MBA-FPX5016 Assessment 2 instructions
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Prepare a 7-page demand management plan, including a forecasting, inventory management, and scheduling analysis, as well as recommendations, for a provided scenario or business of your choice.
This portfolio work project, a demand management plan, will help you demonstrate competency in forecasting, inventory management, and scheduling.
For this assessment, choose either Option 1 or Option 2. You do not need to do both. You will apply one of these scenarios in the Requirements below. Both options will be graded using the same scoring guide.
Option 1
Wild Dog Coffee Company, a locally owned company with a single coffee shop location, serves a wide selection of espresso beverages, small breakfast
and lunch menu items, and a limited evening menu. The company is planning to expand the business by adding an additional location. While different menu items may be tested at the new location, their core processes
will remain the same. You have been working on a process improvement in preparation for the expansion and are now turning your attention to demand management.
Your Role
Option 1
As an owner of Wild Dog Coffee Company, you and your business partners are planning the opening of a second location. You need to prepare an analysis and recommendations for demand management, including forecasting, inventory, and scheduling, for your current location, so you can refine the model before opening the second location.
Requirements
Include the following in your demand management plan:
Assess the impact of advertising on product demand.
o
If using Wild Dog Coffee Company, the following basic assumptions will help you prepare a demand forecast:
The other owners of Wild Dog Coffee Company handle the business' marketing and sales functions, and they believe that advertising expenditures impact the sale of coffee beverages. They want you to confirm
whether or not their advertising dollars are driving sales. Here is what was agreed upon by all the owners:
Wild Dog Coffee Business Information
Questions
Responses
How many espresso beverages are made each hour?
30, on average
How many ounces of espresso beans are used
for each beverage?
1.5 ounces
How many hours per day is the coffee shop open?
6:00 a.m.-8:00 p.m., Sunday-Saturday
How many days each month is the business open?
364 days per year. The coffee shop is closed on Christmas day.
You have the following six months of data to work with for pounds of espresso beans (y) used each month and monthly advertising expenditures (x):
Espresso Bean Use and Advertising
Month
Lbs/Beans (y)
Advertising Dollars (x)
1
987
$1,050
2
1,412
$1,500
3
1,020
$1,000
4
1,140
$1,250
5
1,322
$1,500
6
1,399
$1,500
Interpret the forecasting model for the selected product.
o
Use a simple linear regression model to show your forecast.
o
If using Wild Dog Coffee Company, forecast the pounds of espresso beans needed for month 7 if the advertising budget for month 7 is $1,350. Interpret the model and respond to the following questions for Wild Dog Coffee Company:
How many espresso beverages will the company need to prepare, on average, each day?
How many pounds of espresso beans will the company need, on average, each day?
To what extent do advertising dollars predict the need for espresso beans?
Prepare an inventory management analysis for the selected product.
o
In your analysis, include two different approaches to inventory management. What are the pros and cons of each system you analyzed?
If using Wild Dog Coffee Company, the following provides additional information you have gathered from the inventory management analysis:
Since Wild Dog Coffee Company is small,
the company must manage inventory very carefully. While larger companies can have lots of inventory on the shelf, Wild Dog simply does not have the cash to do that. As such, you have a number of pressures for small inventories. Wild Dog does not have the ability to store a lot of beans, to cover the cost of capital, or to withstand unnecessary expenditures for taxes, insurance, and shrinkage. Shrinkage is important because roasted espresso beans only maintain their optimal freshness for two weeks.
Demand is approaching 1,400 pounds of espresso beans per month.
Only one type of espresso bean is stocked.
Demand is not constant on a daily or weekly basis.
If you run out of espresso beans at any point, you will have to close the business
until the next shipment of beans arrives.
Espresso beans are shipped in 25-pound packages. (This is your base inventory week.)
The cost per pound of beans averages $9.00.
Espresso beans are delivered seven (7) days after placing the order and on any day of the week.
Shipping is free on orders over $250. Otherwise, shipping is $19.95 per order,
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Related Questions
How does the Wilson approach handle demand forecasting and inventory planning for new product launches?
arrow_forward
A firm has 56 units of product X on hand. Forecasts of
demand are for 20 units per week. An MPS quantity of 100
units is planned to arrive in period 3. Customer orders are
24 for period 1, 18 for period 2, and 15 for period 3.
What is the projected on-hand inventory at the end of
period 2?
