Economics for Healthcare Managers, Third Edition
3rd Edition
ISBN: 9781567936766
Author: Robert H. Lee
Publisher: Health Administration Press
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Question
Chapter 4, Problem 8E
To determine
Check whether the person is risk averse or not.
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Betting on Events
Suppose there is a 75% chance of rain tomorrow. You are offered a "contract" that will pay
you $1 if it rains tomorrow and $0 if it doesn't.
Suppose there is a 75% chance of rain tomorrow. You are offered a "contract" that will pay
you $1 if it rains tomorrow and $0 if it doesn't.
Question 4
What is the expected (average) value of the contract's payout in dollars?
What does it mean to be Risk Averse?
John owns and runs a food truck, which he expects to increase his wealth to $40,000 this year. John knows that every year, there
is a 20% chance that his truck will be firebombed by one of his ruthless food truck competitors. If this happens, he will face a bill
of $10,000 in repairs and lost income. John can choose to get insurance to cover all repair costs and lost wealth. Use this
information and the information in the table and graph to answer the questions.
Total utility
Wealth
Total utility (utils)
730
1000
$32,000
900
$34,000
755
800
700
$36,000
785
600
792
500
$38,000
400
300
200
100
0
$5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000
Wealth
What is John's expected wealth?
expected wealth: $
What is the price for John's insurance?
price of insurance: $
What is John's expected utility without insurance?
expected utility: 730
If John chooses to pay the insurance policy price, what would
be his total utility?
total utility:
1030
42000
10000
utils
utils
Chapter 4 Solutions
Economics for Healthcare Managers, Third Edition
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Similar questions
- You start an insurance company as your first entrepreneurial venture after graduation. Your main product line is malpractice insurance for dentists. After exhaustive research, you learn that settling malpractice claims against careful dentists costs $2,000 and settling malpractice claims against reckless dentists costs $7,500. Individual dentists know whether they are reckless or careful, and your research shows that approximately 20% of dentists are reckless. How much do should you charge for malpractice insurance to break even?arrow_forwardWhat type of risk behavior does the person exhibit who is willing to bet $60 on a game where 20% of the time the bet returns $100, and 80% of the time returns $50? Is this a fair bet? Explain.arrow_forwardYou are trying to decide between rescuing a puppy or an older dog. You decide to try to assign some numbers to your preferences so you can compare options. You estimate that your utility for a dog that will chew your furniture is 0.1 and your utility for a dog that can go on hikes with you is 0.8. You expect that a puppy will have an 70% chance of chewing your belongings and a 90% chance of going on hikes. What is your expected utility for getting the puppy?arrow_forward
- A risk-averse manager is considering a project that will cost £100. There is a 10 percent chance the project will generate revenues of £100, an 80 percent chance it will yield revenues of £50, and a 10 percent chance it will yield revenues of £500. Should the manager adopt the project? Explain. What will a risk-neutral and risk-loving manager do in the same situation?arrow_forwardIn the final round of a TV game show, contestants have a chance to increase their current winnings of $1 million dollars to $2 million dollars. If they are wrong, their prize is decreased to $500,000. The contestant thinks his guess will be right 50% of the time. Should he play? What is the lowest probability of a correct guess that would make playing profitable?arrow_forwardIf it is impossible to acquire sufficient information to make an informed decision, what can be the least risky option to take? Using gut feelings Not doing anything Do something because something is always better than nothing. Let someone else make the decision.arrow_forward
- You see an advertisement for a used car. The owner has not set a price but asks for people to make him an offer. You inspect the car and believe that the true value is equally likely to be anywhere in the range of $1,000 to $9,000 (so your calculation of the average of this value is $5,000). The current owner knows the exact true value, and he will for sure accept your offer if it is higher than the true value (but not if it is lower than that value). If your offer is accepted and you get the car, then you will find out the true value. But you know in advance that your amazing car repair skills can increase the value of the car by 25% of whatever its true value is. What is your expected profit if you offer $5,000? Round your answer to the nearest dollar (e.g. 500). If you expect to make a loss, add a minus sign (e.g. -500, please do not include space between minus sign and the number if the answer is negative). Note:- Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality…arrow_forwardQuestion 13 Rhodri has a lottery ticket which will pay £80 with probability 0.5 and zero otherwise. He is willing to exchange the lottery ticket for a certain £25. What is the risk premium of the lottery ticket for Rhodri? Round your answer to 2 decimal places. Add your answerarrow_forwardChoose correct option. Correctly nowarrow_forward
- You play a game in which 40% of the time you win $3 and 40% of the time you lose $5 and 20% of the time you win $1. Please show you workarrow_forwardRisk they say it’s in every decision we make as humans. Kindly discuss a positive or negative RISK you have taken before or seen happening and its impact on you or the people that took such Risksarrow_forwardNeed all four questionsarrow_forward
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