Economics: Principles & Policy
14th Edition
ISBN: 9781337696326
Author: William J. Baumol; Alan S. Blinder; John L. Solow
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Question
Chapter 35, Problem 7DQ
To determine
The effect of change in exchange rate on the value of money.
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Suppose that you hold a piece of land in the city of London that you may want to sell in one year. As a U.S. resident, you are concerned with the dollar value of the land. Assume that if the British economy booms in the future, the land will be worth £2,000, and one British pound will be worth $1.50. If the British economy slows down, on the other hand, the land will be worth less, say, £1,500, but the pound will be stronger, say, $1.60 per pound. You feel that the British economy will experience a boom with a 60 percent probability and a slowdown with a 40 percent probability.
Required:
Estimate your exposure (b) to the exchange risk.
Note: Negative amount should be indicated by a minus sign.
Compute the variance of the dollar value of your property that is attributable to exchange rate uncertainty.
If interest rates in the UK where higher than in the US and Europe what would you expect to happen to the Pound relative to the Dollar or Euro? Why?
Suppose that you hold a piece of land in the City of London that you may want to sell in one year. As a U.S. resident, you are concerned with the dollar value of the land. Assume that, if the British economy booms in the future, the land will be worth £20 and one British pound will be worth $1.29. If the British economy slows down, on the other hand, the land will be worth less, i.e., £24 million, but the pound will be stronger, i.e., $1.4/£. You feel that the British economy will experience a boom with a 70% probability and a slow-down with the remaining probability. Estimate the exposure b to the exchange risk. (USD, no cents)
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- Do you think that a country experiencing hyperinflation is more or less likely to have an exchange rate equal to its purchasing power parity value when compared to a country with a low inflation rate?arrow_forwardSuppose the Bank of Canada contracts the money supply in an effort to reduce aggregate demand by a particular amount, say $10 billion. If Canada was a closed economy, would the amount by which the Bank of Canada would need to reduce the supply of money to accomplish this goal be greater or smaller than the amount it would need to reduce the supply of money if Canada was a small open economy with a flexible exchange rate?arrow_forwardSuppose that you hold a piece of land in the City of London that you may want to sell in one year. As a U.S. resident, you are concerned with the dollar value of the land. Assume that, if the British economy booms in the future, the land will be worth £20 and one British pound will be worth $1.27. If the British economy slows down, on the other hand, the land will be worth less, i.e., £23 million, but the pound will be stronger, i.e., $1.40/£. You feel that the British economy will experience a boom with a 70% probability and a slow-down with the remaining probability.Estimate the expected value of the spot rate (USD X.XXXX)arrow_forward
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