125 100 75 50 + 10 20 30 40 Years Since 1970 Error

Algebra: Structure And Method, Book 1
(REV)00th Edition
ISBN:9780395977224
Author:Richard G. Brown, Mary P. Dolciani, Robert H. Sorgenfrey, William L. Cole
Publisher:Richard G. Brown, Mary P. Dolciani, Robert H. Sorgenfrey, William L. Cole
Chapter2: Working With Real Numbers
Section2.5: The Distributive Property
Problem 16WE
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Tracking hurricanes 2010 In Chapter 6, we looked at
data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Admin-
istration about their success in predicting hurricane
tracks. Below is a scatterplot of the error (in nautical
miles) for predicting hurricane locations 24 hours in the
future vs. the year in which the prediction (and the hur-
ricane) occurred.In Chapter 6, we could describe this relationship only
in general terms. Now we can learn more. Here is the
regression analysis:
Dependent variable is 24Error
R-squared = 68.7%
s = 16.44 with 41 - 2 = 39 degrees of freedom
Variable Coefficient SE(Coeff) t-Ratio P-Value
Intercept 132.3 5.043 26.2 ...0.0001
Years Since 1970 -2.01 0.217 -9.25 ...0.0001
a) Explain in words and numbers what the regression says.
b) State the hypothesis about the slope (both numerically
and in words) that describes how hurricane prediction
quality has changed.
c) Assuming that the assumptions for inference are satisfied,
perform the hypothesis test and state your conclusion.
Be sure to state it in terms of prediction errors and years.
d) Explain what the R-squared means in terms of this
regression.
125
100
75
50 +
10
20
30
40
Years Since 1970
Error
Transcribed Image Text:125 100 75 50 + 10 20 30 40 Years Since 1970 Error
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