Lab_4_CLT

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Texas A&M University *

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350

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Industrial Engineering

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Dec 6, 2023

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1 ISEN 350 Lab 4: Data Analysis, Central Limit Theorem & Sum of Normal Random Variables Objective: To use Minitab software to analyze process data. To verify and understand the central limit theorem and the sum of normally distributed random variables through experimental simulation. Exercise I (Minitab Data Analysis) An audit was performed on a glass bottle supplier. A subgroup of four glass bottles was removed from the production line and weighted every 30 minutes. A total of twenty-five subgroups were collected. The target weight for bottle production is 250g, and engineering specifications for bottle weight are (240g, 260g). Data for Part I are c ontained in Bottles found on Canvas as an Minitab worksheet . 1) Using Minitab, calculate the sample mean, median, mode, minimum, maximum, first and third quartiles, range, interquartile range, sample standard deviation, skewness, kurtosis, and sample variance for the entire data set. ( Use Stat>Basic Statistics>Display Descriptive Statistics) 2) Construct a histogram and a box plot . 3) Construct a probability plot for the data 4) Construct a run chart for the data Based on your results, what have you learned about bottle weight? Does bottle weight appear to be normally distributed? Why or why not? What conclusions can you draw about the ability of the production line to produce within engineering specifications and on target? Are there any apparent outliers in the data (boxplot will help)? If so, specify them. Does the data appear to have any special cause (non-random) variation affecting the glass molds? Is there any significant evidence of clustering, mixtures, trends, or oscillations in the data (run chart)? Would you conclude that the process operates at a Six Sigma Quality Level (3.4 ppm defective) ? (Hand computation may be made, or you can look at using a capability analysis, which will be covered later in the course.) Exercise II (Sum of Normal Random Variables) Three shafts are made and assembled in a linkage of total length L. The length of each shaft, in centimeters, is distributed as follows: Shaft1: x 1 ~ N (50, 0.040 ) Note that 0.040 is the variance, not the standard deviation. Shaft2: x 2 ~ N (20, 0.095)
2 Shaft3: x 3 ~ N (36, 0.024) (a) What is the theoretical distribution (population) of the linkage length L=X 1 +X 2 +X 3 ? Name the distribution and define its mean and variance. (b) Now determine the distribution of L experimentally using Minitab to simulate the production of the linkage. Generate 3 columns of 200 rows containing random normal data, each representing the length of the three respective shafts composing one linkage (X 1 , X 2 , X 3 ). Use Calc>Random Data>Normal to generate the appropriate values in each column. Use Calc>Row Statistics and select the sum function to find the value of L placing your linkage result in column C4. (c) Plot a histogram for L using Graph>histogram , and plot a probability plot for L. Use Stat>Basic Statistics>Display Descriptive Statistics to describe the central tendency and variation in L. Do your applied results indicate a good fit to the normal distribution? Does your data agree with your theoretical results from Part (a)? What are the values for the sample mean and standard deviation of L? Based on your experimental data, give a 95% confidence interval for the mean of L (t-distribution)? Exercise III. (Central Limit Theorem) 1) A Key Process Output Variable (KPOV) is well described by a Gamma distribution with a shape parameter of 3.0, a scale parameter of 1.0, and a threshold of 0.0. Use Minitab to create a worksheet containing 75 random subgroups of size 7 (75 rows and 7 columns) from this distribution. Use Calc>Random Data>Gamma to generate the required data. Now complete the following steps: a) Creating Sample Means: -Compute the average value for each of the subgroups (rows) using Calc>Row Statistics and selecting the mean function. Store the sample means, 𝑋, ̅ in a column of your choosing. -Generate a histogram of the sample averages, 𝑋 ̅ . Note the shape of the distribution. b) Determining the Distribution of the Sample Mean - Use the Individual Distribution Identification function in Stat>Quality Tools to fit the sample mean data to a distribution. Specify fitting the normal, gamma, Weibull, and exponential distributions. (Do not report transformations.) -A straight-line probability plot shows the better fitting distributions. (Note the p-values). Which distribution best fits the data? -Do your results support the conclusion that the sample mean is normally distributed for a sample of size 5? Explain your conclusion. 1 2 3 X 1 X 2 X 3 L
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