Urban Econ Final
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CUNY Brooklyn College Gianni Boera Addressing heightened crime rates in Bed-Stuy, Brooklyn: A critical analysis on the preservation of Human Life and Economic Stability
Econ 3232-Urban Economics Professor William Thorne
May 2, 2023
1. Introduction Bedford Stuyvesant, Brooklyn, has a 23% poverty rate and a 2.1% incarceration rate, putting them in the 79
th
and 78
th
percentiles, respectively.
1
Relative to the rest of Brooklyn, these numbers are quite high, with the city-wide crime rate being 16% 2
and an incarceration rate of .37%.
3
Statistics show that the serious crime rate is 16.1 per 1000 people, compared to 12.2 serious crimes per 1000 people city wide.
4
Within Bed-Stuy, we see that, relative to the average citywide, there is increased crime, a lower median household income, a higher rent burden, and lower economic productivity.
5
In cities, the rate of crime and increased density are positively correlated, giving us a unique insight into the behavior and motives behind crime.
6
To
decrease crime in Bed-Stuy and increase economic activity, I believe it is necessary for the government to use a mixture of preventative and punitive measures, including business 1
Opportunity Atlas. "Opportunity Atlas." Opportunity Insights, Harvard University, 2018, https://www.opportunityatlas.org.
2
Furman Center for Real Estate and Urban Policy, New York University. "Bedford-Stuyvesant Neighborhood Profile." NYU Furman Center. 2021. Accessed May 2, 2023.
3
"Institute for Criminal Policy Research. States of Incarceration: The Global Context 2021." World Prison Brief. 2021, https://www.prisonstudies.org/sites/default/files/resources/downloads/wppl_2021.pdf. Accessed 3 May 2023.
4
Furman Center for Real Estate and Urban Policy, New York University. "Bedford-Stuyvesant Neighborhood Profile." NYU Furman Center. 2021. Accessed May 2, 2023.
5
Furman Center for Real Estate and Urban Policy, New York University. "Bedford-Stuyvesant Neighborhood Profile." NYU Furman Center. 2021. Accessed April 19, 2023.
6
O'Flaherty, Brendan. City Economics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2005.
empowerment zones (BEZ), increased police presence, and increased maximum sentencing.
7
Figure 1: Map of Bed- Stuy, Brooklyn
2. Re-envisioning penal and preventative crime measures To combat high crime in Bed-Stuy, Brooklyn I propose a two-pronged approach: first, increased police presence and maximum sentencing; and second, re-envisioning the current BEZ. Over the years, Bed-Stuy has implemented many policies to curb crime, including increased police presence, community policing, neighborhood watch programs, and public awareness campaigns. In 2009, the Bed-Stuy BID, or Business Improvement District, was created with the intent of investing a total of $134 million in Bed-Stuy.
8
As I will explain later, I propose to increase this investment. The result of the BEZ on crime in Bed-Stuy has been mixed; however, employment and the rate of job growth have increased.
9
My first policy recommendation would be to re-envision the
business empowerment zone. Currently, NYC has various business 7
O'Flaherty, Brendan. City Economics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2005.
8
"About Us," The Bed-Stuy Gateway Business Improvement District, accessed May 21, 2023, https://thebedstuybid.org/about-us/
.
9
New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, "Community Health Profiles 2018: Bedford-
Stuyvesant," last modified 2018, https://www.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/data/2018chp-bk3.pdf
.
empowerment zones, each with a unique purpose. The purpose of the BEZ I propose is to encourage business growth and economic development in low-
income communities.
10
The current implementation of the BEZ offers job training, community projects, and affordable housing preservation.
11
To incentivize entrepreneurship and development, the law states, “Employers can claim a federal tax credit of up to $3,000 for each full- or part-time employee who is an Empowerment Zone resident. The credit is based on 20% of the first $15,000 in wages earned by the qualifying employee.”
12
Along with this, there are two qualifications an employee must meet to be hired: first, they must perform a substantial amount of their services within the BEZ, and second, while performing those services, the employee’s main home must be within that BEZ.
13
The revised BEZ will maintain the current rule for qualifying employees; however, the tax cuts will change. Once implemented in Bed-Stuy, tax cuts will increase, providing incentives for development and businesses. The tax cuts will vary given the prevailing rate of borrowing for each business. Businesses will pay a proportional tax relative to their cost of borrowing; this means that if a business has a higher borrowing cost, they will incur lower taxes, and vice versa. In this way, businesses will be able to pay a competitive wage while overall investment in the neighborhood increases. With investment and wages increasing, individuals are less likely to commit crimes. This sentiment
is supported within Lectures on Urban Economics by Jan K. Brueckner, where he states, “Disadvantaged individuals, who earn low incomes in legitimate 10
"Empowerment Zone Wage Tax Credit." NYC Business, New York City Department of Small Business Services, https://nyc-business.nyc.gov/nycbusiness/description/empowerment-zone-wage-tax-credit
. Accessed April 19, 2023.
