The Monetarist Controversy revisited
Franco Modigliani said that “I am delighted with the success of Michael Hamburger and impressed by his love, respect and admiration for his work. He said that I wish I could claim a little bit credit for this success because he was my student. But as he arrived I left soon, he was my student for a short time.
Monetarism:
Monetarism is an economic school of thought that emphasis on the money supply in determines the GDP and the price level. Monetarism is a theoretical challenge to Keynesian economics that get popularity in the late 1960s and 1970s.
The monetarist including Milton Friedman surely agreed that the demand for money depends on interest rate, they also sure that Fiscal policy at least government
…show more content…
The reason is FOMC shifted to an attention on aggregates. Firstly it is difficult to select an applicable interest rate in the presence of inflation. With inflation it is difficult to determining the correct interest rate by estimate price exception and effects of taxation. Second, the Fed was very aware of need for anti-inflationary policy at high interest rates. The Fed had no myth that sudden rational exception would decline the money and nominal GNP growth without negative consequences for unemployment and …show more content…
If the velocity has a little change by the money supply then nominal GNP would be lower than the actual as in 1986 same time the price level was less than the current, the employment and real output have been smaller than the previously fourth. Hamburger’s demand for money equation shows that the money demand slowly adjusts to its final determinant. The slow adjustment in recession of money supply declines the velocity. On the other hand an increase in interest with the reduction of M1 would be expected to increase the velocity. The IS-LM model establishes the elasticity the saving with respect to income and investment with respect to interest. The system needs the monetary policies for economic stabilization. Optimal monetary policy set the money supply’s growth at a fixed
Since the Central Bank has the exclusive right to issue money in the economy, it can have extensive influence on the determination of interest rate in financial markets and in the economy as a whole, by adjusting the interest rate on short-term loans to financial institutions. Central Bank interest rates on these loans therefore have the most immediate impact on other short-term interest rates in the money market. By influencing interest rates, monetary policy then has an effect on the savings and expenditure decisions of individuals and corporate.
Given its mandate to maximize employment and maintain price stability, the Fed took monetary policy actions in December 2008 to keep long-term interest rates at near zero (between 0.0% and 0.25%) to help stabilize and revive the U.S economy -- leaving no option for further interest rate reduction.
From the moment they become old enough to be aware that money is limited, young people today are taught to avoid getting into debt. Horror stories of payment defaults, exorbitant interest rates, and ruined credit are passed from generation to generation, and along with it, sentiments of disgust and panic toward the large and seemingly never-decreasing number that is the national debt of the United States of America. Yet, it cannot be said that all debt is bad; student loans taken as an investment in the future, or a mortgage on a house -- there are plenty of examples of how deficit spending can be a valuable practice, and the first Secretary of the Treasury was a strong proponent of that view when it came to government spending.
If the federal government ceased to exist tomorrow then at first it would be chaos. Nobody would know if the American debt would be honored and if so then by whom (who would want to take on 17 trillion dollars in debt?). Also federally funded social services (Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, etc.) would stop because without any federal taxes there would be no way for people to pay for them. Also the three million people employed by the federal government would be put out of work, along with the roughly two million people in the armed services, unemployment on that scale would severely affect the American economy. In the mid-game scenario banks and other corporations would step in to take power because they are already in position to
The inflation rate is still below the 2% target for the Reserve. Increasing the rates right now poses a risk since there could be deflation. The Federal Reserve should have waited until they achieved their target before making the changes. Even with low unemployment rates, the labor force participation rate is at its lowest and wage earnings are still below the recommended comfortable rate. Also, instead of increasing the rates, the Federal Reserve should have focused on other economic aspects such as increasing the down payment for purchasing assets. Financial bubbles would have been avoided through this current rate instead of raising the interest
The last five years have shown that traditional monetary policies predicated on interest rate management by the Federal Reserve no longer deliver the economic growth they were once believed to. Keynesian economics has proved to not be as effective as once thought, which has led to the Federal Reserve choose alternative means to stimulate the economy and indirectly manage exchange rates (Hakkio, 1986). The uncertainty over interest rate polices has fortunately not led to increases in inflation, which has typically been the case in the past (Kopcke, 1988). The current economic conditions and the approaches the Federal Research are taking however are cause for concern, and from a personal standpoint many decisions are being evaluated more precisely.
