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- I am in possession of two coins. One is fair so that it lands heads (H) and tails (T)with equal probability while the other coin is weighted so that it always lands H. Bothcoins are magical: if either is flipped and lands H then a $1 bill appears in your wallet,but when it lands T nothing happens. You may only flip a coin once per period. Theinterest rate is i per period. You are risk-neutral and thus only concern yourself withexpected values (and not variance). For simplicity, in the questions below assumeyou will live forever.1. How much are you willing to pay for such a coin that you know is fair? 2. How much are you willing to pay for such a coin that you know is weighted? 3. I currently own the coins and know which is fair and which is weighted, but youcannot tell which is which. You may make an offer to purchase a coin of yourchoosing, which I am free to accept or reject. What is the most you are willingto offer? Explain how you arrived at this answer.Mr Phiri has K10,000 in his account. He is considering investing in a project which has 70 % probability of earning a profit of K10,000 and a 30% probability of incurring a loss of K10,000. His utility at the moment is 20 utiles with the current K10,000. With K20, 000 his utility would be 25 utiles and with K0 his utility would be zero. a) What is the expected profit of the project? b) What is the expected marginal utility of the project? Is Mr Phiri likely to invest in the project? Mr Sinkala also has K10,000 from which he derives 20 utiles. However, Mr Phiri derives 15 utiles from the profit of K10,000. c) What is the expected marginal utility for Mr Sinkala? d) How can you describe Mr Phiri and Mr Sinkala in terms of their attitude towards risk?Mr Phiri has K10,000 in his account. He is considering investing in a project which has 70 % probability of earning a profit of K10,000 and a 30% probability of incurring a loss of K10,000. His utility at the moment is 20 utiles with the current K10,000. With K20, 000 his utility would be 25 utiles and with K0 his utility would be zero.a) What is the expected profit of the project? b) What is the expected marginal utility of the project? Is Mr Phiri likely to invest in the project? Mr Sinkala also has K10,000 from which he derives 20 utiles. However, Mr Phiri derives 15 utiles from the profit of K10,000.c) What is the expected marginal utility for Mr Sinkala? d) How can you describe Mr Phiri and Mr Sinkala in terms of their attitude towards risk?
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- 53. The annual demand for Prizdol, a prescription drugmanufactured and marketed by the NuFeel Company,is normally distributed with mean 50,000 and standarddeviation 12,000. Assume that demand during each ofthe next 10 years is an independent random numberfrom this distribution. NuFeel needs to determine howlarge a Prizdol plant to build to maximize its expectedprofit over the next 10 years. If the company builds aplant that can produce x units of Prizdol per year, it willcost $16 for each of these x units. NuFeel will produceonly the amount demanded each year, and each unit ofPrizdol produced will sell for $3.70. Each unit of Prizdol produced incurs a variable production cost of $0.20.It costs $0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity.a. Among the capacity levels of 30,000, 35,000,40,000, 45,000, 50,000, 55,000, and 60,000 unitsper year, which level maximizes expected profit?Use simulation to answer this question.b. Using the capacity from your answer to part a,NuFeel can be 95%…The Kwik Klean car wash loses $250 on rainy days and gains $1200 on non rainy days. If the probability of rain is 0.13, what is the expected net profit?The probabilities that the life of a machine will vary from 6 to 12 years are given in the table below. The expected life of the machine is ____________. Life , Years 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Probability 0.10 0.15 0.25 0.15 0.20 0.10 0.05