A restaurant wants to forecast its weekly sales. Historical data (in dollars) for 15 weeks are shown in this Excel file (also shown in Problem 6 on page 243 in the textbook). Answer the following questions related to this information: Provide insight about the time series. What are the trends and stability of the data? What is the forecast for Week 16, using a two-period moving average? (use cell B6 for number of periods) What is the forecast for Week 16, using a three-period moving average? (use cell B6 for number of periods) What is the MSE for the two- and three-period moving average models? Compare the results. Find the best number of periods for the moving average model based on MSE.
A restaurant wants to forecast its weekly sales. Historical data (in dollars) for 15 weeks are shown in this Excel file (also shown in Problem 6 on page 243 in the textbook). Answer the following questions related to this information: Provide insight about the time series. What are the trends and stability of the data? What is the forecast for Week 16, using a two-period moving average? (use cell B6 for number of periods) What is the forecast for Week 16, using a three-period moving average? (use cell B6 for number of periods) What is the MSE for the two- and three-period moving average models? Compare the results. Find the best number of periods for the moving average model based on MSE.
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.6: Moving Averages Models
Problem 22P: The file P13_22.xlsx contains total monthly U.S. retail sales data. While holding out the final six...
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- A restaurant wants to
forecast its weekly sales. Historical data (in dollars) for 15 weeks are shown in this Excel file (also shown in Problem 6 on page 243 in the textbook). - Answer the following questions related to this information:
-
- Provide insight about the time series. What are the trends and stability of the data?
- What is the forecast for Week 16, using a two-period moving average? (use cell B6 for number of periods)
- What is the forecast for Week 16, using a three-period moving average? (use cell B6 for number of periods)
- What is the MSE for the two- and three-period moving average models? Compare the results.
- Find the best number of periods for the moving average model based on MSE.
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