Multiple Choice
14
32
12
20
impossible to say without more information
arrow_forward
Please do not write in column A
Problem 6 Given the following forecast and cost information,
determine the total cost of a plan that uses regular time
production output of 600 units per month, overtime is
used when needed up to a maximum of 60 units per
month, and subcontracting is used if additional units are
needed to meet the forecast.
Regular time cost
$
40.00 per unit
Overtime cost
$
60.00 per unit
subcontracting cost
$
80.00 per unit
holding cost
$
10.00 per unit per month
Production
Inventory
Costs
Month
Forecast
Level
Production
Overtime
Subcontracting
Total
Holding Cost Regular Time Overtime
Subcontracting
Total Cost
1
563
0
2
608
3
648
4
668
5
666
6
688
Totals
arrow_forward
Mr. Zulhakim being assigned by his manager to develop their production planning for Year
2022. Table 3 shows the information that he able to obtain from the sales & marketing
department. After doing the planning, Mr Zulhakim need to present it to his manager. Factory
developed a demand forecast based on Table 3 with supplier charges about RM300.00 per unit.
The demand forecast is stated as week but, in this planning, it is being considered as an annual
quantity for the operation. Ordering cost is RM150.00. Annual holding cost is 10 percent of a
purchased price.
(b)
Develop the ATP of this plan. Initial inventory on hand is 50 units obtained from Year
2021. Lot size for MPS can be obtained by using EOQ model.
Table 3: Demand and Customer confirmed order quantity
8 9 10
2 3
10 40 10 00 30 20 40 20
30
Period (Week)
1
4
5 6
7
Forecast (units)
Customer orders (booked) (unit)
20
8.
2
arrow_forward
please help me with Question 3 thanks!
Demand forecasts for 2021 are as follows:
Month
Demand
Jan
140,000
Feb
78,900
Mar
85,800
Apr
89,100
May
123,600
Jun
136,350
Jul
120,450
Aug
106,950
Sep
121,950
Oct
135,750
Nov
87,000
Dec
93,300
Each worker can produce 900 products per month and is paid $1500 per month. Assume that at the end of last year, the company has 100 employees working on the production line. Hiring and layoff (firing) decisions are made at the beginning of each month, and associated costs are charged at that time. It costs the company $400 to hire and $800 to lay off a worker.
The company incurs holding cost for the amount of ending inventory in each month, and incurs backorder cost at the end of each month for any unfilled orders. The company incurs $2 per month for holding one unit in inventory and $4 per unit backorder.
1 Prepare a level aggregate plan. Under this level aggregate plan, how…
arrow_forward
You are responsible of developing the six-month aggregate production plan at Sodas Galore, a
manufacturer of soft drinks. Your company makes three types of sodas: regular, diet and
super-caffeinated. All three types are made using the same production process, and the
switching costs can be ignored as they are so minimal. The S&OP team case created the
following forecast of demand for the next six months. In addition to the sales forecast, the
company has also developed planning values that are also shown in the next table.
Month
Sales Forecast (cases)
Softdrinks Planning Values
January
24,000
Current workforce
8 workers
32,000 Average monthly output per worker
32,000 Inventory holding cost
46,000 Regular wage rate
February
4,000 cases per month
$.30 per case per month
$20.00 per hour
March
April
May
60,000 Regular production hours/month
44,000 Overtime wage rate
160 hours
June
$30.00 per hour
240,000 Hiring cost
$1,000 per worker
$1.15 per case
Total
Subcontracting cost
Firing/layoff…
arrow_forward
Given the following forecast and cost information,
determine the total cost of a plan that uses regular time
production output of 600 units per month, overtime is
used when needed up to a maximum of 60 units per
month, and subcontracting is used if additional units are needed to meet the forecast
Regular time cost
$ 40.00
per unit
Overtime cost
$ 60.00
per unit (60 max)
subcontracting cost
$ 80.00
per unit
holding cost
$ 10.00
per unit per month
month 1 forecast 563
month 2 forecast 608
month 3 forecast 648
month 4 forecast 668
month 5 forecast 666
month 6 forecast 688
Show in Excel
arrow_forward
The schedular at ZamTech uses MPS time-phased records for planning and item production. The planner is currently working on a schedule for a strut assembly, one of ZamTechs top-selling spare parts.The planner uses a production lot size of 170 and a safety stock of 15 for the strut assembly. The planner has the following forecasts (Ft) and orders (Dt) for the next 8 weeks, as shown in Table 1.