Monetary development is something that everybody around the globe battles with ordinary. A great many people are unmindful in respect to what 's genuinely happens in the economy as to expansion, unemployment, and loan costs; these things are all directed by a national bank called the Federal Reserve System. The arrangement that I will talk about in this paper chooses if unemployment, hobby, and swelling declines or increment is fiscal strategy. Money related arrangement chooses what value a man pays for a thing at the store, the amount of premium a man will get charged on an advance for an auto. These are all things that no one genuinely asks themselves, a great many people simply search around and pick the best value or the best financing
In this paper, we will be using the log-log model. The log-log model used for the demand for wealth (attuned for inflation). We will be using the M1, as a display, for demand on wealth and interest rate as the illuminating variable affecting the demand for wealth. Using the regression, we will study the hypothesis. For this paper, the hypothesis used will talk about the connection between money and the interest rate. The null hypothesis, in this case, will be the interest affecting the demand for money in the economy. The data that we will be reviewing is from October 2008 to October 2011, 3 years worth of data. This connection will give us the basic understanding of the performance of the monetary policy in US economy after the crisis.
On September 30, 2015, the end of the previous fiscal year, the national debt of the United States was $18.15 trillion, while GPD was only $17.95 trillion, according to the U.S Department of the Treasury and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). With a national debt larger than GDP, and a deficit greater than GDP growth, the topic has reemerged in political discussion. Two main schools of thought seem to exist on the topic: one side argues that the large size and rate of growth poses an immediate effect to the economic well-being of the country, while the other side stand by the idea that while the deficit needs to be managed, the amount of debt remains a reasonable sum. One supporter of the first viewpoint, Dr. J.D. Foster, deputy chief economics
Given that the monetary policy´s core, the public debt and its interest rent, may follow an explosive trend, the “persistence in maintaining the mainstream monetarist economic policy may point to more social injustice”. Replacing the monetarist mainstream economics looks indispensable to Bend the Arc of Global Capital Toward
According to the last Federal Reserve press release, the decision to raise the federal funds rate (3/4 to 1 percent) is due to the view of realized and expected labor conditions and inflation. The Federal Open Market Committee’s goal is to foster maximum employment and price stability. Their expectations are that economic activity will expand at a moderate pace, labor market conditions will strengthen a little further, and that inflation will stabilize around 2 percent over the medium term. Near-term risks to the economic outlook seem roughly balanced as well. The FOMC will continue to monitor global economic and financial developments and well as inflation
Monetary policy is the national macroeconomic regulation and control of two basic policies. It’s mainly work by implementing expansionary policies to adjust the relationship between social total supply and total demand. They have emphasized particularly on, and closely linked. And it must handle the relationship accurately and correctly. According to the actual situation and using the monetary policy, coordinate and flexible, to give full play to its due role. The government should ensure sustained, rapid and healthy development of national economy. The country to adjust the social capital supply and demand should as far as possible to avoid administrative interference, and should use economic means to guide, when the monetary policy effect is not obvious, fiscal policy should play a leading role.
Monetary policy, ‘The government’s policy relating to the money supply, bank interest rates, and borrowing’ (Collin: 130), is another tool available to the government to control inflation. Figure 4 shows, that by increasing the interest rate (r), from r1 to r2, the supply of money (ms) is reduced from Q1
In Friedman’s monetarist construct of money has two side that is highly active. One of the side is money is being the cause of all failures and asymmetries in the economy (in the short term). The other side is neutral which money is influencing only the price level (in the long term). The nominal quantity of money is determined by its supply. On the other hand, the real volume of the money stock is expressed in the amount of goods and services that can be acquired for a given nominal amount of money and is conditioned by the demand for money, which is directly related to the price level.
They would argue that direct interest rate changes could be used to control aggregate demand. Whereas, Monetarism does not believe that government should intervene by managing the level of aggregate demand, they rather prefer the use of monetary policy to achieve a long-run view of price stability.