The Essentials of Statistics: A Tool for Social Research
The Essentials of Statistics: A Tool for Social Research
4th Edition
ISBN: 9781305802698
Author: Joseph F. Healey
Publisher: Cengage Learning US
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Chapter 6, Problem 6.15P

Two individuals are running for mayor of your town. You conduct an election survey a week before the election and find that 51% of the respondents prefer candidate A. Can you predict a winner? Use the 99% level. (HINT: In a two-candidate race, what percentage of the vote would the winner need? Does the confidence interval indicate that candidate A has a sure margin of victory? Remember that while the population parameter is probably [ α = 0.01 ]in the confidence interval, it may be anywhere in the interval.)

P s = 0.51 N = 578

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