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- Table 6 shows the population, in thousands, of harbor seals in the Wadden Sea over the years 1997 to 2012. a. Let x represent time in years starting with x=0 for the year 1997. Let y represent the number of seals in thousands. Use logistic regression to fit a model to these data. b. Use the model to predict the seal population for the year 2020. c. To the nearest whole number, what is the limiting value of this model?Olympic Pole Vault The graph in Figure 7 indicates that in recent years the winning Olympic men’s pole vault height has fallen below the value predicted by the regression line in Example 2. This might have occurred because when the pole vault was a new event there was much room for improvement in vaulters’ performances, whereas now even the best training can produce only incremental advances. Let’s see whether concentrating on more recent results gives a better predictor of future records. (a) Use the data in Table 2 (page 176) to complete the table of winning pole vault heights shown in the margin. (Note that we are using x=0 to correspond to the year 1972, where this restricted data set begins.) (b) Find the regression line for the data in part ‚(a). (c) Plot the data and the regression line on the same axes. Does the regression line seem to provide a good model for the data? (d) What does the regression line predict as the winning pole vault height for the 2012 Olympics? Compare this predicted value to the actual 2012 winning height of 5.97 m, as described on page 177. Has this new regression line provided a better prediction than the line in Example 2?Sales of a video game released in the year 2000 took off at first, but then steadily slowed as time moved on. Table 4 shows the number of games sold, in thousands, from the years 20002010. a. Let x represent time in years starting with x=1 for the year 2000. Let y represent the number of games sold in thousands. Use logarithmic regression to fit a model to these data. b. If games continue to sell at this rate, how many games will sell in 2015? Round to the nearest thousand.
- Table 2 shows a recent graduate’s credit card balance each month after graduation. a. Use exponential regression to fit a model to these data. b. If spending continues at this rate, what will the graduate’s credit card debt be one year after graduating?Cable TV The following table shows the number C. in millions, of basic subscribers to cable TV in the indicated year These data are from the Statistical Abstract of the United States. Year 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 C 9.8 17.5 35.4 50.5 60.6 60.6 a. Use regression to find a logistic model for these data. b. By what annual percentage would you expect the number of cable subscribers to grow in the absence of limiting factors? c. The estimated number of subscribers in 2005 was 65.3million. What light does this shed on the model you found in part a?World Population The following table shows world population N, in billions, in the given year. Year 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 N 2.56 3.04 3.71 4.45 5.29 6.09 6.85 a. Use regression to find a logistic model for world population. b. What r value do these data yield for humans on planet Earth? c. According to the logistic model using these data, what is the carrying capacity of planet Earth for humans? d. According to this model, when will world population reach 90 of carrying capacity? Round to the nearest year. Note: This represents a rather naive analysis of world population.
- The following fictitious table shows kryptonite price, in dollar per gram, t years after 2006. t= Years since 2006 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 K= Price 56 51 50 55 58 52 45 43 44 48 51 Make a quartic model of these data. Round the regression parameters to two decimal places.Nitrogen dioxide, NO2, is an air pollutant resulting from burning fossil fuels in cars and power plants. The following table shows the decrease in the national average of the concentration in parts per billion (ppb) of NO2 for selected years. Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 NO2 (ppb) 40.8107 39.7886 38.7972 37.8209 36.8752 Use exponential regression to find an exponential decay function for the concentration, C, of NO2 t years after 2014. Round constants to the nearest ten-thousandth. C = Use the model to predict the concentration of NO2 (in ppb) in 2050. Round to the nearest whole number. ? ppbWhich of the following time-series forecasting methods would not be used to forecast a time series that exhibits a linear trend with no seasonal or cyclical patterns? a. Dummy variable regression b. Linear trend regression c. Multiplicative Winter's method d. Holt Winter's double exponential smoothing e. Both A and D