Table 1
Week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Ft
130
130
130
140
140
140
145
145
Dt
45
38
18
Required:
a) Help the master production scheduler to fill in the MPS time-phased record shown in Table 2 for the strut assembly. There are 120 units on hand.
Table 2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Ft
Dt
EIt-1
Pt
EIt
ATPt
b) Can the planner accept the following orders? Update the MPS time-phased record for accepted orders, in Table 3.
Table 3
Order
Quantity
Desired week
1
120
4
2
144
6
3
100
2…
arrow_forward
Weighted moving average using Excel:3.1 Calculate demand forecast for weeks 7-24 using 6 week weighted moving average with weights 0.55, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.053.2 Calculate demand forecast for weeks 7-24 using 6 week weighted moving average with weights 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.15, 0.15, 0.13.3 Plot the two weighted moving average forecasts together with the actual demand. Comment on the obtained graph.3.4 Using the forecasting error measures seen in class, evaluate the forecasting error of each method. Accordingly which method is better?
arrow_forward
production planning and control
please help
arrow_forward
Wal Mart, although they are not a manufacturing company, uses sophisticated computer software to forecast sales and order products to be stocked in their stores so that they do not run out of the things shoppers are looking for. What kind of software system does Wal Mart likely use?
Group of answer choices
a) Inventory control
b) Just-in-time ordering
c) E-procurement
d) Materials Requirement Planning (MRP)
arrow_forward
PROBLEM 2:The manager of a large manufacturer of industrial pumps prepare forecasts for a six- month period.
Month Demand Forecast
1 492 488
2 470 484
3 485 480
4 493 490
5 498 497
6 492 493
Required: Compute for the MAD, MSE, and MAPE.
arrow_forward
Product A is an assemble-to-order product. It has a lot size of 150, and currentlyhas an on-hand inventory of 110 units. There is a 2-week demand time fence and a12-week planning time fence. The following table gives the original forecast and theactual customer orders for the next 12 weeks:Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Forecast 80 80 80 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70Demand 83 78 65 61 49 51 34 17 11 7 0 0a. Given this information, develop a realistic master schedule, complete with ATPlogic.b. Tell how you would respond to each of the following customer order requests.Assume these are independent requests, and do not have cumulative effects.■ 20 units in week 3■ 40 units in week 5■ 120 units in week 7
arrow_forward
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Related Questions
- How does the Wilson approach handle demand forecasting and inventory planning for new product launches?arrow_forwardA firm has 56 units of product X on hand. Forecasts of demand are for 20 units per week. An MPS quantity of 100 units is planned to arrive in period 3. Customer orders are 24 for period 1, 18 for period 2, and 15 for period 3. What is the projected on-hand inventory at the end of period 2? Multiple Choice 14 32 12 20 impossible to say without more informationarrow_forwardPlease do not write in column A Problem 6 Given the following forecast and cost information, determine the total cost of a plan that uses regular time production output of 600 units per month, overtime is used when needed up to a maximum of 60 units per month, and subcontracting is used if additional units are needed to meet the forecast. Regular time cost $ 40.00 per unit Overtime cost $ 60.00 per unit subcontracting cost $ 80.00 per unit holding cost $ 10.00 per unit per month Production Inventory Costs Month Forecast Level Production Overtime Subcontracting Total Holding Cost Regular Time Overtime Subcontracting Total Cost 1 563 0 2 608 3 648 4 668 5 666 6 688 Totalsarrow_forward
- Mr. Zulhakim being assigned by his manager to develop their production planning for Year 2022. Table 3 shows the information that he able to obtain from the sales & marketing department. After doing the planning, Mr Zulhakim need to present it to his manager. Factory developed a demand forecast based on Table 3 with supplier charges about RM300.00 per unit. The demand forecast is stated as week but, in this planning, it is being considered as an annual quantity for the operation. Ordering cost is RM150.00. Annual holding cost is 10 percent of a purchased price. (b) Develop the ATP of this plan. Initial inventory on hand is 50 units obtained from Year 2021. Lot size for MPS can be obtained by using EOQ model. Table 3: Demand and Customer confirmed order quantity 8 9 10 2 3 10 40 10 00 30 20 40 20 30 Period (Week) 1 4 5 6 7 Forecast (units) Customer orders (booked) (unit) 20 8. 