ose loves to eat out in area restaurants. His favorite foods are Mexican, Italian, Chinese, and Thai. On the average. Joe pays 400 for a Mexican meal, P600 for an Italian meal, P360 for a Chinese meal, and $440 for a Thai meal. Jose's eating habits are predictable: there is a 70% chance that today's meal is a repeat of yesterday's, and equal probabilities of switching to one of the remaining three. How much does Joe pay on the average for his daily dinner? A) P400 B) P550 P500
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- The Tinkan Company produces one-pound cans for the Canadian salmon industry. Each year the salmon spawn during a 24-hour period and must be canned immediately. Tinkan has the following agreement with the salmon industry. The company can deliver as many cans as it chooses. Then the salmon are caught. For each can by which Tinkan falls short of the salmon industrys needs, the company pays the industry a 2 penalty. Cans cost Tinkan 1 to produce and are sold by Tinkan for 2 per can. If any cans are left over, they are returned to Tinkan and the company reimburses the industry 2 for each extra can. These extra cans are put in storage for next year. Each year a can is held in storage, a carrying cost equal to 20% of the cans production cost is incurred. It is well known that the number of salmon harvested during a year is strongly related to the number of salmon harvested the previous year. In fact, using past data, Tinkan estimates that the harvest size in year t, Ht (measured in the number of cans required), is related to the harvest size in the previous year, Ht1, by the equation Ht = Ht1et where et is normally distributed with mean 1.02 and standard deviation 0.10. Tinkan plans to use the following production strategy. For some value of x, it produces enough cans at the beginning of year t to bring its inventory up to x+Ht, where Ht is the predicted harvest size in year t. Then it delivers these cans to the salmon industry. For example, if it uses x = 100,000, the predicted harvest size is 500,000 cans, and 80,000 cans are already in inventory, then Tinkan produces and delivers 520,000 cans. Given that the harvest size for the previous year was 550,000 cans, use simulation to help Tinkan develop a production strategy that maximizes its expected profit over the next 20 years. Assume that the company begins year 1 with an initial inventory of 300,000 cans.Assume the demand for a companys drug Wozac during the current year is 50,000, and assume demand will grow at 5% a year. If the company builds a plant that can produce x units of Wozac per year, it will cost 16x. Each unit of Wozac is sold for 3. Each unit of Wozac produced incurs a variable production cost of 0.20. It costs 0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity. Determine how large a Wozac plant the company should build to maximize its expected profit over the next 10 years.How is EMV calculated for these steps. What is the probability and impact in these questions. 1) Should you play at all? (5%) If you play, what is your expected (net) monetary value? (15%)2) If you play and don't win at all on the first try (but don't lose money), should you try again? (5%) Why? (10%)3) Clearly show the decision tree (40%) and expected net monetary value at each node (25%) If you send in your entry before midnight tonight, then here are your chances: 0.1% that you win $1,000,000 75% that you win nothing Otherwise, you must PAY $1,000 But wait, there's more! If you don't win the million AND you don't have to pay on your first attempt, then you can choose to play one more time. If you choose to play again, then here are your chances: 2% that you win $100,000 20% that you win $500 Otherwise, you must PAY $2,000
- Sameena works as a free-lance worker at a software house in Rawalpindi. Suppose she keeps awake for 110 hours a week. Also suppose that part of this time she can spend on earning money doing this job and using it for her consumption, and the rest of the time she can spend on her leisure not earning money. At first she earns Rs.550 for every hour she works. Draw a figure showing Saima’s budget constraint, her indifference curve for consumption and leisure and her optimum. If per hour wage paid to her increases to Rs.660 for doing exactly the same work, draw figures to explain why she would increase her working hours or decrease her working hours. Dr. Abida is planning for her requirement. Suppose she can consume her salary of Rs. 200,000 while she is in service or save her salary to consume it after retirement. When she saves her salary, she will get 8% interest on it. Draw Dr. Abida’s budget constraint, her indifference curve and her optimum. If interest rate goes up to 15%, draw…As part of their application for a loan to buy Lakeside Farm, a property they hope to develop as a bed-and-breakfast operation, the prospective owners have projected: Monthly fixed cost (loan payment, taxes, insurance, maintenance) $6000 Variable cost per occupied room per night $ 20 Revenue per occupied room per night $ 75 Write the expression for total cost per month. Assume 30 days per month. Write the expression for total revenue per month. How many rooms they need to sell per night in order to break even? Suppose 5 rooms can be sold per night, how much they should charge per night in order to breakeven?Search for Patterns: Problem No. 1: The first week of chess club had 3 students. The second week had five students. The third week had eight students and the fourth had twelve. If this pattern continues, how many students will show up for the eight week? Problem No. 2: From the given table find the value of n if m = 50. M 1 2 3 4 5 50 N 1 3 5 7 Problem No. 3: What is the unit’s digit in the power of 7 with an exponent of 1999?
