Practical Management Science, Loose-leaf Version
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781305631540
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.; Albright, S. Christian
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 8.6, Problem 12P
Summary Introduction
To determine: The evolutionary solver to fit a pearl and Gompertz curve.
Introduction: The variation between the present value of the
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Chapter 8 Solutions
Practical Management Science, Loose-leaf Version
Ch. 8.3 - Prob. 1PCh. 8.3 - Prob. 2PCh. 8.4 - Prob. 3PCh. 8.4 - Prob. 4PCh. 8.4 - Prob. 5PCh. 8.5 - Prob. 6PCh. 8.5 - Prob. 7PCh. 8.5 - In the lawn mower production problem in Example...Ch. 8.6 - Prob. 9PCh. 8.6 - Prob. 10P
Ch. 8.6 - Prob. 11PCh. 8.6 - Prob. 12PCh. 8.7 - Prob. 13PCh. 8.7 - Prob. 14PCh. 8.8 - Prob. 15PCh. 8.9 - Prob. 17PCh. 8.9 - Prob. 18PCh. 8.10 - Prob. 20PCh. 8.10 - Prob. 21PCh. 8.10 - Prob. 22PCh. 8.10 - Prob. 23PCh. 8.10 - Prob. 24PCh. 8 - Prob. 25PCh. 8 - Prob. 26PCh. 8 - Prob. 27PCh. 8 - Prob. 28PCh. 8 - Prob. 29PCh. 8 - Prob. 30PCh. 8 - Prob. 31PCh. 8 - Prob. 32PCh. 8 - Prob. 33PCh. 8 - Prob. 34PCh. 8 - Prob. 35PCh. 8 - Prob. 36PCh. 8 - Prob. 37PCh. 8 - Prob. 38PCh. 8 - Prob. 39PCh. 8 - Prob. 40PCh. 8 - Prob. 41PCh. 8 - Prob. 42PCh. 8 - Prob. 43PCh. 8 - Prob. 44PCh. 8 - Prob. 46PCh. 8 - Prob. 1CCh. 8 - Prob. 2C
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- Dilberts Department Store is trying to determine how many Hanson T-shirts to order. Currently the shirts are sold for 21, but at later dates the shirts will be offered at a 10% discount, then a 20% discount, then a 40% discount, then a 50% discount, and finally a 60% discount. Demand at the full price of 21 is believed to be normally distributed with mean 1800 and standard deviation 360. Demand at various discounts is assumed to be a multiple of full-price demand. These multiples, for discounts of 10%, 20%, 40%, 50%, and 60% are, respectively, 0.4, 0.7, 1.1, 2, and 50. For example, if full-price demand is 2500, then at a 10% discount customers would be willing to buy 1000 T-shirts. The unit cost of purchasing T-shirts depends on the number of T-shirts ordered, as shown in the file P10_36.xlsx. Use simulation to determine how many T-shirts the company should order. Model the problem so that the company first orders some quantity of T-shirts, then discounts deeper and deeper, as necessary, to sell all of the shirts.arrow_forwardYou are considering a 10-year investment project. At present, the expected cash flow each year is 10,000. Suppose, however, that each years cash flow is normally distributed with mean equal to last years actual cash flow and standard deviation 1000. For example, suppose that the actual cash flow in year 1 is 12,000. Then year 2 cash flow is normal with mean 12,000 and standard deviation 1000. Also, at the end of year 1, your best guess is that each later years expected cash flow will be 12,000. a. Estimate the mean and standard deviation of the NPV of this project. Assume that cash flows are discounted at a rate of 10% per year. b. Now assume that the project has an abandonment option. At the end of each year you can abandon the project for the value given in the file P11_60.xlsx. For example, suppose that year 1 cash flow is 4000. Then at the end of year 1, you expect cash flow for each remaining year to be 4000. This has an NPV of less than 62,000, so you should abandon the project and collect 62,000 at the end of year 1. Estimate the mean and standard deviation of the project with the abandonment option. How much would you pay for the abandonment option? (Hint: You can abandon a project at most once. So in year 5, for example, you abandon only if the sum of future expected NPVs is less than the year 5 abandonment value and the project has not yet been abandoned. Also, once you abandon the project, the actual cash flows for future years are zero. So in this case the future cash flows after abandonment should be zero in your model.)arrow_forward
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