11
New York State Comptroller's Office. "Economic and Fiscal Impact of the New York State Film Tax Credit." New York State Comptroller's Office, May 2018, https://www.osc.state.ny.us/files/reports/osdc/pdf/report-5-2018.pdf.
12
"Empowerment Zone Wage Tax Credit." NYC Business, New York City Department of Small Business Services, https://nyc-business.nyc.gov/nycbusiness/description/empowerment-zone-wage-tax-credit
. Accessed April 19, 2023.
13
"Empowerment Zone Wage Tax Credit." NYC Business, New York City Department of Small Business Services, https://nyc-business.nyc.gov/nycbusiness/description/empowerment-zone-wage-tax-credit. Accessed April 19, 2023.
employment, thus become criminals.”
14
The study “Identifying the Effect of Unemployment on Crime” by Steven Raphael and Rudolf Winter‐Ebmer provides data supporting this theory. In this study, the authors find that a 1%
drop in unemployment led to a decrease in property crime between 1% and 5%.
15
However, the effects of decreased unemployment on violent crime are mixed. The evidence shows that if businesses pay a competitive wage relative to crime, it will decrease overall crime. Increased police presence as money flows into the neighborhood is a secondary effect of increased investment in the BEZ, which will reduce the threat of crime even further.
16
Over the years, there has been an increase in police presence and, with it, a slight
decrease in crime. However, I believe more needs to be done than just increasing police presence; one approach is to increase maximum sentencing.
17
Although incarceration is costly,
18
so too is crime, with an estimated financial loss of $2.6 trillion for the US in 2017.
19
In Brendan O’Flaherty’s “Urban Economics”, he supports this sentiment when he states, “almost all studies conclude that more prisoners mean less crime. Typically, the better studies find that a 10 percent increase in the number of prisoners in state or federal prison causes a decrease of between 1 percent and 4 percent in the number of violent crimes or property crimes”
20
. From this, we can see that, despite doing so, incarceration does decrease crime. However, increasing police presence will not be enough. Along with it, I propose to increase the rate of maximum sentencing, as with lighter sentences, not only
are criminals back on the street sooner, but potential criminals are less likely
to do right when the punishment is relatively minimal. As a result, increased 14
Brueckner, Jan K. Lectures on Urban Economics
. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2011.
15
Raphael, Steven, and Rudolf Winter-Ebmer. "Identifying the Effect of Unemployment on Crime." The Journal of Law & Economics, vol. 44, no. 1, 2001, pp. 259-283. JSTOR, doi: 10.1086/320275.
16
O'Flaherty, Brendan. City Economics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2005.
17
O'Flaherty, Brendan. City Economics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2005.
18
O'Flaherty, Brendan. City Economics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2005.
19
McQueen, Shelby. "New Research Examines the Cost of Crime in the U.S. Estimated to be $2.6 Trillion in a Single Year." Vanderbilt University, 5 Feb. 2021, https://news.vanderbilt.edu/2021/02/05/new-research-examines-the-
cost-of-crime-in-the-u-s-estimated-to-be-2-6-trillion-in-a-single-year/.
20
O'Flaherty, Brendan. City Economics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2005.
sentencing results in fewer people willing to commit crimes and longer prison
sentences for those who do.
21
3. Data The Furman Center at NYU defines serious crime as murder, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary, grand larceny, auto theft, and arson.
22
The data show that the serious crime rate for property per 1,000 residents was 8.7 in 2021, and violent crime was 7.4 per 1,000 people.
23
. We also see that from 2006 to 2021, violent and property crimes were down.
24
This gives us a total crime rate of 16.1 per 1,000 people in 2021, which is down from the previous year’s 17.2 in 2020. However, from 2020 to 2021, property crime is down 1.6 per thousand people, while violent crime is up .5 per 1,000
people.
21
O'Flaherty, Brendan. City Economics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2005.
22
Furman Center for Real Estate and Urban Policy, New York University. "Core Data Dictionary: User Guide." NYU Furman Center. Accessed April 19, 2023.
23
The Furman Center at NYU defines serious crime as murder, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary, grand larceny, auto theft, and arson. The data show that the serious crime
rate for property per 1,000 residents was 8.7 in 2021, and violent crime was 7.4 per. From 2020 to 2021, property crime is down 1.6 per thousand people while violent crime is up .5. However, we also see that from 2006 to 2021, violent and property crimes are down. This gives us a total crime rate of 16.1 in 2021, which is down from the previous year’s 17.2 in 2020. 24
Furman Center for Real Estate and Urban Policy, New York University. "Bedford-Stuyvesant Neighborhood Profile." NYU Furman Center. 2021. Accessed May 2, 2023.
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Question 2
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2000
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500
70,000-90,000
300
90,000-100,000
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