- alternatives big average small large stock $22000 $ 12000 $-2000 average stock $14000 $10000 $6000 small stock $9000 $8000 $4000 the probabilities associated with states of nature are 0.3 for a big demand, 0.5 for an average demand, and 0.2 for a small demand. how do you compute expected monetary value (EMV) and expected value of perfect value (EVPI) ? a) determine the alternative that provides andrew the greatest expected monetary value (EMV). b} compute the expected value of perfect information (EVPI). compute EMV AND EVPI?A concession stand manager at a baseball game must decide whether to have the souvenir vendors sell sun visors or umbrellas. There is a 30% chance of rain, a 15% chance of clouds, and a 55% chance of sunshine, according to weather predictions for the game. Because supplies can only be ordered 3 days before each game, the stand manager is unable to waituntil the day before the game to acquire the materials to be sold. The manager estimates the following profits will result from each decision, given the weather conditions. Given the following table, select the best decision using the following decision criteria.• Maximin• Maximax• Maximum likelihood criterion• Bayes’ decision rule Decision Rain Cloudy Sunny Sun Visors $-500 $-200 $1,500 Umbrellas $2,000 $0 $-900 Prior Probabilities 0.30 0.15 0.55*Hello I have the below problem and i already have solved questions a & b i need help solving c & d ONLY*** 2.30 A foundry receives an order for four custom-designed castings. The customer will pay$30,000 for each of four good castings. The customer will accept neither fewer normore than four castings. It will cost $15,000 to produce each casting. Each casting isproduced independently; the probability of a casting being good is estimated to be 0.90.a. How many castings should be produced?b. What is the probability of losing money on the transaction?c. It has been argued that the estimate of cost to produce each casting is not very accurate.Analyze the sensitivity of the optimum batch production quantity to errors in estimatingthe values of the cost parameters; determine how much the cost of producing eachcasting has to decrease in order to increase by one the number of castings to produce.d. It has been argued that the estimate of the probability of a casting being good is…
- There are 3 different fire alarm systems in the store. System A detects fire with a probabilityof 0.6 and costs $40, the B detects fire with a probability of 0.91 and costs $100, the Cdetects fire with a probability of 0.8 and costs $60. Which option is better: to set one systemB or two systems A and C?Global Logistics needs to rent space for storing product for the next three years. The following information regarding the demand and spot price is available. Current demand for the product is 150,000. Historically, Global Logistics has required 1500 square feet to store 1500 units of the product. Demand for the product can go up by 20% with a probability of 0.7 or down by 20% with a probability of 0.3. Global Logistics can sign a three-year fixed lease to rent 150,000 square feet of space at $1.00 per square foot per year. The firm may also choose to obtain warehousing space on the spot market. The current spot market price is $1.20 per square foot per year. The spot price can go up by 10% with a probability of 0.8 and can decrease by 10% with a probability of 0.2. The firm receives a revenue of $1.22 for each unit of demand. a) Create a decision tree showing period 0, 1 and 2 for the scenario described above. b) Calculate the NPV for the option when the firm decides to sign a…The Sloan Corporation is trying to choose between the following two mutually exclusive design projects. If the required return is 10 percent, what is the profitability index for each project? What is the NPV for each project? Complete the following analysis. Do not hard code values in your calculations. You must use the built-in excel function to answer this question. Annual Cash Flows I II 0 $ (51,000.00) $ (14,000.00) 1 $ 24,800.00 $ 7,800.00 2 $ 24,800.00 $ 7,800.00 3 $ 24,800.00 $ 7,800.00 Required Return 10% Profitability index (I)_________________ Profitability index(II)_________________ NPV (I) ______________ NPV (II) ______________