligopoly due to a few number of competitors who have high market share and have domination in the market. Coke, Pepsi, and Dr. Pepper are the top three companies (Case, Exhibit 2) across the different segments that are sold in Retail and Fountain Outlets (Case, Page 4). Now, let’s evaluate the concentrate producer’s industry using Porter’s 5 forces: 1. Power of buyers : While Coke and Pepsi face pressure from large retailers, their brand loyalty and the unique nature of their concentrates give them some leverage. However, bottlers have negotiating power, especially because they have alternative concentrate suppliers (Case, Page 3). 2. Power of Suppliers : The 2 main inputs for concentrate production i.e. citric acid, natural flavors etc. (Case, Page 5) are widely available and do not face any supply constraints. Both Coke and Pepsi have multiple options for sourcing their inputs, thereby implying low supplier power. 3. Substitutes : (Case, Page 2) “Among national concentrate producers, Coke and Pepsi claimed a combined 72% of the U.S. CSD market’s sales volume in 2009, followed by Dr Pepper Snapple Group (DPS) and Cott Corporation”. Despite the substitutes being there, the strong brand image and unique flavors of Coke and Pepsi, along with consumer preferences, mitigate the threat. Hence, low threat of substitutes. 4. Entrants : The concentrate producer industry has high barriers to entry. Coke and Pepsi have established strong brand identities, distribution networks, and economies of scale. New entrants would need substantial capital, expertise, and time to compete effectively. 5. Competition : Coke and Pepsi are direct competitors with similar product offerings. They engage in aggressive marketing, product innovation, and pricing strategies to gain market share. The industry is mature, and growth is primarily achieved by taking market share from competitors. This leads to intense rivalry and thus, high competition. Since this is a concentrated industry, they are profitable because larger firms are more productive and efficient (Book, Page 77). Q2. The main cost components for Bottler’s industry are concentration and syrup, in addition to significant capital for packaging, labor, overhead, transportation, and delivery. Let’s evaluate the bottler’s industry using Porter’s 5 forces: 1. Power of buyers : Bottlers are dependent on Coke and Pepsi for the concentrate supply. While the concentrate producers hold significant power due to their established brands, bottlers also play a crucial role in distribution. Large bottlers may have some negotiating power, but overall, they are reliant on the concentrate producers. 2. Power of suppliers : Bottlers require packaging materials such as bottles, caps, labels, etc. The packaging industry is diverse, and bottlers can usually negotiate favorable deals. However, the concentration of packaging suppliers and potential fluctuations in raw material prices may impact bargaining power. 3. Substitutes : The bottling industry for Coke and Pepsi is specialized, and there are limited substitutes for the production and distribution of carbonated beverages. Bottlers are dedicated to serving specific beverage brands, reducing the threat of substitutes within their core business. 4. Entrants : The bottling industry for Coke and Pepsi involves significant capital investment in production facilities, distribution networks, and relationships with retailers.
Established bottlers have exclusive contracts with the concentrate producers, creating barriers for new entrants. However, regional or local players may enter specific markets. 5. Competition : While there is competition among bottlers for contracts with concentrate producers, the industry is characterized by long-term contracts and exclusive relationships. The concentration of major bottlers and the exclusivity of contracts contribute to a moderate level of competitive rivalry. Q3. Determining which industry is more profitable between the Bottlers' industry and the Concentrate Producer's industry for Pepsi and Coke involves considering various factors. Both the Concentrate Producer's and Bottlers' industries contribute to the overall success of Pepsi and Coke, but their profitability dynamics differ. Concentrate producers benefit from the global recognition of their brands, economies of scale, and innovation. Bottlers, on the other hand, rely on efficient distribution networks, exclusive contracts, and regional market dynamics. Ultimately, the interdependence of these industries and the collaborative efforts of concentrate producers and bottlers contribute to the overall success and profitability of the entire supply chain. But if we look at the numbers surrounding the debate, Exhibit 4 shows us that although the Net sales per case is higher for the bottlers $4.63 compared to 0.98 for the concentrate producers, the COGS is considerably higher for bottlers at 58%. This leads to operating income being 32% for the concentrate producers which is quite high compared to 8% for the bottlers. So, concentrate producers are the clear winners w.r.t profitability. Q4. In terms of absolute numbers, although Pepsi has higher sales compared to Coke (Case, Exhibit 3a), the cola wars in my opinion is still won by Coca-Cola because they have lower costs. This is depicted in the Net Profit/Sales metric which is 22% in 2009 for Coke but only 13.8% for Pepsi in 2009. The innovators of new trends have always been Coke and Pepsi has just followed suit. In the wake of growing demand for non-CSDs due to health and obesity concerns surrounding the CSD segment, the firms should look more into expanding in the non-CSD segment. Investing in new products that are calorie controlled and have a healthy aspect assigned to it should be given preference. (Case, Page 11) As India and China are huge battlegrounds for Coke and Pepsi and they also do not have a health concern aspect there, we can expand the CSD products more in countries such as those which will might help us in increasing the Net Profit/Sales metric even more because the costs associated with these countries are considerably lower.
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