CIS615 Unit One Assignment

Problem #4 - Jasper Inc. would like you to provide consulting services and provide recommendation on building a new assembly facility for air conditioning units in Florida. Jasper's initial assessment indicates the following conditions for this decision-making problem: With a favorable market in Florida, Jasper thinks that a large facility would result in a net profit of $200,000 to his firm. If the market is unfavorable in Florida, the construction of a large facility would result in $190,000 net loss. - A small facility would result in a net profit of $100,000 in a favorable market, but a net loss of $20,000 would occur if the market was unfavorable. Doing nothing would result in $0 profit in either market conditions. a) Create a decision table for this problem. b) What is your recommendation if y would apply the Maximax criterion (Optimistic)? C What is your recommendation if you would apply the Criterion of Realism (Hurwicz Criterion) with a erricient of realism a = 0.9? d) What is…

Problem #4  A through G

Identify and explain the 5-step decision making process and give an example of a situation where this process can be used

(see attached image, kindly answer it based on your knowledge, thank you!)

25. Timely plc is reviewing security in its information system and has identified a number of risks facing it to improve msk management of the system the company has told its employees that any computer misuse by them will result in disciplinary action. What aspect of risk management has Timely plc employed regarding information security?  Risk transfer  Risk acceptance  Risk reduction  Risk avoidance 26. Marble pic is a very large supermarket chain. To date the managers of Marble pic have made decisions about pricing and procurement based on periodic summarised transaction reports. The company's IT function is now streaming big data about its own sales and purchases into its information systems in real time.  Marble plc is taking advantage of the fact that big data has the characteristic of:  A Veracity  Variety  Velocity  Verifiability

What will be Hale’s TV Production’s decision based on the following criteria:a. MAXIMAXb. MAXIMINc. MINIMAX REGRETd. EXPECTED VALUEe. Construct the decision tree for this problem and indicate the decision based on the decision tree analysis.can you pls answer letter a,b,c

Q3: Answer the following: The following payoff table shows the profit for a decision problem with two states of nature and three decision alternatives, Decision State of Nature Lternative S1 S2 D1 10 30 D2 -5 20 D3 60 -10 Identify the decision taken under the following approaches: (1) Pessimistic (2) Optimistic (3) Equal probability (4) Regret (5) Hurwicz criterion. Note : The decision maker's degree of optimism (a) being 0.6.

Sequencial Decision Trees

The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature. Decision Alternative d₁ d₂ States of Nature 51 5₂ 53 260 110 35 110 110 85 The probabilities for the states of nature are P(S₁) = 0.65, P(S₂) = 0.15, and P(s) = 0.20. (a) What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information were available? If s, then? ;If s₂ then 2 ✓; If s₂ then ? (b) What is the expected value for the decision strategy developed in part (a)? (c) Using the expected value approach, what is the recommended decision without perfect information? What is its expected value? The recommended decision without perfect information is ? EV = (d) What is the expected value of perfect information? EVPI =

The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature. Decision Alternative If S1 d₁ d₂ States of Nature then ? $1 240 90 90 15 The probabilities for the states of nature are P(S₁) = 0.65, P(s₂) = 0.15, and P(s3) = 0.20. (a) What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information were available? ; If S₂ then ? 90 65 ; If S3 then ? (b) What is the expected value for the decision strategy developed in part (a)? î (c) Using the expected value approach, what is the recommended decision without perfect information? What is its expected value? The recommended decision without perfect information is ? EV = (d) What is the expected value of perfect information? EVPI = î

3 II | Here are the changes to the original problem and the revised conditions for this decision-making problem: With a favorable market, John Thompson thinks a large facility would result in a net profit of $195,000 to his firm. If the market is unfavorable, the construction of a large facility would result in $185,000 net loss. A small plant would result in a net profit of $110,000 in a favorable market, but a net loss of $25,000 would occur if the market was unfavorable. Doing nothing would result in $0 profit in either market conditions. a) Create a decision table, b) What is your recommendation if you would apply the Maximax criterion (Optimistic)? Follow the guidance from your textbook and create a table. c) What is your recommendation if you would apply the Maximin Criterion (Pessimistic)? Follow the guidance from your textbook and create a table. d) What is your recommendation if you would apply the Criterion of Realism (Hurwicz Criterion) with a coefficient of realism a =…

D through G please

To be done in excel

A)decision table with probability for decision under risk B)Best decision under emv method

Exhibit 20-2Below is a payoff table involving three states of nature and two decision alternatives. Decision States of Nature Alternative s1 s2   s3 A 80 45 –20 B 40 50   15 P(s1) = .1,  P(s2) = .6, and P(s3) = .3.Refer to Exhibit 20-2. The expected value of the best alternative equals _____.   a. 12     b. 38.5     c. 29     d. 105

BUS325 MANAGEMENT APPLICATION & THEORY NAME DATE 7. Consider the following list of business decisions. Which decisions would be handled most effectively by group or team decision-making? Which would be handled most effectively by individual decision-making? Explain your answers. A decision about switching pencil suppliers A decision about hiring a new CEO A decision about firing an employee for stealing A decision about calling 911 to report a fire in the warehouse A decision about introducing a brand-new product Feb 12, 2022, 12:46 PM cessibility: Unavailable

A financial institution is considering investing in a portfolio of stocks. How can decision theory guide the institution in selecting the optimal mix of stocks based on expected returns and risk preferences?

State the differences between decision making under certainty, under risk, and under uncertainty.

Use Excel Spreadsheets to solve

Please see attached

DAAPS A decision maker has prepared the following payoff table. 1 States of Nature Alternative High Low Buy 80 10 Rent 60 45 Lease 50 40 Using the Maximin criterion, what is the best decision and the expected payoff? Best decision Payoff

Distinguish between the Expected Monetary Value (EMV) criterion and theExpected Utility Value criterion to decision making

The following payoff table shows the profit for a decision problem with two states of nature and three decision alternatives, Decision State of Nature Lternative s1 S2 D1 10 30 D2 -5 20 D3 60 -10 Identify the decision taken under the following approaches: (1) Pessimistic (2) Optimistic (3) Equal probability (4) Regret (5) Hurwicz criterion. Note : The decision maker's degree of optimism (a) being 0.6.

a. What choice should be made by the optimistic decision maker?b. What choice should be made by the conservative decision maker?c. What decision should be made under minimal regret?