2arrow_forwardplease help me with Question 3 thanks! Demand forecasts for 2021 are as follows: Month Demand Jan 140,000 Feb 78,900 Mar 85,800 Apr 89,100 May 123,600 Jun 136,350 Jul 120,450 Aug 106,950 Sep 121,950 Oct 135,750 Nov 87,000 Dec 93,300 Each worker can produce 900 products per month and is paid $1500 per month. Assume that at the end of last year, the company has 100 employees working on the production line. Hiring and layoff (firing) decisions are made at the beginning of each month, and associated costs are charged at that time. It costs the company $400 to hire and $800 to lay off a worker. The company incurs holding cost for the amount of ending inventory in each month, and incurs backorder cost at the end of each month for any unfilled orders. The company incurs $2 per month for holding one unit in inventory and $4 per unit backorder. 1 Prepare a level aggregate plan. Under this level aggregate plan, how…arrow_forwardYou are responsible of developing the six-month aggregate production plan at Sodas Galore, a manufacturer of soft drinks. Your company makes three types of sodas: regular, diet and super-caffeinated. All three types are made using the same production process, and the switching costs can be ignored as they are so minimal. The S&OP team case created the following forecast of demand for the next six months. In addition to the sales forecast, the company has also developed planning values that are also shown in the next table. Month Sales Forecast (cases) Softdrinks Planning Values January 24,000 Current workforce 8 workers 32,000 Average monthly output per worker 32,000 Inventory holding cost 46,000 Regular wage rate February 4,000 cases per month $.30 per case per month $20.00 per hour March April May 60,000 Regular production hours/month 44,000 Overtime wage rate 160 hours June $30.00 per hour 240,000 Hiring cost $1,000 per worker $1.15 per case Total Subcontracting cost Firing/layoff…arrow_forward
- Given the following forecast and cost information, determine the total cost of a plan that uses regular time production output of 600 units per month, overtime is used when needed up to a maximum of 60 units per month, and subcontracting is used if additional units are needed to meet the forecast Regular time cost $ 40.00 per unit Overtime cost $ 60.00 per unit (60 max) subcontracting cost $ 80.00 per unit holding cost $ 10.00 per unit per month month 1 forecast 563 month 2 forecast 608 month 3 forecast 648 month 4 forecast 668 month 5 forecast 666 month 6 forecast 688 Show in Excelarrow_forwardThe schedular at ZamTech uses MPS time-phased records for planning and item production. The planner is currently working on a schedule for a strut assembly, one of ZamTechs top-selling spare parts.The planner uses a production lot size of 170 and a safety stock of 15 for the strut assembly. The planner has the following forecasts (Ft) and orders (Dt) for the next 8 weeks, as shown in Table 1. Table 1 Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Ft 130 130 130 140 140 140 145 145 Dt 45 38 18 Required: a) Help the master production scheduler to fill in the MPS time-phased record shown in Table 2 for the strut assembly. There are 120 units on hand. Table 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Ft Dt EIt-1 Pt EIt ATPt b) Can the planner accept the following orders? Update the MPS time-phased record for accepted orders, in Table 3. Table 3 Order Quantity Desired week 1 120 4 2 144 6 3 100 2…arrow_forwardWeighted moving average using Excel:3.1 Calculate demand forecast for weeks 7-24 using 6 week weighted moving average with weights 0.55, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.053.2 Calculate demand forecast for weeks 7-24 using 6 week weighted moving average with weights 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.15, 0.15, 0.13.3 Plot the two weighted moving average forecasts together with the actual demand. Comment on the obtained graph.3.4 Using the forecasting error measures seen in class, evaluate the forecasting error of each method. Accordingly which method is better?arrow_forward
- production planning and control please helparrow_forwardWal Mart, although they are not a manufacturing company, uses sophisticated computer software to forecast sales and order products to be stocked in their stores so that they do not run out of the things shoppers are looking for. What kind of software system does Wal Mart likely use? Group of answer choices a) Inventory control b) Just-in-time ordering c) E-procurement d) Materials Requirement Planning (MRP)arrow_forwardPROBLEM 2:The manager of a large manufacturer of industrial pumps prepare forecasts for a six- month period. Month Demand Forecast 1 492 488 2 470 484 3 485 480 4 493 490 5 498 497 6 492 493 Required: Compute for the MAD, MSE, and MAPE.arrow_forward
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