A global economist hired by Telecomp, the U.S.-basedcomputer manufacturer in Problem S1-1, estimates that the probability that the economic and political climate over-seas and in Mexico will decline during the next five years is 0.30, the probability that it will remain approximatelythe same is 0.40, and the probability that it will improve is 0.30. Determine the best country to construct the new facil-ity in and the expected value of perfect information.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section9.2: Elements Of Decision Analysis
Problem 2P
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A global economist hired by Telecomp, the U.S.-based
computer manufacturer in Problem S1-1, estimates that the

probability that the economic and political climate over-
seas and in Mexico will decline during the next five years

is 0.30, the probability that it will remain approximately
the same is 0.40, and the probability that it will improve is

0.30. Determine the best country to construct the new facil-
ity in and the expected value of perfect information.

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